Par Pacific Holdings Croissance future
Future contrôle des critères 0/6
Le chiffre d'affaires et le bénéfice de Par Pacific Holdings devraient diminuer respectivement de 1.3% et de 11.3% par an. Le BPA devrait diminuer de 8.4% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être de 17.9% dans 3 ans.
Informations clés
-11.3%
Taux de croissance des bénéfices
-8.43%
Taux de croissance du BPA
| Oil and Gas croissance des bénéfices | 11.3% |
| Taux de croissance des recettes | -1.3% |
| Rendement futur des capitaux propres | 17.93% |
| Couverture par les analystes | Low |
| Dernière mise à jour | 07 May 2026 |
Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 20
Par Pacific: Crack Spread Euphoria Creates 40% Downside
Summary Par Pacific is up over 70% YTD, driven by elevated crack spreads and strong refinery performance, particularly in Hawaii. PARR’s operational leverage has delivered exceptional cash flow, but current crack spreads are unsustainable, exposing significant downside risk as mean reversion is likely. Valuation appears stretched with minimal upside; normalized EBITDA and a cyclical business model suggest approximately 40% downside from current levels. I rate PARR a sell, preferring to wait for crack spread normalization before considering a long position despite the company’s strong asset base and buyback activity. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Mise à jour du récit • May 19
PARR: Higher Oil Assumptions And New Pipelines Will Shape Future Refining Margins
Analysts have lifted Par Pacific Holdings' fair value estimate from $40.00 to $58.00, reflecting recent price target increases across the Street tied to updated oil price outlooks, revised earnings assumptions, and higher projected P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Par Pacific points to a mixed setup for investors, with several firms updating price targets and oil assumptions while keeping a close eye on earnings quality, regional exposure, and refining margins.
Mise à jour du récit • Apr 29
PARR: Future Share Buybacks And Higher Oil Assumptions Will Support Upside
Analysts have lifted their price targets on Par Pacific Holdings, reflected in a new fair value estimate moving from $60.53 to $80.00 as they factor in updated views on revenue growth, profitability, discount rate assumptions, and a lower forward P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Par Pacific Holdings has leaned constructive, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets and, in some cases, upgrading their views as they reassess valuation, sector conditions, and company specific execution.
Mise à jour du récit • Apr 14
PARR: Crude Trade Flows And Capital Returns Will Shape Future Refining Margins
Analysts have lifted the implied fair value for Par Pacific Holdings from $47.13 to $70.13, citing broadly higher Street price targets, slightly lower discount rates, less steep expected revenue declines, firmer profit margin assumptions, and a more moderate future P/E outlook. Analyst Commentary Street research on Par Pacific Holdings has been active, with multiple price target revisions and rating changes feeding into the higher implied fair value.Article d’analyse • Apr 10
Industry Analysts Just Made An Upgrade To Their Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Revenue Forecasts
Shareholders in Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:PARR ) may be thrilled to learn that the analysts have just delivered...Mise à jour du récit • Mar 31
PARR: Crude Trade Shifts Will Pressure Future Refining Margins
Par Pacific Holdings' updated analyst price targets have moved higher, with firms now generally looking for $48 to $58 per share as analysts factor in revised oil price assumptions, recent refining market commentary, and adjustments to earnings expectations reflected in the lower future P/E multiple and the improved profit margin outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Par Pacific highlights a mix of higher price targets and more cautious language around macro risks, crude flows, and refining cyclicality.
Mise à jour du récit • Mar 20
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR): The Regional Energy Arbiter – Capturing the Island & Rockies Premium
Vestra made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 16
PARR: Crude Trade Shifts And Maintenance Risks Will Pressure Future Margins
Narrative Update: Par Pacific Holdings Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Par Pacific Holdings up by $1 to $40, as recent price target revisions in the $48 to $57 range reflect updated views on refining conditions, regional maintenance impacts, and shifting crude trade flows. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Par Pacific cluster around higher price targets in the US$48 to US$57 range, but the commentary behind those numbers flags several risks that are worth keeping in mind.Nouveau récit • Mar 04
Par Pacific Holdings (PARR): The Infrastructure Arbiter – Mastering Refining Margins in 2026.
