CAVA Group 향후 성장

Future 기준 점검 4/6

CAVA Group (는) 각각 연간 21.8% 및 16.5% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 20.9% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 11.7% 로 예상됩니다.

핵심 정보

21.8%

이익 성장률

20.93%

EPS 성장률

Hospitality 이익 성장	18.0%
매출 성장률	16.5%
향후 자기자본이익률	11.74%
애널리스트 커버리지	Good
마지막 업데이트	04 May 2026

최근 향후 성장 업데이트

분석 기사 • Aug 15

Earnings Beat: CAVA Group, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

NYSE:CAVA 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore CAVA Group's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...

Recent updates

내러티브 업데이트 • May 03

CAVA: Strong Comps Momentum And Expansion Plans May Constrain Further Share Price Upside

Analysts have nudged the CAVA Group fair value estimate higher to $87.27 from $85.83, citing updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E following a wave of upward price target revisions and generally constructive coverage across major firms, alongside at least one valuation-driven Sell initiation. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CAVA Group presents a mix of confidence in the growth story and concern around how much of that story is already reflected in the share price.

내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 18

CAVA: Elevated Comps Expectations Will Likely Limit Future Share Price Upside

Analysts have nudged their blended price target on CAVA Group higher by roughly $2, reflecting updated views that factor in higher same-store sales expectations, stronger unit economics, and a slightly richer future P/E assumption highlighted across recent research. Analyst Commentary Street research on CAVA Group has been active around the latest earnings and 2026 guidance, with many firms updating price targets and refining their views on comps, margins, and valuation.

내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 04

CAVA: Elevated Earnings Multiples Will Face Test From Same Store Sales Sustainability

The analyst price target for CAVA Group has been revised to $70.00, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E as analysts factor in recent upbeat same-store sales trends, Q4 results, and a series of higher Street targets across the sector coverage. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on CAVA Group reflect a mix of enthusiasm for the brand and caution around execution, growth durability, and valuation.

Seeking Alpha • Mar 28

CAVA: Menu Pricing And New Mediterranean Offerings Will Support Long-Term Expansion

Our updated view keeps CAVA Group's fair value at $85, reflecting a modestly lower discount rate and slightly higher revenue growth assumptions, as analysts factor in recent price target bumps, menu pricing actions, and expectations for same store sales and earnings to be ahead of consensus. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around CAVA Group has centered on a series of price target revisions, menu pricing checks, and expectations for near term results.

내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 07

CAVA: Menu Pricing Power Will Support Long-Term Expansion And Margin Improvement

Our fair value estimate for CAVA Group has been trimmed by US$1 to US$85.0, as analysts factor in updated views on revenue growth, margins, and future P/E, following a mix of recent price target changes and fresh bullish initiations on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research has included a mix of upward and downward target moves, along with fresh initiations, giving you a clearer sense of where more optimistic voices see room for execution and growth at CAVA Group.

내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 23

CAVA: Menu Pricing Power And New Openings Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for CAVA Group higher to US$71.20 from about US$69.63, reflecting slightly stronger modeled revenue growth and a higher future P/E multiple. This comes even as recent price target changes across the Street highlight ongoing macro and traffic headwinds for the broader restaurant group.

내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 09

CAVA: Menu Pricing And New Openings Will Shape Fairly Balanced Outlook

Narrative Update The analyst price target for CAVA Group has moved modestly higher to reflect an updated fair value estimate of about $69.63, with analysts citing recent menu pricing actions, refreshed restaurant sector outlooks, and revised expectations for traffic and same-store sales across fast casual peers. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CAVA Group reflects a mix of optimism about the brand and caution around near term execution and sector headwinds.

분석 기사 • Jan 07

Subdued Growth No Barrier To CAVA Group, Inc. (NYSE:CAVA) With Shares Advancing 26%

CAVA Group, Inc. ( NYSE:CAVA ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand...

내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 16

CAVA: Long-Term Unit Expansion Will Outshine Near-Term Traffic And Margin Headwinds

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for CAVA Group from approximately $118.75 to $86.00 per share. This reflects trimmed revenue growth and profit margin expectations in light of softer traffic trends, macro headwinds in fast casual, and lowered near term same store sales and EBITDA forecasts, even as they still highlight the brand’s long term unit growth potential and expanding consumer adoption of Mediterranean cuisine.

