Tesla（TSLA）株式概要
は、電気自動車、エネルギー生成・貯蔵システムの設計、開発、製造、リース、販売を米国、中国、および海外で行っている。 詳細
TSLA Community Fair Values
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Tesla, Inc. 競合他社
価格と性能
| 過去の株価 | |
|---|---|
| 現在の株価 | US$394.76 |
| 52週高値 | US$498.83 |
| 52週安値 | US$297.82 |
| ベータ | 1.8 |
| 1ヶ月の変化 | -2.87% |
| 3ヶ月変化 | 8.39% |
| 1年変化 | 24.57% |
| 3年間の変化 | 35.95% |
| 5年間の変化 | 83.26% |
| IPOからの変化 | 24,686.11% |
最新ニュース
Seeking Alpha • Jul 12
Tesla And The Emperor's New Clothes
Summary Tesla (TSLA) trades at a $1.5T valuation, yet its core auto business remains low-margin and capital-intensive, with free cash flow multiples exceeding 200x. TSLA's growth narrative is undermined by declining revenue, shrinking profit estimates, and surging capex, with 2026 capex guided above $20B—nearly double EBIT forecasts. Robotaxi and Optimus remain largely aspirational; tangible financial contribution and operational scale are absent, despite being central to the current valuation. Until autonomous and robotics initiatives deliver measurable cash flow and margins, TSLA's valuation is disconnected from its income statement reality. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブ更新 • Jun 29
TSLA: Safety Probes And Autonomy Delays Will Challenge AI Narrative Premium
The analyst price target for Tesla has been raised from $175.78 to $198.57 as analysts factor in slightly higher modeled revenue growth, modestly stronger profit margins, a lower discount rate, and a higher assumed future P/E multiple. This is tied to ongoing focus on robotaxis, Optimus, and AI driven narratives over near term delivery trends.Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Jul 12
Tesla And The Emperor's New Clothes
Summary Tesla (TSLA) trades at a $1.5T valuation, yet its core auto business remains low-margin and capital-intensive, with free cash flow multiples exceeding 200x. TSLA's growth narrative is undermined by declining revenue, shrinking profit estimates, and surging capex, with 2026 capex guided above $20B—nearly double EBIT forecasts. Robotaxi and Optimus remain largely aspirational; tangible financial contribution and operational scale are absent, despite being central to the current valuation. Until autonomous and robotics initiatives deliver measurable cash flow and margins, TSLA's valuation is disconnected from its income statement reality. Read the full article on Seeking Alphaナラティブ更新 • Jun 29
TSLA: Safety Probes And Autonomy Delays Will Challenge AI Narrative Premium
The analyst price target for Tesla has been raised from $175.78 to $198.57 as analysts factor in slightly higher modeled revenue growth, modestly stronger profit margins, a lower discount rate, and a higher assumed future P/E multiple. This is tied to ongoing focus on robotaxis, Optimus, and AI driven narratives over near term delivery trends.分析記事 • Jun 21
Tesla (TSLA) Stock Could Be 31.9% Undervalued After AI Spending Rise And FSD Scrutiny
Tesla (TSLA) is back in focus after raising its full year capital spending plans related to AI projects and robotaxis, while regulators in Europe and the U.S. scrutinize its Full Self Driving safety data and speed limit features. See our latest analysis for Tesla. Tesla’s 1 day share price return of 1.04% sits against a weaker 30 day share price return, down 4.15%, while a 24.31% 1 year total shareholder return points to longer term momentum despite recent regulatory headlines and higher AI...
ナラティブ更新 • Jun 15
TSLA: Physical AI And Energy Investments Will Offset Autonomy And Demand Concerns
Analysts have increased their Tesla fair value estimate by about $5 to roughly $421, reflecting slightly higher modeled revenue growth, a modestly lower discount rate, and ongoing debate over how much value to assign to the company's autonomous driving and physical AI ambitions versus mixed near term demand signals. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Tesla highlights a wide spread between bullish views that focus on autonomy and physical AI, and more cautious views that center on demand, execution risk, and valuation.
