Pagaya Technologies 将来の成長
Future 基準チェック /56
Pagaya Technologies利益と収益がそれぞれ年間35.9%と12.3%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に32.3% 26.1%なると予測されています。
主要情報
35.9%
収益成長率
26.08%
EPS成長率
| Software 収益成長 | 19.6% |
| 収益成長率 | 12.3% |
| 将来の株主資本利益率 | 32.33% |
| アナリストカバレッジ | Good |
| 最終更新日 | 11 May 2026 |
今後の成長に関する最新情報
Recent updates
新しいナラティブ • May 09
PGY may go up in next 6-12 months.
Pagaya Technologies (NASDAQ: PGY) — Investment Thesis Pagaya Technologies is not a software company. This distinction is the foundation of the entire investment case and is widely misunderstood by the market.
ナラティブの更新 • May 02
PGY: Execution On Platform Relationships Will Support 2026 Earnings Guidance Upside Potential
Narrative update on Pagaya Technologies Pagaya Technologies' consensus analyst price target has been revised lower by multiple firms, with reductions such as $5, $7, $8, $13 and $15. Analysts are reassessing assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E levels while maintaining a fair value estimate of $33.00.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 18
PGY: Long Term Earnings Guidance Will Support Bullish Upside Thesis
Analysts have reduced their average price targets on Pagaya Technologies by $11.73 to $26.45, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, discount rates and profit expectations following a series of recent target cuts alongside one bullish initiation. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research points to a cluster of target reductions for Pagaya Technologies alongside one new bullish initiation, giving you a mixed but useful read on how the Street is recalibrating expectations around growth, profitability and risk.ナラティブの更新 • Apr 03
PGY: Execution On Platform Relationships Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Pagaya Technologies' updated analyst price target has been reduced by $7 to $33, as several firms reassessed their views on the stock. Analysts cited recent sector research, while one new bullish initiation at Freedom Capital highlights ongoing interest in the name.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 20
PGY: Reset Expectations And 2026 Guidance Will Support A Rebound
Pagaya Technologies' analyst price targets have been reset lower, with the fair value estimate moving from $27.00 to $20.00 as analysts factor in updated assumptions on required returns, growth, margins and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Pagaya Technologies has featured a series of lower price targets, with multiple bearish analysts trimming their fair value estimates by mid single digit to mid teens dollar amounts.ナラティブの更新 • Mar 05
PGY: Reset Risk Assumptions And New Partnership Will Support Future Upside
Narrative Update: Pagaya Technologies The consolidated analyst price target for Pagaya Technologies has been reduced by a double digit dollar amount, as several firms cut their targets by $5 to $15 while emphasizing updated risk assumptions alongside steady model inputs for fair value, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Pagaya Technologies has centered on adjustments to price targets, with several firms revising their numbers while keeping core views on fair value drivers largely intact.ナラティブの更新 • Feb 19
PGY: Reset Expectations And New Partnership Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have cut their average price target for Pagaya Technologies from $54.00 to $33.00, citing more cautious assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, and profit margin following a series of recent target reductions across the Street research community. Analyst Commentary Recent research has centered on recalibrating Pagaya Technologies price targets, with multiple firms revisiting their assumptions on fair value, discount rates, revenue growth, and margins.分析記事 • Feb 09
Pagaya Technologies Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:PGY) 28% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. ( NASDAQ:PGY ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow...ナラティブの更新 • Feb 05
PGY: Raised Earnings Outlook And New Partnership Will Support Bullish Thesis
Narrative Update on Pagaya Technologies Analysts have trimmed their price target on Pagaya Technologies from about $40.50 to roughly $38.18, citing updated views on fair value, a higher discount rate, slightly softer revenue growth and margin expectations, and a higher future P/E assumption. Analyst Commentary Analysts reviewing Pagaya Technologies have shared a mix of optimism and caution as they reassess fair value, execution risks, and the revised P/E framework behind the updated target price near US$38.18.Seeking Alpha • Dec 19
Pagaya's Selloff Looks Detached From Reality
Summary I see Pagaya Technologies' selloff as a credit-fear overreaction, not a fundamentals-driven mispricing. PGY’s Q3 2025 results showed $350M revenue (+36% YoY), improved margins, and its third consecutive GAAP net income quarter. Operating leverage is real: adjusted EBITDA hit $107M (30.6% margin vs. 21.8% prior), and GAAP net income was +$23M, third straight profitable quarter. Diversification reduces single-lane risk: POS and auto are ~32% of volume versus 9% last year, while partner stickiness improves via multi-product adoption. Valuation looks compressed at ~7.1x 2025 EPS and <6.9x 2026; my scenario yields a $51 target (~131% upside), but onboarding/delinquency risks remain. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Oct 16
Positive Sentiment Still Eludes Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ:PGY) Following 29% Share Price Slump
The Pagaya Technologies Ltd. ( NASDAQ:PGY ) share price has softened a substantial 29% over the previous 30 days...分析記事 • Aug 31
The Market Lifts Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ:PGY) Shares 27% But It Can Do More
Despite an already strong run, Pagaya Technologies Ltd. ( NASDAQ:PGY ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27...ナラティブの更新 • Aug 10
Advanced AI Underwriting And Embedded Finance Will Open Markets
Analysts have raised their price target for Pagaya Technologies to $38.00, citing robust EBITDA margins driven by strong unit economics, rapid expansion via its integrated B2B2C model, and demonstrated success diversifying into new underwriting verticals. Analyst Commentary Exceptional unit economics and operating leverage are resulting in strong EBITDA margins.分析記事 • Jul 07