Par Pacific Holdings (PARR) is currently operating as a high-leverage play on specialized regional energy markets, trading at $49.69 as of the March 4, 2026, close. The stock experienced a significant 8.59% surge today, fueled by strong momentum following its late-February earnings release and a general rally in mid-cap energy names.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 02
PARR: Crude Trade Flow Shifts And Refining Margins Will Shape Prospects
Narrative Update on Par Pacific Holdings Analysts have lifted their average price target for Par Pacific Holdings by about $1.63, toward a fair value of roughly $47.13, as they factor in recent price target revisions in the $48 to $57 range and refine assumptions around discount rates, revenue trends, margins, and future P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Par Pacific Holdings highlights a mix of optimism around refining fundamentals and caution about external factors that could influence margins and crude sourcing over time.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 16
PARR: Crude Trade Flow Shifts And Refining Fundamentals Will Shape Returns
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Par Pacific Holdings from $47.38 to $45.50, in line with recent cuts to Street price targets as they consider updated views on crude trade flows, refining conditions, revenue trends and profit margins. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary around Par Pacific Holdings focuses less on company specific execution and more on how shifting crude trade flows and refining supply demand could feed into valuation over time.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 02
PARR: Crude Trade Shifts And Buybacks Will Shape Refining Margins And Returns
Analysts have reduced their average price target on Par Pacific Holdings by US$2, citing recent cuts from Piper Sandler that reflect evolving crude trade flows and a more cautious view on crude prices, while still noting supportive conditions for U.S. refiners. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Par Pacific Holdings shows a series of reduced price targets that point to a more cautious tone, even as some analysts still see supportive conditions for U.S. refiners.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 19
PARR: Crude Trade Shifts And Share Buybacks Will Shape Future Earnings Power
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Par Pacific Holdings from US$23.00 to US$39.00, pointing to a higher assumed future P/E of about 16x, a lower discount rate, and shifting views on margins and revenue trends influenced by recent research around crude trade flows and refining supply and demand. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed picture for Par Pacific Holdings, with price targets being trimmed even as some commentary highlights supportive refining fundamentals.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 05
PARR: Future Share Buybacks Will Support Cash Returns Despite Softer Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Par Pacific Holdings to about US$60.53 from roughly US$61.73, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rate and profit assumptions in their models. What's in the News Par Pacific Holdings repurchased 515,523 shares from July 1, 2025 to September 30, 2025, for US$16.28 million, representing 1.02% of its shares.Article d’analyse • Jan 01
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 26%
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:PARR ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period...Mise à jour du récit • Dec 14
PARR: Future Cash Returns Will Benefit From Lower Perceived Risk
Analysts have significantly raised their price target on Par Pacific Holdings from 39 dollars to approximately 61.73 dollars, citing lower perceived risk, an improved revenue trajectory, and expectations for a higher future earnings multiple despite slimmer profit margins. What's in the News Completed a major share repurchase program, buying back a total of 5,165,264 shares (9.59% of outstanding stock) for 85.08 million dollars under the authorization announced on February 26, 2025 (Key Developments) Between July 1, 2025 and September 30, 2025, repurchased 515,523 shares (1.02% of outstanding stock) for 16.28 million dollars, signaling continued capital returns to shareholders (Key Developments) Valuation Changes Fair Value: increased significantly from approximately 39 dollars to about 61.73 dollars per share, indicating a higher intrinsic valuation.Mise à jour du récit • Nov 30
PARR: Ongoing Buybacks And Lower Risk Will Offset Revenue Headwinds
Analysts have raised their price target for Par Pacific Holdings from $44.00 to $47.38, citing updated fair value calculations and slight adjustments to long-term financial projections. What's in the News Par Pacific Holdings completed a share repurchase tranche from July 1, 2025 to September 30, 2025, buying back 515,523 shares for $16.28 million (Key Developments).Mise à jour du récit • Nov 15