ナラティブ更新 • Jun 01
TSLA: Autonomy And AI Execution Will Drive Future Robotaxi Repricing
Analysts have nudged Tesla's price target higher by a few dollars to reflect slightly stronger modeled revenue growth, modestly improved profit margins, and a marginally lower discount rate, while still recognizing mixed views around execution, capital spending, and the pace of progress in autonomy and AI. Analyst Commentary Tesla continues to sit at the center of a wide debate, with research houses split between enthusiasm around autonomy and energy storage and concern around execution risk, capital intensity, and near term demand signals.ナラティブ更新 • May 12
TSLA: Autonomous And AI Platforms Will Drive Long-Term Equity Repricing
Analysts have made only modest tweaks to Tesla's discount rate and growth assumptions, but a sharp reset in expected profit margin and a much higher assumed future P/E now sit behind the updated $600 price target. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Tesla shows a wide range of opinions, but there is a clear group of bullish analysts who see meaningful upside potential tied to execution in autonomy, AI and the core vehicle and energy businesses.ナラティブ更新 • Apr 28
TSLA: Autonomy And Safety Set To Pressure Rich Future Earnings Multiple
Tesla's analyst fair value estimate has shifted from about $118.61 to roughly $175.78. Analysts point to mixed but generally constructive updates on price targets, as well as ongoing debates over autonomy, AI progress, and Q1 execution as key drivers of the change.ナラティブ更新 • Apr 14
TSLA: AI And Energy Expansion Will Offset Autonomy Execution Concerns
Analysts have nudged their Tesla price target slightly lower to about $415 from roughly $421, reflecting recent target cuts across the Street and updated views on growth, profitability and the valuation multiple applied to future earnings. Analyst Commentary Street research on Tesla currently shows a split view, with some price targets moving higher and others shifting lower, as analysts recalibrate for execution risks, capital needs and the value investors may be assigning to new AI and energy opportunities.
新しいナラティブ • Mar 31
Is Tesla a Stock or a Call Option? - A valuation nightmare!
TLDR Tesla is not being valued like a car company , but like a bundle of future bets sitting on top of a real operating business. The real upside the market is paying for is Robotaxi, Optimus / Physical AI, and Elon Musk premium.ナラティブ更新 • Mar 30
TSLA: AI And Energy Expansion Will Outweigh Autonomy And Auto Execution Risks
Tesla's updated analyst price target edges slightly lower to about $421 from $422, as analysts factor in more tempered revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, partially offset by higher long term P/E expectations and mixed views on robotaxi, energy and AI execution. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Tesla reflects a wide range of expectations around valuation, execution in new business lines, and the durability of its competitive position in autonomous driving and energy.
新しいナラティブ • Mar 28
The academically fascinating Tesla
Paraphrasing Charlie Munger, I would neither buy nor short Tesla, Inc. at present.ナラティブ更新 • Mar 16
TSLA: AI And Energy Bets Will Confront Auto And Autonomy Execution Risks
Narrative Update: Tesla The updated analyst price target for Tesla shifts slightly to about $422, as analysts factor in modest adjustments to revenue growth, profit margin assumptions, and a somewhat higher discount rate. This comes alongside mixed but generally constructive research that highlights Tesla's role in autonomous driving and energy, while acknowledging execution and cost risks.新しいナラティブ • Mar 07
Tesla will achieve a 392% PE ratio increase according to recent forecasts
Tesla (TSLA) Investment Narrative Tesla is one of the most prominent companies in the global transition toward electric vehicles and sustainable energy. The company designs and manufactures electric vehicles, battery storage systems, and solar energy products.ナラティブ更新 • Mar 02
TSLA: Energy And Physical AI Expansion Will Reshape Long-Term Equity Story
Analysts kept their Tesla fair value estimate unchanged at $600, while adjusting assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E to reflect a wider spread of recent price target changes and an increasing focus on the potential contribution from the Energy and AI businesses. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Tesla shows a wide spread of opinions, but there is a clear cluster of bullish analysts who see upside tied to execution in Energy and AI, as well as to progress in autonomous driving and robotics.新しいナラティブ • Feb 21
The Transition From Automaker To AI Behemoth Is Underway, But Priced In
Summary Tesla is actively transitioning its core business from automotive sales to real-world AI, including autonomous driving and humanoid robots. Robotaxi testing is progressing well, with plans to remove safety monitors and expand to seven new US cities in early 2026.新しいナラティブ • Feb 21
Tesla's Revenue to Soar 16% as Fair Value Hits 391.81 in Five Years
TESLA INC. NASDAQ: TSLA The Most Controversial Bet in Investing An Equity Narrative for Simply Wall St | February 2026 1.ナラティブ更新 • Feb 16
TSLA: AI And Energy Bets Will Test Weak Auto Fundamentals
Analysts have nudged their Tesla fair value estimate slightly higher to $421.73, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and Tesla's potential in areas like full self driving, physical AI, and energy, even as individual price targets across the Street have moved both up and down in recent weeks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Tesla shows a wide range of views, with some firms lifting price targets and others trimming them.ナラティブ更新 • Feb 02
TSLA: AI And Autonomy Bets Will Test Weak Auto Fundamentals
Analysts have nudged their Tesla price targets higher to around US$419 from about US$391, reflecting updated models that apply a richer future P/E assumption, even as they factor in more conservative revenue growth and profit margin expectations, alongside a slightly lower discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Tesla shows a wide spread of opinions, even as many firms revisit their price targets and long term assumptions.