내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 02

CAVA: Consumer Demand And Expanding Footprint Will Drive Recovery Amid Headwinds

Analysts have lowered their price targets for CAVA Group, with the average target now down approximately $10 to $20 per share. They cite weaker same-store sales, softer consumer demand, and broader macroeconomic pressures weighing on growth expectations.

내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 18

CAVA: Share Price Declines Will Present Buying Opportunity as Headwinds Subside

Analysts have reduced their price target for CAVA Group from approximately $83.56 to $67.89. They cite persistent macroeconomic pressures and softer consumer demand as key drivers of the lowered outlook.

분석 기사 • Nov 14

CAVA Group, Inc. (NYSE:CAVA) Shares May Have Slumped 26% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the CAVA Group, Inc. ( NYSE:CAVA ) share price has dived 26% in the last thirty...

내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 01

CAVA: Expansion To 1,000 Locations Will Drive Long-Term Market Leadership

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for CAVA Group from approximately $88.81 to $83.56 per share. They cite slowing consumer demand and tempered same-store sales growth as factors behind more cautious outlooks across the restaurant sector.

내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 18

Expansion To 1,000 Restaurants Will Broaden Mediterranean Reach Despite Risks

Analysts have moderately reduced their price target for CAVA Group by nearly $2 per share, citing softer-than-expected comparable sales. However, they remain positive on the company's long-term potential because of its dominant position and continued unit growth momentum.

내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 04

Expansion To 1,000 Restaurants Will Broaden Mediterranean Reach Despite Risks

CAVA Group's analyst price target has been modestly reduced by analysts, falling from about $92.21 to $90.73 per share. Recent research highlights near-term sales pressures and a softer growth outlook, but notes that core fundamentals remain intact.

내러티브 업데이트 • Sep 04

Expansion To 1,000 Restaurants Will Broaden Mediterranean Reach Despite Risks

CAVA Group’s analyst price target remained unchanged at $92.21 as near-term comp sales softness and lowered guidance weighed on sentiment, but analysts remain confident in the brand’s long-term positioning and recovery potential. Analyst Commentary Q2 same-store sales growth and comps were significantly below expectations, with management lowering full-year and 2025 same-store sales guidance due to macro headwinds, difficult comparisons, and the impact of newer stores entering the comp base.

분석 기사 • Aug 22

Some CAVA Group, Inc. (NYSE:CAVA) Shareholders Look For Exit As Shares Take 25% Pounding

CAVA Group, Inc. ( NYSE:CAVA ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month...

분석 기사 • Aug 15

Earnings Beat: CAVA Group, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

NYSE:CAVA 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore CAVA Group's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...

Seeking Alpha • Apr 01

CAVA Group: Significantly Overvalued Amid Declining Consumer Food Spending Outlook

Summary CAVA's high valuation is high due to its rapid growth, but it is at risk from economic headwinds that may substantially lower consumer discretionary spending in its key demographic. The stock's recent decline may portend an extended crash, as its valuation remains excessive compared to most consumer discretionary and restaurant stocks. Analysts' growth and margin estimates may be overly optimistic. They assume CAVA will become the next Chipotle and ignore potential economic headwinds to profit margins and same-store sales. Despite CAVA's excellent performance over recent years, I think it will continue to decline as its growth and margins fail to meet expectations over the coming quarters. CAVA's long-term prospects may still be strong, but are subject to risk if consumer food spending patterns shift back toward cooking at home, away from the historical extreme since 2020. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Seeking Alpha • Feb 26

CAVA Group's Q4 Earnings Aren't Enough To Support A Buy Rating

Summary CAVA Group's stock is down ~19% in 30 days despite solid Q4 earnings, with high SRS growth and good margins. The company opened more restaurants, achieved 21% SRS, and expanded traffic by 15.6%, indicating strong customer loyalty and growth potential. Despite good operational performance, current valuation and lack of margin safety justify a sell rating, requiring near-perfect execution for future shareholder value. A stock price correction could change the rating to hold or buy, but for now, the safety margin is too thin. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Seeking Alpha • Feb 18

