Harley-Davidson 過去の業績
過去 基準チェック /16
Harley-Davidsonの収益は年間平均-7.1%の割合で減少していますが、 Auto業界の収益は年間 減少しています。収益は年間13% 1.6%割合で 減少しています。 Harley-Davidsonの自己資本利益率は7.2%であり、純利益率は5.3%です。
主要情報
-7.09%
収益成長率
-2.92%
EPS成長率
| Auto 業界の成長 | 23.94% |
| 収益成長率 | -1.57% |
| 株主資本利益率 | 7.22% |
| ネット・マージン | 5.34% |
| 前回の決算情報 | 31 Mar 2026 |
最近の業績更新
Recent updates
ナラティブの更新 • Jun 05
HOG: Turnaround Plan And Buybacks Will Confront Ongoing Demand And Dealer Risks
Analysts have raised the implied fair value for Harley-Davidson stock from about $22.14 to $25.45, citing higher Street price targets around $15, along with updated assumptions for slower revenue declines, improved profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed picture for Harley-Davidson, with several firms lifting price targets while still urging caution on the stock.ナラティブの更新 • Apr 28
HOG: Brand Refresh And Buybacks Will Confront Ongoing Demand And Dealer Concerns
The analyst price target for Harley-Davidson has been trimmed by less than $0.05, as analysts reflect weaker revenue growth assumptions alongside slightly firmer profit margin and lower future P/E expectations, following a series of reduced Street targets and new Underweight ratings that highlight demand concerns and business uncertainty. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Harley-Davidson clusters around concern for demand, dealer health and the longer term direction of the business, with several firms trimming price targets and leaning cautious on the shares.Seeking Alpha • Apr 16
Harley-Davidson: Losing Its Grip On The Road Ahead
Summary Harley-Davidson faces persistent volume declines, an aging customer base, and intensifying competition, with recent balance sheet improvements failing to address core structural challenges. HOG's 2026 outlook signals a reset year, with HDMC operating income expected between a $40M loss and a $10M profit, reflecting ongoing margin and demand pressures. Management's cost-cutting and inventory actions may steady operations, but demographic headwinds, tariffs, and weak pricing power limit prospects for real growth. I maintain a 'hold' rating, as valuation reflects some risks but lacks catalysts for upside; investors should remain cautious given limited visibility into a turnaround. Read the full article on Seeking Alphaナラティブの更新 • Apr 13
HOG: Product Refresh And Buybacks Will Counter Ongoing Demand And Dealer Concerns
Harley-Davidson’s analyst price target has been modestly adjusted to $22.18, as analysts factor in slightly less severe revenue contraction and profit margin pressure, along with a higher assumed future P/E and a wave of recent target cuts and Underweight ratings that highlight concerns around demand, dealer health, and overall business direction. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has leaned cautious, with several firms trimming price targets and initiating with Underweight or Neutral ratings.ナラティブの更新 • Mar 28
HOG: Product Refresh And Buybacks Will Offset Ongoing Demand And Dealer Pressures
Harley-Davidson's analyst price targets have been reset lower, with reductions from firms including UBS, Morgan Stanley, Baird, DA Davidson, and Citi. Wells Fargo also initiated coverage with an Underweight rating and a $15 target, as analysts highlight ongoing demand softness, dealer pressures, and uncertainty around the direction of the business.ナラティブの更新 • Mar 12
HOG: Product Refresh And Buybacks Will Support Future Brand And Margin Resilience
We are trimming our Harley-Davidson fair value estimate to $22.00 from $23.50, reflecting a series of lower Street price targets and analyst concerns about weak demand, dealer health, profit pressure, and higher implied future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Street research has tilted cautious on Harley-Davidson, with several firms reducing price targets and flagging execution and demand risks.ナラティブの更新 • Feb 25
HOG: Product Refresh And Share Repurchases Will Support Future Margin Stability
The updated analyst price target for Harley-Davidson has been revised to $23.50 from $26.50. This change reflects recent cuts across the Street as analysts factor in a choppy consumer backdrop, softer profit expectations, and adjusted powersports estimates following Q4 results and industry events.ナラティブの更新 • Feb 10
HOG: Inventory Actions And Lower Price Models Will Support Future Margin Stability
Narrative Update: Harley-Davidson Analysts have reduced their price targets on Harley-Davidson by up to $5, citing weaker retail conditions, margin pressure from clearing inventory, and an expected shift toward lower price point models. This is reflected in lower EPS estimates for coming periods.分析記事 • Feb 09
