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CG: Buybacks And Global Deal Pursuits Will Drive Momentum Ahead

Update shared on 28 Nov 2025

Fair value Decreased 0.86%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
18.5%
7D
-2.9%

Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for the Carlyle Group from $65.56 to $65.00. They cite modest adjustments in profit margin and discount rate estimates, even though they expect slightly higher revenue growth.

What's in the News

  • The Carlyle Group is reportedly interested in acquiring the foreign assets of PJSC LUKOIL, a Russian oil company currently under U.S. sanctions. The firm may seek a U.S. license to negotiate, but has not yet started due diligence. Other bidders are also involved, and no official comments have been made by Carlyle or LUKOIL. (Financial Times, SeeNews)
  • The company completed a tranche of its share buyback, repurchasing over 1.5 million shares for $100 million between July and September 2025. This brings the total buyback since October 2021 to nearly 25 million shares, or 6.85% of total shares, at a cost of over $1 billion.
  • Carlyle is competing with other private equity players, including Temasek and ChrysCapital, for a minority stake in Nash Industries, an Indian auto components maker seeking to raise $120-150 million. The fundraising, facilitated by Avendus Bank, marks Nash’s first institutional round. (Moneycontrol, Mint)

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has decreased slightly from $65.56 to $65.00.
  • Discount Rate has declined marginally from 9.81% to 9.79%.
  • Revenue Growth is now expected to rise from 23.69% to 24.26%.
  • Net Profit Margin projection has dipped slightly from 30.47% to 30.05%.
  • Future P/E ratio estimate has declined from 17.27x to 16.65x.

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Disclaimer

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