CAVA Group: Why You Should Sell Now And Wait For A Retreat

Summary CAVA has the potential to become a household name over the long run, but its current stock valuation is extremely high. We conducted a 20-year DCF analysis on CAVA, using very generous assumptions, to determine CAVA's most bullish valuation. We used the historical financial data from Chipotle, one of the best growth stories in the fast-casual dining sector, to project CAVA's financials. Even under the most bullish scenario, CAVA's current valuation is fully valued, if not overvalued. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Seeking Alpha • Jan 21

CAVA Group: Overpriced And Overhyped (Rating Downgrade)

Summary I can't justify paying a 129x forward free cash flow multiple for a company with slowing growth. CAVA's current valuation leaves little room for upside and significant downside risk. Despite a clean balance sheet, CAVA stock's risk-reward profile doesn't work for me. Decelerating revenue growth and potential store cannibalization are key concerns. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Seeking Alpha • Jan 14

CAVA: High Valuation, Delicate Risk-Reward Balance

Summary CAVA's rapid growth and strategic expansion plans have led to a high valuation, warranting a hold rating due to a delicate risk/reward balance. Since its 2006 launch, CAVA has expanded to over 350 U.S. locations, focusing on health-conscious consumers with Mediterranean-inspired fast food. Impressive annual revenue growth driven by 73 new restaurants and a 13% increase in existing locations highlights CAVA's successful scalable model. With plans to triple store numbers by 2032, CAVA aims to challenge industry giants, reminiscent of Chipotle's growth trajectory. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Seeking Alpha • Dec 19

CAVA: Excellent Same Store Sales Growth Tempered By Ridiculous Price (Rating Upgrade)

Summary I'm upgrading CAVA to a neutral rating, driven by the stock's recent decline over the past two months and a strong Q3 earnings print. CAVA's same-restaurant sales growth accelerated to 18% y/y in Q3, substantially exceeding many fast-casual restaurant peers. The company's restaurant operating margins also rose to be in-line with Chipotle, the industry bellwether. Still, the company is hampered by an incredibly rich valuation at ~13x revenue (more than double Chipotle) and a ~100x adjusted EBITDA multiple. I'd recommend waiting for a better price. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Seeking Alpha • Dec 11

CAVA Group: Insiders Deep Six Their Stock At 200x P/E -- You Should, Too

Summary CAVA Group, Inc.'s stock is overvalued with a forward P/E of 200x 2025 earnings, driven by investor exuberance despite modest growth projections and rising costs. Insider selling by top executives, including the CEO and chairman, has accelerated, signaling potential overvaluation and a warning for investors to take profits. The company's impressive revenue growth and profitability are overshadowed by slowing margin expansion and increasing labor and FBP costs, unsupported by its premium valuation. I reiterate my Sell rating on CAVA due to its unsustainable valuation and limited margin growth, despite the company's strong brand and healthy food offerings. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Seeking Alpha • Nov 19

Chipotle Has A Viable Challenger: CAVA Is Up And Coming

Summary Potential for entry into new markets underpins our "Buy" rating for CAVA Group, Inc. and our "Hold" for Chipotle Mexican Grill. While CMG has massive benefits of scale, continuing growth by CAVA will move it to a similar scale in a few years, which will cannibalize CMG sales. While CMG has largely saturated the US domestic market, CAVA has growth opportunities in a large number of states if it can educate Middle America about Mediterranean fare. CAVA operates at a similar gross margin as CMG, which speaks to a feisty, capable, challenge given CMG's overwhelming benefits of scale. That may change owing to CMG's access to food preparation technology, but that advantage will likely be of limited duration as CAVA grows the market. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Seeking Alpha • Nov 13

CAVA Group: Don't Be The Last One Dancing When The Music Stops

Summary CAVA Group, Inc. is a well-managed, fast-growing quick-service restaurant with strong fundamentals, but its current valuation is excessively high and unsustainable. Despite exceptional Q3 results and significant growth potential, Cava's stock price is driven by momentum rather than fundamentals. The company's valuation at 15 times '25 sales is unjustifiable, suggesting a potential for significant losses when momentum breaks. Avoiding overvalued stocks is crucial; thus, I reiterate a “Sell” rating on Cava despite its strong operational performance. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Seeking Alpha • Oct 24

