Tesla 過去の業績
過去 基準チェック /26
Teslaは、平均年間2.9%の収益成長を遂げていますが、 Auto業界の収益は、年間 減少しています。収益は、平均年間10% 14.5%収益成長率で 成長しています。 Teslaの自己資本利益率は4.6%であり、純利益率は3.9%です。
主要情報
2.87%
収益成長率
1.71%
EPS成長率
| Auto 業界の成長 | 23.94% |
| 収益成長率 | 14.53% |
| 株主資本利益率 | 4.63% |
| ネット・マージン | 3.95% |
| 前回の決算情報 | 31 Mar 2026 |
最近の業績更新
Recent updates
Tesla's Robotaxi Opportunity Is Dead In Light Of Waymo's Dominance
Summary Tesla remains a 'Strong Sell' as I expect continued underperformance versus the S&P 500 due to missed strategic opportunities. TSLA's robotaxi efforts lag far behind Waymo, with only 165 active vehicles versus Waymo's 3,000 and Level 4 autonomy. Waymo's rapid expansion and superior safety data highlight TSLA's inability to scale or compete meaningfully in the robotaxi market. Despite a massive global robotaxi TAM, TSLA's technological and executional shortfalls leave it a marginal player, justifying my bearish stance. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaTSLA: Autonomy And Safety Set To Pressure Rich Future Earnings Multiple
Tesla's analyst fair value estimate has shifted from about $118.61 to roughly $175.78. Analysts point to mixed but generally constructive updates on price targets, as well as ongoing debates over autonomy, AI progress, and Q1 execution as key drivers of the change.TSLA: AI And Energy Expansion Will Offset Autonomy Execution Concerns
Analysts have nudged their Tesla price target slightly lower to about $415 from roughly $421, reflecting recent target cuts across the Street and updated views on growth, profitability and the valuation multiple applied to future earnings. Analyst Commentary Street research on Tesla currently shows a split view, with some price targets moving higher and others shifting lower, as analysts recalibrate for execution risks, capital needs and the value investors may be assigning to new AI and energy opportunities.Is Tesla a Stock or a Call Option? - A valuation nightmare!
TLDR Tesla is not being valued like a car company , but like a bundle of future bets sitting on top of a real operating business. The real upside the market is paying for is Robotaxi, Optimus / Physical AI, and Elon Musk premium.TSLA: AI And Energy Expansion Will Outweigh Autonomy And Auto Execution Risks
Tesla's updated analyst price target edges slightly lower to about $421 from $422, as analysts factor in more tempered revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, partially offset by higher long term P/E expectations and mixed views on robotaxi, energy and AI execution. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Tesla reflects a wide range of expectations around valuation, execution in new business lines, and the durability of its competitive position in autonomous driving and energy.The academically fascinating Tesla
Paraphrasing Charlie Munger, I would neither buy nor short Tesla, Inc. at present.TSLA: AI And Energy Bets Will Confront Auto And Autonomy Execution Risks
Narrative Update: Tesla The updated analyst price target for Tesla shifts slightly to about $422, as analysts factor in modest adjustments to revenue growth, profit margin assumptions, and a somewhat higher discount rate. This comes alongside mixed but generally constructive research that highlights Tesla's role in autonomous driving and energy, while acknowledging execution and cost risks.Tesla will achieve a 392% PE ratio increase according to recent forecasts
Tesla (TSLA) Investment Narrative Tesla is one of the most prominent companies in the global transition toward electric vehicles and sustainable energy. The company designs and manufactures electric vehicles, battery storage systems, and solar energy products.TSLA: Energy And Physical AI Expansion Will Reshape Long-Term Equity Story
Analysts kept their Tesla fair value estimate unchanged at $600, while adjusting assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E to reflect a wider spread of recent price target changes and an increasing focus on the potential contribution from the Energy and AI businesses. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Tesla shows a wide spread of opinions, but there is a clear cluster of bullish analysts who see upside tied to execution in Energy and AI, as well as to progress in autonomous driving and robotics.The Transition From Automaker To AI Behemoth Is Underway, But Priced In
Summary Tesla is actively transitioning its core business from automotive sales to real-world AI, including autonomous driving and humanoid robots. Robotaxi testing is progressing well, with plans to remove safety monitors and expand to seven new US cities in early 2026.Tesla's Revenue to Soar 16% as Fair Value Hits 391.81 in Five Years
TESLA INC. NASDAQ: TSLA The Most Controversial Bet in Investing An Equity Narrative for Simply Wall St | February 2026 1.TSLA: AI And Energy Bets Will Test Weak Auto Fundamentals