Is Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) A Risky Investment?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...ナラティブの更新 • Jan 26
HOG: Inventory Cleanup And Dealer Health Efforts Will Support Future Margin Stability
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Harley-Davidson to $26.50 from $27.50, citing lower price targets and updated earnings expectations that reflect a softer retail backdrop, margin pressure from inventory clearance, and some product mix headwinds, even as recent commentary highlights efforts to improve dealer health and rebuild trust across the network. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Harley-Davidson point to a mixed setup, with price targets moving lower but with some constructive views on execution efforts and dealer health.ナラティブの更新 • Jan 09
HOG: New Leadership Actions Will Drive Inventory Cleanup And Margin Stability
Analysts have trimmed Harley-Davidson's blended price target to a range of about US$21 to US$30, citing concerns about weaker retail demand, inventory-related margin pressure and product mix. These factors are partly offset by confidence in new CEO led inventory actions and efforts to improve dealer health.ナラティブの更新 • Dec 18
HOG: New Leadership Will Drive Inventory Clearance And Future Margin Recovery
The analyst price target for Harley-Davidson has edged down by $0.10 as analysts factor in weaker retail demand, ongoing inventory clearance related margin pressure, and mixed views on the pace of recovery despite recent management actions to improve dealer health. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a divided view on Harley-Davidson's outlook, with some emphasizing operational progress and others highlighting structural headwinds that could weigh on valuation and earnings power.分析記事 • Dec 06
Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.18
Harley-Davidson, Inc. ( NYSE:HOG ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.18 per share on the 22nd of...ナラティブの更新 • Dec 04
HOG: New Leadership Will Drive Inventory Reset And Future Margin Stability
Harley-Davidson's analyst price target has been trimmed modestly, with fair value estimates easing by about $0.70 per share as analysts factor in weaker retail trends, margin pressure tied to inventory clearance, and a slightly lower future earnings multiple, despite ongoing efforts to improve dealer health and rebuild network trust. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a widening divide between cautious and constructive views on Harley-Davidson, with valuation resets incorporating both near term execution risk and potential upside from operational changes under new leadership.ナラティブの更新 • Nov 20
HOG: New Leadership Will Drive Dealer Health And Inventory Improvement
Harley-Davidson's analyst price target has been revised downward by $1 to $28. Analysts cite ongoing inventory challenges, cautious retail trends, and mixed outlooks on recent management changes as key factors influencing the adjustment.分析記事 • Aug 29
A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Harley-Davidson, Inc.'s (NYSE:HOG) 26% Share Price Climb
Harley-Davidson, Inc. ( NYSE:HOG ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month...分析記事 • Jul 18
Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...分析記事 • Jun 16
Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.3x Harley-Davidson, Inc. ( NYSE:HOG ) may be sending very bullish...分析記事 • May 20
Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...分析記事 • Apr 22
Why Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG) Could Be Worth Watching
While Harley-Davidson, Inc. ( NYSE:HOG ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant share price...分析記事 • Mar 18
There's No Escaping Harley-Davidson, Inc.'s (NYSE:HOG) Muted Earnings
Harley-Davidson, Inc.'s ( NYSE:HOG ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7x might make it look like a strong buy...Seeking Alpha • Mar 04
Harley-Davidson: Secular Decline And Market Share Deterioration Weaken Outlook
Summary Harley-Davidson, Inc.'s sales have declined over the long term. On top of a secular decline in the US, the brand's market share has deteriorated in both the US and Europe. The company's LiveWire brand isn't gaining customers, generating significant losses and showing little promise for a turnaround. Dealers' overstocked inventories are exacerbating Harley-Davidson's weak short-term financial performance. Despite a P/E below 8, I don't believe HOG stock to be attractive. The company ultimately needs to stabilize its sales, which seems unlikely for now. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Feb 20