CAVA Group: Unsupportable Valuation

Summary Shares of CAVA have surged to all-time highs on the back of recent strong Q2 results, which featured an acceleration in same-store sales. The company is set to report Q3 results on November 12. Watch out for slower consumer spending impacting sales growth trends. Despite a recently raised outlook, CAVA looks very expensive at >100x adjusted EBITDA. I remain at a sell rating for CAVA, as the stock sustains tremendous valuation and fundamental risk. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

이익 및 매출 성장 예측

NYSE:CAVA - 애널리스트 향후 추정치 및 과거 재무 데이터 (USD Millions)
날짜	매출	이익	자유현금흐름	영업현금흐름	평균 애널리스트 수
12/31/2028	2,138	125	95	300	11
12/31/2027	1,759	87	89	239	26
12/31/2026	1,459	63	42	191	26
12/28/2025	1,180	64	26	185	N/A
10/5/2025	1,132	137	25	174	N/A
7/13/2025	1,084	141	47	173	N/A
4/20/2025	1,037	142	51	161	N/A
12/29/2024	964	130	53	161	N/A
10/6/2024	913	54	44	155	N/A
7/14/2024	845	43	11	137	N/A
4/21/2024	785	29	-24	110	N/A
12/31/2023	729	13	-42	97	N/A
10/1/2023	681	-8	-66	74	N/A
7/9/2023	645	-26	-76	55	N/A
4/16/2023	608	-41	-87	34	N/A
12/25/2022	564	-59	-98	6	N/A
10/2/2022	551	-61	-89	0	N/A
12/26/2021	500	-37	-53	3	N/A

애널리스트 향후 성장 전망

수입 대 저축률: CAVA 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(21.8%)이 saving rate(3.5%)보다 높습니다.

수익 vs 시장: CAVA 의 연간 수익(21.8%)이 US 시장(16.4%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 수익: CAVA 의 수입은 향후 3년 동안 상당히 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.

수익 대 시장: CAVA 의 수익(연간 16.5%)이 US 시장(연간 11.4%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.

고성장 매출: CAVA 의 수익(연간 16.5%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.

주당순이익 성장 예측

향후 자기자본이익률

미래 ROE: CAVA의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 11.7%로 낮을 것으로 예상됩니다.

성장 기업 찾아보기

기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태

데이터	최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간)
기업 분석	2026/05/06 20:25
종가	2026/05/06 00:00
수익	2025/12/28
연간 수익	2025/12/28

데이터 소스

당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.

패키지	데이터	기간	미국 소스 예시 ^*
기업 재무제표	10년	손익계산서 현금흐름표 대차대조표	SEC 양식 10-K SEC 양식 10-Q
분석가 컨센서스 추정치	+3년	재무 예측 분석가 목표주가	분석가 리서치 보고서 Blue Matrix
시장 가격	30년	주가 배당, 분할 및 기타 조치	ICE 시장 데이터 SEC 양식 S-1
지분 구조	10년	주요 주주 내부자 거래	SEC 양식 4 SEC 양식 13D
경영진	10년	리더십 팀 이사회	SEC 양식 10-K SEC 양식 DEF 14A
주요 개발	10년	회사 공시	SEC 양식 8-K

^* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.

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분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크

이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.

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산업 및 섹터 지표

산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.

분석가 소스

CAVA Group, Inc.는 32명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 26명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.

분석가	기관
David Tarantino	Baird
Jeffrey Bernstein	Barclays
Jeffrey Bernstein	Barclays

CAVA Group 향후 성장

Future 기준 점검 4/6

핵심 정보

최근 향후 성장 업데이트

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%, revenue upgraded

Price target increased by 7.4% to US$78.57

Price target decreased by 16% to US$71.28

CAVA Group, Inc. Updates Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2025

Earnings Beat: CAVA Group, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Cava Group, Inc. Updates Earnings Guidance for the Year Ending December 31, 2025

Recent updates

CAVA Group Exceeds Sales Forecasts as Expansion and Menu Growth Draw Analyst Optimism

