The GEO Group, Inc.

NYSE:GEO Rapport sur les actions

Capitalisation boursière : US$3.8b

GEO Group Gestion

Gestion contrôle des critères 1/4

Le PDG GEO Group est George Zoley, nommé en Mar2026, a un mandat de moins d'un an. La rémunération annuelle totale est $ 15.00M, composée du salaire de 7.7% et des bonus 92.3%, y compris les actions et options de la société. détient directement 3.05% des actions de la société, d'une valeur de $ 117.19M. La durée moyenne de mandat de l'équipe de direction et du conseil d'administration est respectivement 1.3 ans et 4.9 ans.

Informations clés

George Zoley

Directeur général

US$15.0m

Rémunération totale

Pourcentage du salaire du PDG7.65%
Durée du mandat du directeur généralless than a year
Propriété du PDG3.1%
Durée moyenne d'occupation des postes de direction1.3yrs
Durée moyenne du mandat des membres du conseil d'administration4.9yrs

Mises à jour récentes de la gestion

Recent updates

Article d’analyse Jun 20

GEO Group (GEO) Stock Near Fair Value After ICE Detention Standards Change

Why GEO Group Stock Is Back in Focus After ICE Detention Standard Changes GEO Group (GEO) is drawing attention after reports that U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement updated detention center standards in ways that reportedly reflect changes the company requested regarding language on detainee treatment. This development goes to the heart of GEO Group’s role as a government services contractor in secure facilities and immigrant detention, raising fresh questions about operational...
Mise à jour du récit Jun 11

GEO: ICE Detention Exposure And Political Ties Will Drive Future Upside Potential

Analysts have adjusted their price target on GEO Group to $33.00, reflecting updated views on discount rate assumptions, revenue growth expectations, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Watchdog group alleges GEO Group illegally directed US$250,000 to a political network tied to Rep.
Mise à jour du récit May 28

GEO: ICE Detention Demand And Political Scrutiny Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have adjusted their price target for GEO Group to $29.50, with the change primarily reflecting minor updates to the discount rate and expected future P/E, rather than any major shift in the underlying fair value assumptions. What's in the News The House Oversight Committee opened an inquiry into Corey Lewandowski that mentions GEO Group in related reporting (NBC News).
Seeking Alpha May 21

GEO Group: Q1 Results Validate The Turnaround, But Policy Risks Remain

Summary The GEO Group Inc. delivered a strong Q1 '26, with 17% revenue growth, 32% EBITDA growth, and raised full-year guidance across all metrics. Despite operational strength and a robust contract backlog, GEO's valuation at $22 now reflects fair value, not a discount, given persistent policy risk. ICE contracts account for 51% of revenue, and unresolved policy risk can trigger rapid stock repricing, as seen with a 13% drop on a single headline. I rate GEO a hold, as the risk/reward at current levels lacks sufficient margin of safety despite management’s solid execution and capital allocation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Mise à jour du récit May 13

GEO: ICE Detention Spending And Political Scrutiny Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their GEO Group price targets, with recent cuts such as a move to $28 from $35, mainly citing slower than expected growth following the company’s Q4 results and 2026 guidance. Analyst Commentary Recent research comments have focused on how GEO Group’s updated Q4 results and 2026 guidance feed into both growth expectations and the valuation framework that analysts are using.
Mise à jour du récit Apr 28

GEO: ICE Detention Spending And 2026 Guidance Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on GEO Group, with reductions such as from $35 to $28, reflecting slower than anticipated growth following recent Q4 results and 2026 guidance updates. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are trimming price targets on GEO Group, but are still signaling confidence in the company’s long term execution and growth potential despite the slower than anticipated trajectory implied by Q4 results and 2026 guidance.
Mise à jour du récit Apr 13

GEO: Slower Guidance And Leadership Shifts Set Up Future Detention Upside

Analysts have reduced GEO Group's fair value estimate to $27 from $35, reflecting updated expectations for slower growth and lower profit margins following recent guidance. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have moved to lower GEO Group's valuation anchors, pointing to slower growth expectations and pressure on profit margins after the latest quarter and 2026 guidance.
Mise à jour du récit Mar 30

GEO: ICE Detention Spending And 2026 Guidance Will Reset Earnings Expectations

Analysts have reduced their price expectations for GEO Group, with recent updates lowering targets to $28. This reflects slower than anticipated growth following the company’s Q4 results and 2026 guidance.
Mise à jour du récit Mar 16

GEO: ICE Detention Spending Upside Will Drive 2026 Earnings Repricing

Analysts have reduced the fair value estimate for GEO Group from $35.00 to $33.00, citing slower than anticipated growth, as reflected in recent price target cuts and updated earnings assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the recent fair value and price target revisions as a recalibration after updated Q4 results and 2026 guidance, rather than a shift away from a constructive long term view on GEO Group.
Mise à jour du récit Mar 02