ナラティブ更新 • Jan 29
The "Physical AI" Pivot is Now Obvious and Irreversible
For years, the debate has raged: Is Tesla a car company or a tech company? The Q4 2025 results didn't just answer that with words; they answered it with structural action.ナラティブ更新 • Jan 19
TSLA: Autonomy And Robotaxi Progress Will Reshape Long-Term Equity Story
Analysts have nudged their Tesla price targets higher by aligning models with slightly lower discount rates, marginally firmer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a modestly reduced future P/E multiple. Recent research highlights both upside tied to full self driving and robotaxi potential, as well as ongoing concerns about auto fundamentals and execution risk.ナラティブ更新 • Jan 05
TSLA: AI And Robotics Ambitions Will Reshape Long-Term Equity Story
Analysts have raised their Tesla fair value estimate from $500 to $600. They point to updated assumptions for higher revenue growth, wider profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple, even as recent research still highlights risks around delivery trends, spending plans, and governance.ナラティブ更新 • Dec 15
TSLA: AI And Autonomy Focus Will Deepen Risks From Weakening Core Demand
Analysts have modestly trimmed their Tesla price target to approximately $391 per share, reflecting slightly higher discount rates and marginally lower long term growth and margin assumptions, even as they continue to see meaningful upside from AI, autonomy and energy storage over time. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Tesla reflects a wide dispersion of views, with some firms leaning into the company’s AI and robotics optionality while others remain focused on execution risk in the core auto and capital intensity of the growth agenda.ナラティブ更新 • Dec 01
TSLA: Leadership Moves And Delivery Trends Will Define Upside Versus Mounting Execution Risks
Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Tesla, citing sustained revenue growth expectations and stabilization in electric vehicle deliveries. This comes despite continued concerns over margin pressure and rising capital expenditures.ナラティブ更新 • Nov 17
TSLA: Mixed Delivery Trends And Execution Risks Will Shape Outlook Amid Leadership Uncertainty
Tesla’s analyst price target has increased modestly to approximately $392.93, up about $1.61. Analysts point to stabilizing delivery volumes and a slightly stronger revenue growth outlook, partially offset by narrower profit margins.ナラティブ更新 • Nov 03
TSLA: Shareholder Pay Vote And Leadership Uncertainty Will Undermine Near-Term Performance
Analysts have increased their fair value estimate for Tesla to about $391 from $367 per share, citing slightly improved revenue growth and profit margin expectations. Recent Street research points to delivery stabilization, record Q3 results, and continued optimism around new products despite ongoing earnings variability.ナラティブ更新 • Oct 20
Autonomous Ride-Hailing, Energy Storage And AI Will Shape Future Markets
Tesla's analyst price target has been raised from $350.50 to $366.77 as analysts weigh continued optimism around the company's AI ventures and robotics pipeline. However, they cite moderating growth assumptions and increased industry competition.ナラティブ更新 • Oct 06
Autonomous Ride-Hailing, Energy Storage And AI Will Shape Future Markets
Tesla's analyst price target has increased from approximately $331.58 to $350.50, a rise of nearly $19. This change reflects analysts' optimism after stronger-than-expected Q3 vehicle deliveries, as well as expectations for improving profit margins and new model momentum.分析記事 • Sep 27
Tesla, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TSLA) 26% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues
Despite an already strong run, Tesla, Inc. ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last...ナラティブ更新 • Sep 21
Autonomous Ride-Hailing, Energy Storage And AI Will Shape Future Markets