CAVA: Strong Comps Momentum And Expansion Plans May Constrain Further Share Price Upside

CAVA Group, Inc. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on May 19, 2026

CAVA Group, Inc. Announces Karen Kochevar Not Standing for Re-Election

CAVA Group, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 22, 2026

CAVA: Elevated Comps Expectations Will Likely Limit Future Share Price Upside

CAVA Group, Inc. Introduces Glazed Salmon to Menu

CAVA: Elevated Earnings Multiples Will Face Test From Same Store Sales Sustainability

CAVA: Stock Jumps For No Good Reason (Rating Downgrade)

CAVA: Menu Pricing Power And New Openings Will Support Balanced 2026 Outlook

Chief Legal Officer & Secretary recently sold US$1.2m worth of stock

CAVA: Rich Earnings Multiples Will Test Sustained Same Store Sales Momentum

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%, revenue upgraded

Chief People Officer notifies of intention to sell stock

Price target increased by 7.4% to US$78.57

Cava Group (CAVA) The Mediterranean Chipotle: Can the Hype Survive the Scale?

CAVA: Menu Pricing And New Mediterranean Offerings Will Support Long-Term Expansion

Now 24% overvalued after recent price rise

CAVA: Menu Pricing Power Will Support Long-Term Expansion And Margin Improvement

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%

CAVA Group, Inc. to Report Q4, 2025 Results on Feb 24, 2026

Now 20% overvalued after recent price rise

Co-Founder recently sold US$1.5m worth of stock

CAVA: Menu Pricing Power And New Openings Will Shape Balanced Outlook

CAVA Group, Inc. Appoints Doug Thompson as Chief Operations Officer, Effective March 2, 2026

CAVA: Menu Pricing And New Openings Will Shape Fairly Balanced Outlook

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Subdued Growth No Barrier To CAVA Group, Inc. (NYSE:CAVA) With Shares Advancing 26%

CAVA Kicks Off 2026 with New Mediterranean Menu Fully Loaded with Flavors

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

CAVA: Long-Term Unit Expansion Will Outshine Near-Term Traffic And Margin Headwinds

CAVA: Consumer Demand And Expanding Footprint Will Drive Recovery Amid Headwinds

New minor risk - Insider selling

Now 26% overvalued

CAVA: Share Price Declines Will Present Buying Opportunity as Headwinds Subside

CAVA Group, Inc. (NYSE:CAVA) Shares May Have Slumped 26% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

Third quarter 2025 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Price target decreased by 16% to US$71.28

CAVA Group, Inc. Updates Earnings Guidance for the Full Year 2025

CAVA: Expansion To 1,000 Locations Will Drive Long-Term Market Leadership

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

CAVA Group, Inc. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Nov 04, 2025

Expansion To 1,000 Restaurants Will Broaden Mediterranean Reach Despite Risks

Expansion To 1,000 Restaurants Will Broaden Mediterranean Reach Despite Risks

Cava Group, Inc. Announces Executive Changes

Expansion To 1,000 Restaurants Will Broaden Mediterranean Reach Despite Risks

Some CAVA Group, Inc. (NYSE:CAVA) Shareholders Look For Exit As Shares Take 25% Pounding

Earnings Beat: CAVA Group, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 18%

Cava Group, Inc. Updates Earnings Guidance for the Year Ending December 31, 2025

Cava Debuts Line of Limited-Edition Blind-Bag Plushies

CAVA Group, Inc. to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Aug 12, 2025

Co-Founder recently sold US$2.4m worth of stock

Insufficient new directors

Chief People Officer recently sold US$887k worth of stock

Chief People Officer notifies of intention to sell stock

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 17%

Founder recently sold US$887k worth of stock

Founder notifies of intention to sell stock

CAVA Group, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 20, 2025

CAVA Group, Inc. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on May 15, 2025

CAVA Group, Inc. Spices Things Up with New Hot Harissa Pita Chips

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 20%

New minor risk - Share price stability

CAVA Group: Significantly Overvalued Amid Declining Consumer Food Spending Outlook

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 15%

CAVA Group's Q4 Earnings Aren't Enough To Support A Buy Rating

Price target decreased by 8.3% to US$137