PARR: Future Buybacks And Lower Risk Expectations Will Balance Profit Pressure
Analysts have raised their price target for Par Pacific Holdings from $40.38 to $44.00. This adjustment is based on reassessments of discount rates, revenue growth projections, and revised profit margin expectations.Mise à jour du récit • Nov 01
PARR: Share Buybacks And Easing Headwinds Will Support Future Stability
Analysts have raised their price target for Par Pacific Holdings from $39.63 to $40.38. They cite slight improvements in key financial projections and a lower discount rate, which together enhance the company's forecasted valuation.Mise à jour du récit • Oct 18
Asia Demand And Renewable Fuels Projects Will Shape Future Markets
Analysts have raised their price target for Par Pacific Holdings from $35.50 to $39.63, citing improved profit margin forecasts and a less negative outlook for revenue growth. What's in the News Par Pacific Holdings completed a share buyback tranche, repurchasing 1,605,727 shares (3.07%) for $27.94 million from April 1, 2025 to June 30, 2025.Mise à jour du récit • Oct 03
Asia Demand And Renewable Fuels Projects Will Shape Future Markets
Analysts have raised their price target for Par Pacific Holdings from $33.00 to $35.50, citing slightly improved profit margin expectations and a lower discount rate, even though they have adopted a more conservative outlook on future revenue growth. What's in the News Par Pacific Holdings has completed the repurchase of 4,649,741 shares, representing 8.58% of its outstanding shares, for a total of $68.8 million as part of its ongoing buyback program.Mise à jour du récit • Sep 17
Asia Demand And Renewable Fuels Projects Will Shape Future Markets
Par Pacific Holdings’ consensus price target has increased to $33.00, as a sharply higher expected P/E multiple outweighed the impact of a notable decline in net profit margin. What's in the News Par Pacific Holdings completed the repurchase of 4,649,741 shares (8.58% of shares outstanding) for $68.8 million under its recent buyback program.Article d’analyse • Sep 06
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 25%
Despite an already strong run, Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:PARR ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of...Article d’analyse • Jul 02
Improved Revenues Required Before Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Stock's 30% Jump Looks Justified
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:PARR ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month...Article d’analyse • May 09
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:PARR) Shares Bounce 34% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:PARR ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great...Article d’analyse • Apr 23
Par Pacific Holdings (NYSE:PARR) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's...Article d’analyse • Mar 01
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Consensus Forecasts Have Become A Little Darker Since Its Latest Report
Shareholders might have noticed that Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:PARR ) filed its annual result this time last...Article d’analyse • Jan 14
Improved Earnings Required Before Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Shares Find Their Feet
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may...Article d’analyse • Nov 20
Par Pacific Holdings' (NYSE:PARR) Anemic Earnings Might Be Worse Than You Think
The subdued market reaction suggests that Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.'s ( NYSE:PARR ) recent earnings didn't contain any...Seeking Alpha • Nov 12
Par Pacific: Rolling The Dice With Debt-Funded Share Buybacks
Summary Management of Par Pacific believes they have circa $330m of excess liquidity and plan to continue share buybacks during this downturn. These will likely be debt-funded, which is controversial and raises questions regarding the extent of the risks. They have zero debt maturities for over three years, plus a healthy cash balance and no plan for higher capital expenditure, so there are no immediate issues. Their notoriously volatile industry still poses risks because the severity and length of this downturn are uncertain. If executed skilfully, it could translate into significant capital gains by removing upwards of one-third of their outstanding share count from the market. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArticle d’analyse • Oct 30
Is Par Pacific Holdings (NYSE:PARR) A Risky Investment?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Article d’analyse • Oct 04
Benign Growth For Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Underpins Its Share Price
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.'s ( NYSE:PARR ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 2.3x might make it look like a strong...