Analysts have raised Tesla’s price target to $331.58, reflecting renewed optimism around Q3–Q4 deliveries, autonomy and robotics growth potential, and successful product rollouts like Robotaxi and FSD, despite near-term margin concerns and mixed views on demand sustainability. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlighted growing confidence in Tesla's Q3 and Q4 delivery volumes, citing upwardly revised estimates, particularly on the back of global survey data and new product/capacity developments, with expectations for long-term earnings growth from autonomy and robotics businesses.ナラティブ更新 • Sep 15
Tesla’s Nvidia Moment – The AI & Robotics Inflection Point
Wow, that was fast. The market is catching on quicker than I expected.ナラティブ更新 • Sep 12
Tesla’s Nvidia Moment – The AI & Robotics Inflection Point
The Market is Finally Waking Up to Tesla Tesla has officially hit my previous fair value target of $360, and after digging into their recent progress, I’m convinced the stock is heading towards $400 by the end of the year. The story here is simple: they are executing incredibly well on all the things that matter for long-term growth.ナラティブ更新 • Sep 06
Autonomous Ride-Hailing, Energy Storage And AI Will Shape Future Markets
Tesla’s consensus price target has increased modestly to $310.53, driven by optimism around Musk’s new incentive package and anticipated growth in autonomous, robotaxi, and robotics initiatives, though concerns remain over execution challenges and EV demand headwinds. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts see the new long-term incentive package for Elon Musk as a catalyst to boost investor sentiment, incentivize sustained leadership, and align Musk’s interests with shareholders, particularly as autonomous driving and robotics come to the forefront.
新しいナラティブ • May 02
Tesla’s Nvidia Moment – The AI & Robotics Inflection Point
AI & Automation – Tesla’s AI advancements, driven by Dojo, position the company as a major AI player. Musk noted that Tesla’s Cortex One training cluster, alongside Dojo, is scaling rapidly, with overSeeking Alpha • Apr 27
Tesla's Poor Earnings Reaffirms Our Top Short Pick
Summary Tesla's Q1 2025 results show a 20% decline in automotive revenues, with net GAAP income at $0.12/share, leading to a P/E of over 400x. Production and deliveries fell significantly, with a 16% YoY decline in production and a 13% drop in deliveries, indicating weak demand. Tesla's lack of technological differentiation and increased competition in FSD and energy storage sectors undermine its long-term growth prospects. With a P/E ratio far exceeding competitors and no clear path to revenue in key areas, Tesla remains our top short pick for 2025. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Apr 21
Tesla Q1 Preview: Expecting Near Record Revenues
Summary Despite a 40% YTD drop, I remain bullish on Tesla due to its diversified revenue streams and potential regulatory tailwinds. Tesla's Q1 delivery miss is minimal in the long run, with the company benefiting from a transforming auto industry and stronger non-auto revenues. Valuation suggests a 35.24% upside, projecting a share price of $325, driven by robust growth in Tesla's energy and autonomous driving sectors. Musk's involvement in DOGE is a concern, but Tesla's strong foundation and diversified revenue base make it a strong buy. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Apr 14
Tesla: Even More Bad News
Summary Tesla, Inc.'s stock price has plummeted over 45% since mid-December 2024, and I maintain a 'strong sell' rating due to further downside potential. Tesla is losing market share in both the U.S. and Europe, with declining sales in a growing EV market, which signifies losing market share. The U.S.-China trade war and tariffs risk is increasing Tesla's production costs and affecting its business operations, particularly in China. TSLA stock's valuation remains excessively high at ~46x forward-looking EV/EBITDA. Tesla doesn't deserve such a high valuation. Despite a substantial stock price fall, it remains overvalued and far from cheap. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Apr 06
