Coty Croissance future
Future contrôle des critères 3/6
Coty devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 111.8% et de 0.9% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 115.3% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 10.4% dans 3 ans.
Informations clés
111.8%
Taux de croissance des bénéfices
115.26%
Taux de croissance du BPA
| Personal Products croissance des bénéfices | 33.9% |
| Taux de croissance des recettes | 0.9% |
| Rendement futur des capitaux propres | 10.40% |
| Couverture par les analystes | Good |
| Dernière mise à jour | 21 May 2026 |
Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 15
Coty: A Tough Quarter, But Still Deep Value
Summary Coty faces worsening fundamentals: Q3 sales fell 7%, leverage rose to 3.4x, and a $363M Consumer Beauty impairment was recorded. Despite setbacks, COTY reaffirmed FY EBITDA guidance ($838–$848M) and raised EPS, demonstrating cost discipline and resilience in prestige franchises. Prestige brands show momentum, but structural risks persist: Gucci license expiry (2028), Consumer Beauty decline, and ongoing securities litigation. I maintain a Buy rating at 7x EV/EBITDA, but patience, conviction monitoring, and Q4 updates on post-Gucci strategy are critical. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Mise à jour du récit • May 03
COTY: Higher Margin Profile Will Counter Softer Beauty Trends Over Time
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Coty by a few dollars per share, reflecting more cautious assumptions on long term revenue growth and valuation multiples, while acknowledging a higher projected profit margin. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Coty has centered on a series of modest price target cuts in both US dollars and euros, with most firms keeping their broader views intact while fine tuning assumptions on growth and profitability.
Mise à jour du récit • Apr 19
COTY: Lowered Earnings Visibility Will Pressure P/E Reset And Fragrance Reliance
Analysts have reduced Coty’s fair value estimate from $2.30 to $1.50, reflecting lower price targets across several firms as they incorporate updates to growth, margin and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research reports point to a clear trend of lower price targets for Coty, with multiple bearish analysts revisiting their models and resetting expectations.
Mise à jour du récit • Apr 05
COTY: Prestige Execution And Higher Future P/E Will Support Earnings Power
Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Coty by about $1 on average, citing lower assumed revenue growth, slightly softer profit margins and a higher discount rate, partially offset by a higher future P/E assumption. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Coty has largely centered on modestly lower price targets, with most firms adjusting their models rather than making wholesale changes to their views.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 22
COTY: Modest P/E Reset And New CEO Will Shape Fragrance Reliance
Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Coty by around $1 per share, reflecting slightly higher discount rates even as forecasts for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples remain generally supportive of the long term story. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Coty points to a cluster of modest price target reductions across multiple firms in a short time frame.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 07
COTY: Gucci License Exit And New CEO Will Test Fragrance Reliance
The analyst price target on Coty has been reduced by about $0.50, as analysts factor in lower fair value estimates and more moderate revenue growth and margin assumptions, even as they apply a slightly lower discount rate and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Coty has leaned cautious, with several bearish analysts trimming their price targets in relatively quick succession.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 21
COTY: Interim CEO Transition And Prestige Execution Will Support Future Earnings Power
Coty's updated analyst price target edges lower, reflecting a fair value move from $8.05 to $6.98 as analysts temper expectations around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on Coty has centered on recalibrated price targets, with several firms adjusting their fair value estimates in light of updated views on revenue, margins, and P/E assumptions.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 06
COTY: Interim CEO And Prestige Execution Will Support Earnings Power
Analysts have nudged their price targets on Coty slightly lower, with cuts such as US$0.10 to US$0.50 revisions from several firms. These adjustments reflect updated views on fair value, discount rates, growth, margins and future P/E assumptions.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 23
COTY: Interim CEO Appointment Will Support Prestige Launches And Margin Execution
Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Coty by a modest amount, with recent Street research pointing to updated views on fair value, growth, margins and P/E assumptions. These now support an implied value of about US$8.06 per share versus US$7.69 previously.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 08
COTY: Proprietary Capabilities Will Counter Gucci License Loss Over Time
The analyst price target for Coty has been trimmed to US$4 from US$4.83, as analysts factor in a slightly lower fair value, modestly softer revenue growth assumptions, and the future loss of the Gucci Beauty license. This is partly offset by marginally higher projected profit margins and a lower future P/E multiple.Mise à jour du récit • Dec 24
COTY: Gucci License Exit Will Test Fragrance Reliance And Proprietary Capabilities
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Coty from $4.50 to $4.00 per share as they weigh stronger long term growth and margin prospects against the looming loss of the Gucci license and the need for greater proprietary innovation. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts view the Kering and L Oreal transaction as a structural turning point for Coty, sharpening focus on the company’s execution risks and the durability of its growth algorithms.Mise à jour du récit • Dec 10
COTY: Proprietary Brand Building Will Offset Gucci License Loss Over Time
Analysts have nudged their price target on Coty slightly lower to around $4 per share, reflecting concerns over the long term impact of losing the Gucci beauty license, even as they highlight the need for greater proprietary innovation and brand building. Analyst Commentary Analysts are broadly aligned that the Kering and L Oreal transaction heightens the strategic stakes for Coty, with the loss of key licenses forcing a sharper focus on what can drive sustainable, standalone value over the next several years.Mise à jour du récit • Nov 26
COTY: Proprietary Brand Development Will Offset Gucci License Headwind
Analysts have lowered their price target for Coty from $5.05 to $4.86 per share, citing increased headwinds due to the forthcoming Gucci license loss and a delay in sales growth recovery. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst perspectives highlight a mix of optimism and caution for Coty as the company faces significant business developments, particularly the loss of the Gucci license and shifting competitive dynamics within the beauty sector.Mise à jour du récit • Sep 18
Easing Destocking And Premium Demand Will Drive Global Expansion
Despite ongoing operational headwinds, weak consumer beauty trends, and lingering management concerns, analysts have modestly raised Coty’s fair value estimate from $4.82 to $5.04, reflecting cautious optimism but requiring clear evidence of stabilization before a more positive stance. Analyst Commentary Weaker than expected fiscal Q4 results and underwhelming first half 2026 guidance; challenges expected to persist for at least two additional quarters.Mise à jour du récit • Aug 23
Restructured Divisions Will Open New Fragrance And Beauty Frontiers
Coty’s analyst price target was revised down from $6.44 to $4.96 due to weak recent results, persistent operational and market challenges, falling EBITDA expectations, and ongoing skepticism around management's ability to stabilize fundamentals in the near term. Analyst Commentary Weaker-than-expected fiscal Q4 results and guidance, with analysts citing disappointing first half 2026 outlook, ongoing operational issues, and expectations for further declines in adjusted EBITDA over the next two quarters.Article d’analyse • Jul 27
Coty Inc. (NYSE:COTY) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough
Coty Inc.'s ( NYSE:COTY ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x may look like a pretty appealing investment...Article d’analyse • Jun 30
Coty (NYSE:COTY) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Article d’analyse • Mar 04
Market Cool On Coty Inc.'s (NYSE:COTY) Revenues Pushing Shares 25% Lower
The Coty Inc. ( NYSE:COTY ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 25%. For...Article d’analyse • Feb 20
A Look At The Fair Value Of Coty Inc. (NYSE:COTY)
Key Insights Coty's estimated fair value is US$5.25 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Coty's US$5.53 share...Article d’analyse • Feb 04
Does Coty (NYSE:COTY) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Seeking Alpha • Jan 27
Coty: The Inflection Is Near As The Industry Rebounds
Summary Coty stock has underperformed since 2023, but management expects industry recovery and long-term growth, potentially boosting Coty's valuation multiples and stock price. COTY excels in prestige brands, driving growth and better margins, but faces challenges in consumer beauty brands with lower margins and higher competition. Despite a leveraged balance sheet, Coty's revenue and FCF growth projections are promising, with potential for significant returns if the industry stabilizes. Risks include macroeconomic disruptions and balance sheet issues, but Coty remains a solid investment for diversified portfolios with low beauty industry exposure. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArticle d’analyse • Dec 20
Investors Still Waiting For A Pull Back In Coty Inc. (NYSE:COTY)
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may...Article d’analyse • Nov 19
Coty Inc.'s (NYSE:COTY) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 17% Below Its Share Price
Key Insights The projected fair value for Coty is US$5.89 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Coty's US$7.07...Seeking Alpha • Nov 11
Coty: With The Makeover Now Complete, This Prospect Is A Beauty
Summary Coty's Q1 2025 results showed revenue in line with expectations, but missed earnings per share estimates, leading to a mixed bottom line performance. Despite past volatility and a 13.2% share price drop since 2021, Coty has shown revenue growth and improved cash flow metrics, warranting a soft 'buy' rating. Management's restructuring efforts have significantly reduced leverage and are expected to yield $120 million in annualized savings, enhancing the company's financial stability. Coty's diverse revenue streams, with significant growth in 'growth engine markets', position it attractively. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArticle d’analyse • Nov 04
Is Coty (NYSE:COTY) A Risky Investment?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Article d’analyse • Oct 13
Why Coty Inc. (NYSE:COTY) Could Be Worth Watching
Coty Inc. ( NYSE:COTY ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial...Article d’analyse • Sep 05
Coty Inc.'s (NYSE:COTY) P/S Still Appears To Be Reasonable
With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1.5x in the Personal Products industry in the United States...
Nouveau récit • Aug 27
Innovative Launches And Tactical Focus Elevate Brand Equity And Propel Growth
Coty's robust marketing spend aims at building brand equity and consumer loyalty, expected to drive long-term revenue through brand value enhancement.Seeking Alpha • Aug 21
Coty Q4: Earnings Turnaround Continues Despite Growth Hiccup (Rating Upgrade)
Summary Coty reported its Q4/FY2024 results, showing a hiccup in revenue growth but good underlying profitability under equity mark-to-market losses. The given FY2025 guidance expects Coty's good momentum to continue after the Q4 hiccup, being positive amid an uncertain macroeconomic backdrop. Coty's valuation has gotten fairer after my previous article, constituting a rating upgrade. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArticle d’analyse • Jul 31
Does Coty (NYSE:COTY) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Seeking Alpha • Jul 09
Coty: Smelling Sweeter But Not Enticing Enough To Buy
Summary Coty Inc. has been steadily growing since its 2019 turnaround plan, but long-term guidance may be too optimistic. Recent results show positive growth, but future targets may be challenging to achieve, leading to concerns about management's guidance and valuation. The company has significant capex and pays a lot of its EBITDA out through interest expense, so I'm willing to pay more for higher quality peers that don’t have Coty’s issues. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArticle d’analyse • Jun 24
With EPS Growth And More, Coty (NYSE:COTY) Makes An Interesting Case
Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...Article d’analyse • May 27
Market Participants Recognise Coty Inc.'s (NYSE:COTY) Earnings
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 44.2x Coty Inc. ( NYSE:COTY ) may be sending very bearish signals at the...Article d’analyse • May 13
Is It Time To Consider Buying Coty Inc. (NYSE:COTY)?
Coty Inc. ( NYSE:COTY ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial...Article d’analyse • Apr 29
Is Coty Inc. (NYSE:COTY) Trading At A 43% Discount?
Key Insights The projected fair value for Coty is US$20.15 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...Article d’analyse • Apr 14
Does Coty (NYSE:COTY) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Article d’analyse • Mar 17
With EPS Growth And More, Coty (NYSE:COTY) Makes An Interesting Case
Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus
| Date | Recettes | Les revenus | Flux de trésorerie disponible | Cash from Op | Moy. Nombre d'analystes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/30/2028 | 5,927 | 214 | 452 | 736 | 10 |
| 6/30/2027 | 5,792 | 151 | 411 | 694 | 16 |
| 6/30/2026 | 5,731 | -520 | 339 | 587 | 13 |
| 3/31/2026 | 5,790 | -546 | 311 | 505 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 5,807 | -543 | 391 | 586 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 5,799 | -396 | 299 | 490 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 5,893 | -381 | 278 | 493 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 6,004 | -409 | 359 | 586 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 6,090 | 0 | 294 | 538 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 6,148 | 158 | 236 | 496 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 6,118 | 76 | 369 | 615 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 6,106 | 206 | 291 | 543 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 6,010 | 311 | 347 | 588 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 5,806 | 368 | 439 | 649 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 5,554 | 495 | 403 | 626 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 5,371 | 179 | 291 | 488 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 5,268 | 124 | 447 | 637 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 5,323 | 78 | 400 | 604 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 5,304 | 56 | 553 | 727 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 5,199 | 120 | 629 | 792 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 5,040 | 70 | 432 | 581 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 4,878 | -159 | 414 | 562 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 4,630 | -166 | 145 | 319 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 4,128 | -641 | -174 | 31 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 4,163 | -951 | -274 | -40 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 4,431 | -1,017 | -300 | -48 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 4,718 | -1,100 | -318 | -51 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 3,912 | -3,325 | 91 | 393 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 4,840 | -3,026 | N/A | 864 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 5,668 | -3,880 | N/A | 761 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 6,288 | -3,905 | N/A | 640 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 8,833 | -1,166 | N/A | 676 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 9,065 | -1,231 | N/A | 344 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 9,191 | -161 | N/A | 341 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 6,842 | -403 | N/A | 414 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 9,340 | -292 | N/A | 240 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 9,149 | -379 | N/A | 402 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 8,808 | -442 | N/A | 764 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 7,650 | -422 | N/A | 758 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 6,485 | -148 | N/A | 763 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 5,403 | -11 | N/A | 648 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 4,317 | 31 | N/A | 370 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 4,349 | 157 | N/A | 501 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 4,293 | 209 | N/A | 583 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 4,276 | 311 | N/A | 688 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 4,325 | 348 | N/A | 617 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 4,395 | 233 | N/A | 526 | N/A |
Prévisions de croissance des analystes
Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: COTY devrait devenir rentable au cours des 3 prochaines années, ce qui est considéré comme une croissance plus rapide que le taux d'épargne ( 3.5% ).
Bénéfices vs marché: COTY devrait devenir rentable au cours des 3 prochaines années, ce qui est considéré comme une croissance supérieure à la moyenne du marché.
Croissance élevée des bénéfices: COTY devrait devenir rentable dans les 3 prochaines années.
Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de COTY ( 0.9% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que le marché de US ( 11.7% par an).
Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de COTY ( 0.9% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.
Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action
Rendement futur des capitaux propres
ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de COTY devrait être faible dans 3 ans ( 10.4 %).
Découvrir les entreprises en croissance
Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/05/24 13:37 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2026/03/31 |
| Revenus annuels | 2025/06/30 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
|
|
| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
|
* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.
Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
Coty Inc. est couverte par 29 analystes. 16 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| Mariano Szachtman | Banco Santander |
| Lauren Lieberman | Barclays |
| Lauren Lieberman | Barclays |