Nouveau récit • Sep 14
Refinery Reliability And Renewable Shifts Spark Hope Amid Forecasts Of Shrinking Profits
Strategic growth initiatives and operational improvements in refineries bolster revenue streams by diversifying products and enhancing production efficiency.Article d’analyse • Jul 30
Is Par Pacific Holdings (NYSE:PARR) Using Too Much Debt?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus
| Date | Recettes | Les revenus | Flux de trésorerie disponible | Cash from Op | Moy. Nombre d'analystes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 7,288 | N/A | 249 | N/A | 2 |
| 12/31/2027 | 7,716 | 378 | 266 | 715 | 5 |
| 12/31/2026 | 8,309 | 670 | 619 | 863 | 5 |
| 3/31/2026 | 7,543 | 454 | 255 | 406 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 7,465 | 369 | 296 | 445 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 7,484 | 236 | 167 | 336 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 7,615 | -19 | 30 | 195 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 7,739 | -60 | -97 | 57 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 7,974 | -33 | -52 | 84 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 8,326 | 312 | -19 | 97 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 8,761 | 476 | 177 | 288 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 8,528 | 487 | 374 | 465 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 8,232 | 729 | 497 | 579 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 7,857 | 524 | 596 | 665 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 7,334 | 620 | 682 | 737 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 7,657 | 739 | 549 | 599 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 7,322 | 364 | 400 | 453 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 6,806 | 288 | 240 | 287 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 6,061 | 102 | -46 | -2 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 5,172 | -156 | -42 | -5 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 4,710 | -81 | -57 | -28 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 4,132 | -221 | -51 | -9 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 3,512 | -317 | -117 | -69 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 2,809 | -249 | -139 | -82 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 3,125 | -409 | -101 | -37 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 3,808 | -242 | -29 | 33 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 4,520 | -311 | 42 | 115 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 5,414 | -242 | 96 | 177 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 5,402 | 40 | N/A | 106 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 4,881 | 19 | N/A | 137 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 4,390 | 96 | N/A | 84 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 3,837 | 84 | N/A | 21 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 3,411 | 39 | N/A | 91 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 3,195 | 44 | N/A | 53 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 2,895 | 68 | N/A | 76 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 2,603 | 59 | N/A | 94 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 2,443 | 72 | N/A | 106 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 2,343 | 67 | N/A | 123 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 2,243 | 20 | N/A | 67 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 2,092 | 0 | N/A | -11 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 1,865 | -46 | N/A | -23 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 1,745 | -126 | N/A | -53 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 1,731 | -84 | N/A | 5 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 1,901 | -59 | N/A | 58 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 2,066 | -40 | N/A | 132 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 2,331 | 58 | N/A | 166 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 2,690 | 4 | N/A | 117 | N/A |
Prévisions de croissance des analystes
Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: Les bénéfices de PARR devraient diminuer au cours des 3 prochaines années ( -11.3% par an).
Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de PARR devraient diminuer au cours des 3 prochaines années ( -11.3% par an).
Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de PARR devraient baisser au cours des trois prochaines années.
Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Les revenus de PARR devraient diminuer au cours des 3 prochaines années ( -1.3% par an).
Croissance élevée des revenus: Les revenus de PARR devraient diminuer au cours des 3 prochaines années ( -1.3% par an).
Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action
Rendement futur des capitaux propres
ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de PARR devrait être faible dans 3 ans ( 17.9 %).
Découvrir les entreprises en croissance
Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/05/22 13:29 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2026/03/31 |
| Revenus annuels | 2025/12/31 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
|
|
| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
|
* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.
Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. est couverte par 18 analystes. 5 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| Rhett Bruno | BofA Global Research |
| Shannon Nome | Deutsche Bank |
| Neil Mehta | Goldman Sachs |