Autonomous Driving And Retail Trader Buying Won't Steer Tesla's Stock Price
Summary I strongly disagree with Cathie Wood's 10X Tesla prediction: despite a recent decline to $217 and bounce to $280, I maintain a strong sell rating on TSLA stock. I believe autonomous driving won't significantly add to TSLA's value; the field is competitive and may end up as a standard feature rather than a profitable service. Retail traders ploughing in to "buy the dip" is a contrarian indicator. Overall, major tech stocks have performed poorly recently, and this may weigh on TSLA's elevated P/E. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha株主還元
| TSLA | US Auto | US 市場 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -6.0% | -2.8% | 0.1% |
| 1Y | 24.6% | 25.4% | 20.3% |
業界別リターン: TSLA過去 1 年間で25.4 % のリターンをもたらしたUS Auto業界と一致しました。
リターン対市場: TSLA過去 1 年間で20.3 % の収益を上げたUS市場を上回りました。
価格変動
| TSLA volatility | |
|---|---|
| TSLA Average Weekly Movement | 7.2% |
| Auto Industry Average Movement | 8.8% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.3% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.7% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
安定した株価: TSLA 、 US市場と比較して、過去 3 か月間で大きな価格変動はありませんでした。
時間の経過による変動: TSLAの 週次ボラティリティ ( 7% ) は過去 1 年間安定しています。
会社概要
| 設立 | 従業員 | CEO（最高経営責任者 | ウェブサイト |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | 134,785 | Elon Musk | www.tesla.com |
は、電気自動車、エネルギー生成・貯蔵システムの設計、開発、製造、リース、販売を米国、中国、および海外で行っている。同社は自動車部門とエネルギー生成・貯蔵部門の2部門で事業を展開している。同社は電気自動車を提供するほか、自動車規制クレジットの販売、非保証メンテナンスサービス、衝突、自動車保険サービス、部品販売、小売商品販売も行っている。また、直販・中古車販売、テスラ・スーパーチャージャー・ネットワーク、アプリ内アップグレードを通じたセダンやスポーツ用多目的車の提供、購入資金調達やリースサービス、直営サービス拠点やテスラ・モービル・サービス・テクニシャンによる電気自動車向けサービス、車両限定保証や延長サービスプランも提供している。さらに、ウェブサイト、店舗、ギャラリー、チャネルパートナーのネットワークを通じて、住宅、商業、工業用顧客や公益事業者向けに、太陽光発電や蓄電製品の設計、製造、設置、販売、リース、関連サービスを手がけている。パワーウォールやメガパックなどのリチウムイオン電池エネルギー貯蔵製品、ソーラーパネルやソーラールーフなどのエネルギー生成製品、自動運転開発および人工知能ソフトウェア、車両制御およびインフォテインメント・ソフトウェア、バッテリーおよびパワートレインなど。同社は以前はテスラ・モーターズ社として知られていたが、2017年2月にテスラ社に社名を変更した。は2003年に法人化され、テキサス州オースティンに本社を置いている。
Tesla, Inc. 基礎のまとめ
| TSLA 基礎統計学 | |
|---|---|
| 時価総額 | US$1.53t |
| 収益（TTM） | US$3.86b |
| 売上高(TTM) | US$97.88b |
383.9x
PER（株価収益率15.1x
P/SレシオTSLA は割高か？
公正価値と評価分析を参照収益と収入
| TSLA 損益計算書（TTM） | |
|---|---|
| 収益 | US$97.88b |
| 売上原価 | US$79.22b |
| 売上総利益 | US$18.66b |
| その他の費用 | US$14.80b |
| 収益 | US$3.86b |
直近の収益報告
Mar 31, 2026
次回決算日
Jul 22, 2026
| 一株当たり利益（EPS） | 1.03 |
| グロス・マージン | 19.07% |
| 純利益率 | 3.95% |
| 有利子負債／自己資本比率 | 10.6% |
TSLA の長期的なパフォーマンスは？
過去の実績と比較を見る企業分析と財務データの現状
| データ | 最終更新日（UTC時間） |
|---|---|
| 企業分析 | 2026/07/13 23:43 |
| 終値 | 2026/07/13 00:00 |
| 収益 | 2026/03/31 |
| 年間収益 | 2025/12/31 |
データソース
企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。
| パッケージ | データ | タイムフレーム | 米国ソース例 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 会社財務 | 10年 |
| |
| アナリストのコンセンサス予想 | +プラス3年 |
|
|
| 市場価格 | 30年 |
| |
| 所有権 | 10年 |
| |
| マネジメント | 10年 |
| |
| 主な進展 | 10年 |
|
* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。
特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。
分析モデルとスノーフレーク
このレポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は、当社のGitHubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの活用方法に関するガイドやYouTubeのチュートリアルも用意しています。
シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。
業界およびセクターの指標
私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。
アナリスト筋
Tesla, Inc. 46 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。82
| アナリスト | 機関 |
|---|---|
| William Selesky | Argus Research Company |
| Theodore O'Neill | Ascendiant Capital Markets LLC |
| Benjamin Kallo | Baird |