Analysts have nudged their Tesla fair value estimate slightly higher to $421.73, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and Tesla's potential in areas like full self driving, physical AI, and energy, even as individual price targets across the Street have moved both up and down in recent weeks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Tesla shows a wide range of views, with some firms lifting price targets and others trimming them.TSLA: AI And Autonomy Bets Will Test Weak Auto Fundamentals
Analysts have nudged their Tesla price targets higher to around US$419 from about US$391, reflecting updated models that apply a richer future P/E assumption, even as they factor in more conservative revenue growth and profit margin expectations, alongside a slightly lower discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Tesla shows a wide spread of opinions, even as many firms revisit their price targets and long term assumptions.The "Physical AI" Pivot is Now Obvious and Irreversible
For years, the debate has raged: Is Tesla a car company or a tech company? The Q4 2025 results didn't just answer that with words; they answered it with structural action.TSLA: Autonomy And Robotaxi Progress Will Reshape Long-Term Equity Story
Analysts have nudged their Tesla price targets higher by aligning models with slightly lower discount rates, marginally firmer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a modestly reduced future P/E multiple. Recent research highlights both upside tied to full self driving and robotaxi potential, as well as ongoing concerns about auto fundamentals and execution risk.TSLA: AI And Robotics Ambitions Will Reshape Long-Term Equity Story
Analysts have raised their Tesla fair value estimate from $500 to $600. They point to updated assumptions for higher revenue growth, wider profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple, even as recent research still highlights risks around delivery trends, spending plans, and governance.TSLA: AI And Autonomy Focus Will Deepen Risks From Weakening Core Demand
Analysts have modestly trimmed their Tesla price target to approximately $391 per share, reflecting slightly higher discount rates and marginally lower long term growth and margin assumptions, even as they continue to see meaningful upside from AI, autonomy and energy storage over time. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Tesla reflects a wide dispersion of views, with some firms leaning into the company’s AI and robotics optionality while others remain focused on execution risk in the core auto and capital intensity of the growth agenda.TSLA: Leadership Moves And Delivery Trends Will Define Upside Versus Mounting Execution Risks
Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Tesla, citing sustained revenue growth expectations and stabilization in electric vehicle deliveries. This comes despite continued concerns over margin pressure and rising capital expenditures.TSLA: Mixed Delivery Trends And Execution Risks Will Shape Outlook Amid Leadership Uncertainty
Tesla’s analyst price target has increased modestly to approximately $392.93, up about $1.61. Analysts point to stabilizing delivery volumes and a slightly stronger revenue growth outlook, partially offset by narrower profit margins.TSLA: Shareholder Pay Vote And Leadership Uncertainty Will Undermine Near-Term Performance
Analysts have increased their fair value estimate for Tesla to about $391 from $367 per share, citing slightly improved revenue growth and profit margin expectations. Recent Street research points to delivery stabilization, record Q3 results, and continued optimism around new products despite ongoing earnings variability.Autonomous Ride-Hailing, Energy Storage And AI Will Shape Future Markets
Tesla's analyst price target has been raised from $350.50 to $366.77 as analysts weigh continued optimism around the company's AI ventures and robotics pipeline. However, they cite moderating growth assumptions and increased industry competition.Autonomous Ride-Hailing, Energy Storage And AI Will Shape Future Markets
Tesla's analyst price target has increased from approximately $331.58 to $350.50, a rise of nearly $19. This change reflects analysts' optimism after stronger-than-expected Q3 vehicle deliveries, as well as expectations for improving profit margins and new model momentum.Tesla, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TSLA) 26% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues
Despite an already strong run, Tesla, Inc. ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last...Autonomous Ride-Hailing, Energy Storage And AI Will Shape Future Markets
Analysts have raised Tesla’s price target to $331.58, reflecting renewed optimism around Q3–Q4 deliveries, autonomy and robotics growth potential, and successful product rollouts like Robotaxi and FSD, despite near-term margin concerns and mixed views on demand sustainability. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlighted growing confidence in Tesla's Q3 and Q4 delivery volumes, citing upwardly revised estimates, particularly on the back of global survey data and new product/capacity developments, with expectations for long-term earnings growth from autonomy and robotics businesses.Tesla’s Nvidia Moment – The AI & Robotics Inflection Point
Wow, that was fast. The market is catching on quicker than I expected.Tesla’s Nvidia Moment – The AI & Robotics Inflection Point
The Market is Finally Waking Up to Tesla Tesla has officially hit my previous fair value target of $360, and after digging into their recent progress, I’m convinced the stock is heading towards $400 by the end of the year. The story here is simple: they are executing incredibly well on all the things that matter for long-term growth.Autonomous Ride-Hailing, Energy Storage And AI Will Shape Future Markets
Tesla’s consensus price target has increased modestly to $310.53, driven by optimism around Musk’s new incentive package and anticipated growth in autonomous, robotaxi, and robotics initiatives, though concerns remain over execution challenges and EV demand headwinds. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts see the new long-term incentive package for Elon Musk as a catalyst to boost investor sentiment, incentivize sustained leadership, and align Musk’s interests with shareholders, particularly as autonomous driving and robotics come to the forefront.Weekly Picks: 💸 SUN's Insurance Dividends, NCH2's Hydrogen Exposure, and TSLA's Robotic Inflection Point
Why Suncorp’s insurance-only pivot gives it room to grow revenues, why Thyssenkrupp Nucera can leverage its unique position for green hydrogen adoption, and why Tesla is reaching an AI and robotics inflection pointSubdued Growth No Barrier To Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) With Shares Advancing 26%
Those holding Tesla, Inc. ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 26% in the last...Tesla’s Nvidia Moment – The AI & Robotics Inflection Point
AI & Automation – Tesla’s AI advancements, driven by Dojo, position the company as a major AI player. Musk noted that Tesla’s Cortex One training cluster, alongside Dojo, is scaling rapidly, with overTesla's Poor Earnings Reaffirms Our Top Short Pick
Summary Tesla's Q1 2025 results show a 20% decline in automotive revenues, with net GAAP income at $0.12/share, leading to a P/E of over 400x. Production and deliveries fell significantly, with a 16% YoY decline in production and a 13% drop in deliveries, indicating weak demand. Tesla's lack of technological differentiation and increased competition in FSD and energy storage sectors undermine its long-term growth prospects. With a P/E ratio far exceeding competitors and no clear path to revenue in key areas, Tesla remains our top short pick for 2025. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaTesla Q1 Preview: Expecting Near Record Revenues
Summary Despite a 40% YTD drop, I remain bullish on Tesla due to its diversified revenue streams and potential regulatory tailwinds. Tesla's Q1 delivery miss is minimal in the long run, with the company benefiting from a transforming auto industry and stronger non-auto revenues. Valuation suggests a 35.24% upside, projecting a share price of $325, driven by robust growth in Tesla's energy and autonomous driving sectors. Musk's involvement in DOGE is a concern, but Tesla's strong foundation and diversified revenue base make it a strong buy. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaTesla: Even More Bad News
Summary Tesla, Inc.'s stock price has plummeted over 45% since mid-December 2024, and I maintain a 'strong sell' rating due to further downside potential. Tesla is losing market share in both the U.S. and Europe, with declining sales in a growing EV market, which signifies losing market share. The U.S.-China trade war and tariffs risk is increasing Tesla's production costs and affecting its business operations, particularly in China. TSLA stock's valuation remains excessively high at ~46x forward-looking EV/EBITDA. Tesla doesn't deserve such a high valuation. Despite a substantial stock price fall, it remains overvalued and far from cheap. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAutonomous Driving And Retail Trader Buying Won't Steer Tesla's Stock Price
Summary I strongly disagree with Cathie Wood's 10X Tesla prediction: despite a recent decline to $217 and bounce to $280, I maintain a strong sell rating on TSLA stock. I believe autonomous driving won't significantly add to TSLA's value; the field is competitive and may end up as a standard feature rather than a profitable service. Retail traders ploughing in to "buy the dip" is a contrarian indicator. Overall, major tech stocks have performed poorly recently, and this may weigh on TSLA's elevated P/E. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRobotaxis, AI, And Broken Promises: Is Tesla Still Worth The Hype In 2025
Summary Tesla’s valuation remains extremely high relative to fundamentals, with forward earnings multiples outpacing its slowing growth and shrinking margins. Market sentiment and hype still heavily influence the stock, despite weak EPS and automotive revenue contraction. Deferred FSD revenue and limited Robotaxi rollout show promise, but currently lack meaningful financial impact. Energy storage growth is impressive, but it remains a small part of total revenue with unclear long-term margins. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaInside Tesla's Multi-Layered Growth Story
Summary Tesla generated $97.7 billion in 2024 revenue, but automotive sales declined 6% while energy revenue surged 67%. Automotive gross margin compressed to 17.9% as price cuts weighed on profitability despite record-low vehicle production costs. Tesla's FSD platform surpassed three billion miles, yet monetization remains limited due to regulatory constraints and rollout delays. Valuation sits at 93x forward P/E and 7x EV/Sales, supported by AI, energy, and autonomy-driven growth potential. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaElon Musk is a scam
It's just a car company. Level 4 autonomy is not going to be achieved for now while Elon Musk continuously insinuates that Level 5 autonomy will be available soon . Tesla has been sitting on the biggeTesla: Sell The Dip Before Things Get Worse
Summary Tesla's stock remains highly overpriced and risky despite a 41% YTD drop, making it a speculative investment with potential further downside. Tesla's competitive advantage has eroded, with stagnant deliveries, flat revenues, and declining operating margins, unlike its growing competitors like BYD. Furthermore, Musk's involvement in U.S. politics has made him very unpopular across the world, hurting Tesla's sales. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaTesla: Were We Wrong? An Important Update (Technical Analysis)
Summary We initially projected a pullback in Tesla to $302-$315, but prices extended lower, thereby completing a larger correction sooner than later. We share important price levels in the TSLA chart structure, and indicators that are flashing bullish at the moment. We use a probabilistic approach in our methodology for TSLA and like stocks. Let us show you how that works. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaElon Musk Has Become A Liability For Tesla
Summary Tesla's stock is down significantly in 2025, with shares underperforming the S&P 500, due to overvaluation and Elon Musk's controversial political involvement. Despite improved financials in 2024, Tesla's shares remain overpriced, with diminishing market share and increasing competition in the electric vehicle sector. Elon Musk's political actions, particularly his support for far-right causes, are alienating customers in Europe, negatively impacting Tesla's sales and reputation. I maintain a 'strong sell' rating for Tesla, predicting it will have the worst performance among the Magnificent 7 tech stocks by the end of 2025. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaElon Musk’s Vision Will Propel Tesla to New Heights
Cybertruck: This highly anticipated electric pickup truck is expected to hit the market soon. Its unique design and features could attract a new segment of customers.Tesla: Prepare For The Worst
Summary The latest developments are not giving reasons for optimism to Tesla, Inc.’s shareholders. TSLA stock is still detached from reality at the current valuation. We continue to believe that Tesla remains a SELL in the current environment. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaTesla: How We Nailed The Last 4 Turns And What's Next
Summary Our methodology, based on human behavior and mathematical patterns, has consistently identified pivotal moments in Tesla over the last several months. We share specific targets from our analysis for TSLA with key levels that will further validate our scenario. There is a more immediately bullish scenario for TSLA, which we also discuss. Our approach, grounded in decades of observation and practice, offers reliable guidance and risk management, making it a valuable tool for traders and investors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaTesla's Future Valuation Soars with 35x PE by 2030?
Tesla’s Future Valuation: A Deep Dive into 2030 Predictions1. Introduction: Why This MattersTesla is no longer just an automaker—it’s evolving into a technology powerhouse with AI, robotics, energy, a収支内訳
Tesla の稼ぎ方とお金の使い方。LTMベースの直近の報告された収益に基づく。
収益と収入の歴史
| 日付 | 収益 | 収益 | G+A経費 | 研究開発費 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 97,879 | 3,862 | 6,416 | 6,948 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 94,827 | 3,794 | 5,834 | 6,411 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 95,633 | 5,079 | 5,490 | 5,904 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 92,720 | 5,879 | 5,114 | 5,313 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 95,724 | 6,107 | 5,027 | 4,798 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 97,690 | 7,130 | 5,150 | 4,540 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 97,150 | 12,932 | 5,119 | 4,358 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 95,318 | 12,610 | 5,186 | 4,480 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 94,745 | 13,913 | 5,098 | 4,349 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 96,773 | 14,999 | 4,800 | 3,969 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 95,924 | 10,794 | 4,552 | 3,685 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 94,028 | 12,235 | 4,260 | 3,257 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 86,035 | 11,788 | 4,030 | 2,981 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 81,462 | 12,583 | 3,946 | 3,075 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 74,863 | 11,187 | 4,408 | 3,005 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 67,166 | 9,513 | 4,441 | 2,883 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 62,190 | 8,399 | 4,453 | 2,792 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 53,823 | 5,524 | 4,517 | 2,593 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 46,848 | 3,468 | 3,992 | 2,375 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 41,862 | 2,150 | 3,929 | 2,130 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 35,940 | 1,112 | 3,617 | 1,833 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 31,536 | 690 | 3,188 | 1,491 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 28,176 | 525 | 2,918 | 1,314 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 25,708 | 368 | 2,583 | 1,282 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 26,022 | -144 | 2,569 | 1,327 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 24,578 | -870 | 2,646 | 1,343 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 24,420 | -835 | 2,615 | 1,354 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 24,941 | -667 | 2,749 | 1,371 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 22,593 | -976 | 2,853 | 1,433 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 21,461 | -976 | 2,835 | 1,460 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 17,523 | -1,791 | 2,823 | 1,459 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 13,684 | -2,722 | 2,747 | 1,439 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 12,471 | -2,341 | 2,534 | 1,423 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 11,759 | -1,962 | 2,477 | 1,378 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 10,755 | -1,407 | 2,229 | 1,269 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 10,069 | -766 | 1,912 | 1,152 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 8,549 | -723 | 1,696 | 974 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 7,000 | -675 | 1,410 | 834 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 5,930 | -874 | 1,265 | 779 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 4,568 | -1,126 | 1,164 | 743 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 4,253 | -1,017 | 1,045 | 733 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 4,046 | -889 | 922 | 718 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 3,788 | -676 | 831 | 667 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 3,703 | -521 | 749 | 624 |
質の高い収益: TSLAは 高品質の収益 を持っています。
利益率の向上: TSLAの現在の純利益率 (3.9%)は、昨年(6.4%)よりも低くなっています。
フリー・キャッシュフローと収益の比較
過去の収益成長分析
収益動向: TSLAの収益は過去 5 年間で年間2.9%増加しました。
成長の加速: TSLAは過去 1 年間の収益成長がマイナスであったため、5 年間の平均と比較することはできません。
収益対業界: TSLAは過去 1 年間で収益成長率がマイナス ( -36.8% ) となったため、 Auto業界平均 ( -35.8% ) と比較することが困難です。
株主資本利益率
高いROE: TSLAの 自己資本利益率 ( 4.6% ) は 低い とみなされます。
総資産利益率
使用総資本利益率
過去の好業績企業の発掘
企業分析と財務データの現状
| データ | 最終更新日(UTC時間) |
|---|---|
| 企業分析 | 2026/05/07 19:23 |
| 終値 | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| 収益 | 2026/03/31 |
| 年間収益 | 2025/12/31 |
データソース
企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。
| パッケージ | データ | タイムフレーム | 米国ソース例 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 会社財務 | 10年 |
| |
| アナリストのコンセンサス予想 | +プラス3年 |
|
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| 市場価格 | 30年 |
| |
| 所有権 | 10年 |
| |
| マネジメント | 10年 |
| |
| 主な進展 | 10年 |
|
* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。
特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM(Trailing Twelve Month)またはLTM(Last Twelve Month)データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。
分析モデルとスノーフレーク
本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。
シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。
業界およびセクターの指標
私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。
アナリスト筋
Tesla, Inc. 45 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。86
| アナリスト | 機関 |
|---|---|
| William Selesky | Argus Research Company |
| Theodore O'Neill | Ascendiant Capital Markets LLC |
| Benjamin Kallo | Baird |