Pagaya Technologies Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:PGY) Shares Leap 27% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story
Despite an already strong run, Pagaya Technologies Ltd. ( NASDAQ:PGY ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27...新しいナラティブ • May 28
Digital Transformation And AI Will Broaden Lending Channels
AI-enhanced products, network effects, and diversified asset classes support sustained revenue growth and improved margins amid ongoing digital transformation in the lending sector.分析記事 • May 22
A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Pagaya Technologies Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:PGY) 56% Share Price Climb
Those holding Pagaya Technologies Ltd. ( NASDAQ:PGY ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 56...分析記事 • Feb 15
Pagaya Technologies Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:PGY) Shares Bounce 74% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry
The Pagaya Technologies Ltd. ( NASDAQ:PGY ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent...Seeking Alpha • Jan 24
Pagaya: 2025 Will Be A Year Of Clarity, Strong Buy
Summary With its unique investor network, Pagaya is all set to scale its business by approving more loans through its lending partners. Even with the most conservative valuation of its share price, Pagaya remains significantly undervalued. The bearish market stems from Pagaya's issues with credit impairments. Something that management say will improve going forward. Point-of-sale remains a hyper-growth market for Pagaya with key lending partners like fintech bank Klarna. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Jan 22
Is Pagaya Technologies (NASDAQ:PGY) Using Too Much Debt?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...新しいナラティブ • Jan 02
PGY is a Buy
Core Product: Pagaya’s AI-powered platform for financial underwriting and risk assessment is a key driver of revenue. As financial institutions increasingly adopt AI solutions for more accurate and ef分析記事 • Nov 15
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ:PGY) Just Reported, And Analysts Assigned A US$20.75 Price Target
There's been a major selloff in Pagaya Technologies Ltd. ( NASDAQ:PGY ) shares in the week since it released its...分析記事 • Nov 08
Pagaya Technologies Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:PGY) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 28%
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. ( NASDAQ:PGY ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 28...分析記事 • Oct 24
Pagaya Technologies (NASDAQ:PGY) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...業績と収益の成長予測
| 日付 | 収益 | 収益 | フリー・キャッシュフロー | 営業活動によるキャッシュ | 平均アナリスト数 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 1,866 | 298 | N/A | N/A | 2 |
| 12/31/2027 | 1,668 | 201 | N/A | 366 | 10 |
| 12/31/2026 | 1,471 | 136 | N/A | 297 | 10 |
| 3/31/2026 | 1,329 | 94 | 218 | 247 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 1,301 | 77 | 209 | 239 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 1,246 | -194 | 185 | 205 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 1,153 | -282 | 110 | 131 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 1,077 | -373 | 43 | 64 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 1,032 | -401 | 25 | 48 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 971 | -178 | 20 | 39 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 925 | -132 | 43 | 62 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 871 | -89 | 31 | 51 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 812 | -128 | -42 | -22 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 787 | -148 | -31 | -11 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 779 | -201 | -71 | -40 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 765 | -351 | -87 | -61 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 749 | -315 | -62 | -40 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 711 | -297 | -49 | -26 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 643 | -255 | 8 | 15 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 553 | -116 | 35 | 42 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 475 | -134 | 43 | 50 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 356 | -116 | 40 | 42 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 256 | -80 | 16 | 17 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 178 | -38 | 9 | 11 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 99 | 5 | 3 | 4 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 36 | -8 | N/A | -8 | N/A |
アナリストによる今後の成長予測
収入対貯蓄率: PGYの予測収益成長率 (年間35.9% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) を上回っています。
収益対市場: PGYの収益 ( 35.9% ) はUS市場 ( 16.7% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。
高成長収益: PGYの収益は今後 3 年間で 大幅に 増加すると予想されています。
収益対市場: PGYの収益 ( 12.3% ) US市場 ( 11.6% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。
高い収益成長: PGYの収益 ( 12.3% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。
一株当たり利益成長率予想
将来の株主資本利益率
将来のROE: PGYの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には高くなると予測されています ( 32.3 %)
成長企業の発掘
企業分析と財務データの現状
| データ | 最終更新日（UTC時間） |
|---|---|
| 企業分析 | 2026/05/13 12:19 |
| 終値 | 2026/05/13 00:00 |
| 収益 | 2026/03/31 |
| 年間収益 | 2025/12/31 |
データソース
企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。
| パッケージ | データ | タイムフレーム | 米国ソース例 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 会社財務 | 10年 |
| |
| アナリストのコンセンサス予想 | +プラス3年 |
|
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| 市場価格 | 30年 |
| |
| 所有権 | 10年 |
| |
| マネジメント | 10年 |
| |
| 主な進展 | 10年 |
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* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。
特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。
分析モデルとスノーフレーク
本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。
シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。
業界およびセクターの指標
私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。
アナリスト筋
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. 10 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。11
| アナリスト | 機関 |
|---|---|
| Mark Palmer | Benchmark Company |
| Michael Legg | Benchmark Company |
| Harold Goetsch | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |