With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1.5x in the Personal Products industry in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Coty Inc.'s (NYSE:COTY) P/S ratio of 1.3x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
See our latest analysis for Coty
How Has Coty Performed Recently?
Recent times have been advantageous for Coty as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this strong revenue performance might be about to tail off. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Coty.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Coty?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Coty would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 10%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 32% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 5.9% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 4.6% growth each year, the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.
With this in mind, it makes sense that Coty's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've seen that Coty maintains an adequate P/S seeing as its revenue growth figures match the rest of the industry. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in revenue isn't great enough to push P/S in a higher or lower direction. All things considered, if the P/S and revenue estimates contain no major shocks, then it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Coty (at least 1 which can't be ignored), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:COTY
Coty
Manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells beauty products worldwide.
Fair value with moderate growth potential.