Harley-Davidson's (NYSE:HOG) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's
Harley-Davidson, Inc. ( NYSE:HOG ) will increase its dividend on the 14th of March to $0.18, which is 4.3% higher than...分析記事 • Feb 16
Some Investors May Be Worried About Harley-Davidson's (NYSE:HOG) Returns On Capital
To avoid investing in a business that's in decline, there's a few financial metrics that can provide early indications...分析記事 • Jan 31
Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...収支内訳
収支内訳
Harley-Davidson の稼ぎ方とお金の使い方。LTMベースの直近の報告された収益に基づく。
収益と収入の歴史
| 日付 | 収益 | 収益 | G+A経費 | 研究開発費 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 4,316 | 230 | 939 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 4,473 | 339 | 887 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 4,665 | 501 | 867 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 4,475 | 243 | 868 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 4,786 | 354 | 873 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 5,187 | 455 | 904 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 5,552 | 598 | 922 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 5,951 | 678 | 948 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 5,777 | 637 | 936 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 5,836 | 707 | 932 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 5,926 | 723 | 989 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 6,025 | 785 | 967 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 6,049 | 823 | 917 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 5,755 | 741 | 882 | 0 |
| 25 Sep 22 | 5,629 | 721 | 843 | 0 |
| 26 Jun 22 | 5,346 | 623 | 834 | 0 |
| 27 Mar 22 | 5,409 | 613 | 871 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 5,336 | 650 | 1,041 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 5,045 | 532 | 786 | 0 |
| 27 Jun 21 | 4,845 | 489 | 808 | 0 |
| 28 Mar 21 | 4,179 | 191 | 814 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 4,054 | 1 | 1,053 | 0 |
| 27 Sep 20 | 4,401 | 111 | 1,170 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 4,508 | 78 | 1,202 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 5,276 | 365 | 1,237 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 5,362 | 424 | 1,182 | 0 |
| 29 Sep 19 | 5,435 | 411 | 1,048 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 5,479 | 438 | 1,047 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 5,559 | 485 | 1,061 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 5,717 | 531 | 1,255 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 5,800 | 539 | 1,067 | 0 |
| 01 Jul 18 | 5,635 | 494 | 1,057 | 0 |
| 01 Apr 18 | 5,687 | 510 | 1,031 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 5,647 | 522 | 1,017 | 0 |
| 24 Sep 17 | 5,529 | 561 | 993 | 0 |
| 25 Jun 17 | 5,653 | 606 | 997 | 0 |
| 26 Mar 17 | 5,748 | 628 | 1,031 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 5,996 | 692 | 1,062 | 0 |
| 25 Sep 16 | 6,066 | 687 | 1,082 | 0 |
| 26 Jun 16 | 6,109 | 713 | 1,071 | 0 |
| 27 Mar 16 | 6,072 | 733 | 1,054 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 5,995 | 752 | 1,040 | 0 |
| 27 Sep 15 | 6,015 | 784 | 1,027 | 0 |
| 28 Jun 15 | 5,999 | 794 | 1,028 | 0 |
質の高い収益: HOGは 高品質の収益 を持っています。
利益率の向上: HOGの現在の純利益率 (5.3%)は、昨年(7.4%)よりも低くなっています。
フリー・キャッシュフローと収益の比較
過去の収益成長分析
収益動向: HOGの収益は過去 5 年間で年間7.1%減少しました。
成長の加速: HOGは過去 1 年間の収益成長がマイナスであったため、5 年間の平均と比較することはできません。
収益対業界: HOGは過去 1 年間で収益成長率がマイナス ( -34.8% ) となったため、 Auto業界平均 ( -5.1% ) と比較することが困難です。
株主資本利益率
高いROE: HOGの 自己資本利益率 ( 7.2% ) は 低い とみなされます。
総資産利益率
使用総資本利益率
過去の好業績企業の発掘
企業分析と財務データの現状
| データ | 最終更新日（UTC時間） |
|---|---|
| 企業分析 | 2026/06/09 10:26 |
| 終値 | 2026/06/09 00:00 |
| 収益 | 2026/03/31 |
| 年間収益 | 2025/12/31 |
データソース
企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。
| パッケージ | データ | タイムフレーム | 米国ソース例 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 会社財務 | 10年 |
| |
| アナリストのコンセンサス予想 | +プラス3年 |
|
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| 市場価格 | 30年 |
| |
| 所有権 | 10年 |
| |
| マネジメント | 10年 |
| |
| 主な進展 | 10年 |
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* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。
特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。
分析モデルとスノーフレーク
本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。
シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。
業界およびセクターの指標
私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。
アナリスト筋
Harley-Davidson, Inc. 12 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。28
| アナリスト | 機関 |
|---|---|
| David Coleman | Argus Research Company |
| Craig Kennison | Baird |
| Felicia Kantor Hendrix | Barclays |