GEO: ICE Detention Spending And Buybacks Will Support Path Toward $3b Revenue

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for GEO Group to $29.50 from $32.25, citing slower than anticipated growth, as reflected in recent price target cuts and updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has generally aligned with the trimmed fair value estimate, with price targets recalibrated after the company issued Q4 results and 2026 guidance that pointed to slower than previously assumed growth.
Mise à jour du récit Feb 16

GEO: ICE Detention Spending And Leadership Shift Will Shape 2026 Earnings

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for GEO Group by $2 to $35, citing updated assumptions for growth, profitability, and a lower future P/E multiple reflected in recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the latest target changes as a recalibration rather than a shift in view on GEO Group’s underlying thesis.
Mise à jour du récit Feb 02

GEO: Upcoming Contracts And Monitoring Programs Will Underpin 2026 Earnings Profile

Analysts have trimmed their price target on GEO Group to US$37 from US$50, citing revised growth estimates and a softer profit outlook, even as they continue to highlight potential revenue from upcoming contracts and monitoring programs. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the lower US$37 price target as a reset rather than a reversal in their view on GEO Group.
Mise à jour du récit Jan 19

GEO: Upcoming Contracts And Monitoring Will Support Path Toward $3B Revenue

Narrative Update Analysts cut their price target on GEO Group by $13 to $37, citing revised estimates that reflect slower than expected growth toward the projected $3b+ in annualized revenue from upcoming contracts and monitoring. They still expressed a positive view on all business segments, including the Intensive Supervision Appearance Program opportunity.
Mise à jour du récit Jan 05

GEO: Upcoming Monitoring Contracts Will Drive Path Toward $3B Annualized Revenue

Analysts have modestly lowered their price target on GEO Group, trimming expectations by approximately $13 per share to reflect slower than expected growth. They are still emphasizing long term revenue potential from upcoming contracts and monitoring programs.
Mise à jour du récit Dec 21

GEO Will Benefit From Upcoming Contracts And Monitoring Expansion By 2026

Analysts have reduced their price target on GEO Group to $37.00 from $50.00, citing slower than previously expected revenue growth and profitability, despite continued optimism about the company’s long term contract and monitoring opportunities. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts emphasize that the revised $37.00 price target still implies meaningful upside from current trading levels, arguing that the market has not fully reflected GEO Group’s multi year contract pipeline and expanding monitoring footprint in its valuation.
Mise à jour du récit Dec 07

GEO: Upcoming Monitoring And Contract Wins Will Drive Revenue Expansion By 2026

Analysts have modestly trimmed their price target on GEO Group, reflecting a recalibration toward slower near term growth. They continue to highlight multi year contract wins and monitoring opportunities that could support the path to more than $3 billion in annualized revenue and underpin an updated fair value estimate of approximately $32.25 per share.
Mise à jour du récit Nov 23

GEO: Upcoming Contracts Will Significantly Boost Annual Revenue By 2026

Analysts have lowered their price target for GEO Group from $34.25 to $32.25. They cite revised estimates that reflect slower-than-expected growth, although there remains continued optimism around new contract opportunities and segment performance.
Article d’analyse Nov 14

GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals

Last week's profit announcement from The GEO Group, Inc. ( NYSE:GEO ) was underwhelming for investors, despite headline...
Mise à jour du récit Nov 08

GEO: New Contracts Will Drive Annualized Revenue Past $3 Billion

Analysts have lowered their price target for GEO Group from $39 to $34.25 per share, citing slower-than-expected revenue growth and profit margins based on recent research updates. However, they remain optimistic about the company's long-term opportunities.
Mise à jour du récit Sep 04

Federal Funding Will Expand ICE Facility Activations

Analyst sentiment on GEO Group is mixed, with bulls citing favorable immigration policy momentum and likely funding increases while bears flag slower growth in alternatives to detention, resulting in the consensus price target holding steady at $39.00. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts expect significant demand tailwinds for GEO Group due to major U.S. immigration policy proposals, including anticipated funding increases for detention and monitoring services.
Article d’analyse Aug 08

Earnings Beat: The GEO Group, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

The GEO Group, Inc. ( NYSE:GEO ) just released its second-quarter report and things are looking bullish. It was overall...
Article d’analyse Jul 10

GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to...
Article d’analyse Jun 22

Investors Will Want GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Growth In ROCE To Persist

If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...
Article d’analyse May 14

Investors Can Find Comfort In GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Earnings Quality

The GEO Group, Inc.'s ( NYSE:GEO ) earnings announcement last week didn't impress shareholders. Despite the soft profit...
Article d’analyse Apr 27

The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

The GEO Group, Inc.'s ( NYSE:GEO ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x may not look like an appealing investment...
Article d’analyse Mar 22

GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...
Seeking Alpha Mar 21

The GEO Group: The Stock Has Re-Priced And No Longer Offers Attractive Risk/Reward

Summary GEO Group's EBITDA declined in 2024, and missed my expectations. Refinancing in April 2024 lowered interest expenses but increased share count by 15%, diluting stock value. The market cap is $3.6 billion with an EV/EBITDA ratio over 11x, making the stock overvalued compared to my initial target. The stock no longer offers favorable risk/reward, as it missed EBITDA expectations and has a higher share count. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Article d’analyse Mar 04

The GEO Group, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

It's been a good week for The GEO Group, Inc. ( NYSE:GEO ) shareholders, because the company has just released its...
Article d’analyse Feb 25

These 4 Measures Indicate That GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Using Debt Extensively

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Seeking Alpha Feb 10

GEO Group: Shares Have Gotten Ahead Of Growth Potential

Summary GEO Group's stock surged post-Trump election but has eased back down recently. Financial stability is evident with $166 million free cash flow in YTD 2024, despite a slight decline from the previous year. Debt reduction commitment is strong, with plans to cut $150-$175 million annually, enhancing earnings and potential future dividends. Earnings growth through government contracts and debt reduction is likely, but 2025 earnings are estimated at $1.20 per share, suggesting patience for better pricing. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Article d’analyse Jan 18

The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) Stock Rockets 34% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

The GEO Group, Inc. ( NYSE:GEO ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 34% gain in the last month alone...
Seeking Alpha Jan 13

The GEO Group: Further Upside Potential From Trump's Immigration Policy

Summary In Q3 2024, The GEO Group posted flat revenue growth and generated $603 million in revenues. Margins showed varied trends, with operating margin deteriorating to 18.91% but net income margin improving to 4.31%. GEO may be in a position to support a possible increase in demand coming from any changes in immigration policy. Investors should not expect capital returns from share repurchases or dividends, as the company remains focus on deleveraging. Additionally, capacity expansion to meet demand may also affect cash liquidity. Despite GEO stock's recent rally, valuation analysis suggests that there's a potential upside of between 29.94% and 45.74% for investors to capitalize on. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Article d’analyse Dec 31

When Should You Buy The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO)?

While The GEO Group, Inc. ( NYSE:GEO ) might not have the largest market cap around , it led the NYSE gainers with a...
Article d’analyse Dec 16

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO)

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Amongst other things...
Article d’analyse Dec 04

Are Investors Undervaluing The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) By 31%?

Key Insights GEO Group's estimated fair value is US$38.92 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity GEO Group's...
Article d’analyse Oct 29

The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 28% Share Price Bounce

The GEO Group, Inc. ( NYSE:GEO ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period...
Seeking Alpha Oct 24

GEO Group: Financial Deterioration Amid Debt Reduction Focus

Summary In 2024, GEO Group's revenue grew by 2%, driven by new contracts, despite a decline in electronic monitoring revenue and deteriorating operating margins. The potential expansion of ICE's detention beds and mandatory GPS monitoring could significantly boost GEO Group's revenue, pending congressional approval. Ultimately, the company's financial performance has been deteriorating and shows no signs of abating. Both operating margin and FCF margin have declined considerably. Valuation analysis suggests that GEO is fairly priced. There is a huge upside potential exists if the company is able to improve its growth and optimize its margins. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Analyse de la rémunération des PDG

Comment la rémunération de George Zoley a-t-elle évolué par rapport aux bénéfices de GEO Group?
DateRémunération totaleSalaireBénéfices de l'entreprise
Mar 31 2026n/an/a

US$273m

Dec 31 2025US$15mUS$1m

US$254m

Sep 30 2025n/an/a

US$237m

Jun 30 2025n/an/a

US$88m

Mar 31 2025n/an/a

US$27m

Dec 31 2024US$6mUS$1m

US$30m

Sep 30 2024n/an/a

US$36m

Jun 30 2024n/an/a

US$30m

Mar 31 2024n/an/a

US$89m

Dec 31 2023US$6mUS$1m

US$89m

Sep 30 2023n/an/a

US$103m

Jun 30 2023n/an/a

US$114m

Mar 31 2023n/an/a

US$134m

Dec 31 2022US$6mUS$1m

US$142m

Sep 30 2022n/an/a

US$65m

Jun 30 2022n/an/a

US$62m

Mar 31 2022n/an/a

US$53m

Dec 31 2021US$11mUS$1m

US$70m

Sep 30 2021n/an/a

US$126m

Jun 30 2021n/an/a

US$136m

Mar 31 2021n/an/a

US$137m

Dec 31 2020US$2mUS$1m

US$113m

Sep 30 2020n/an/a

US$139m

Jun 30 2020n/an/a

US$146m

Mar 31 2020n/an/a

US$151m

Dec 31 2019US$6mUS$1m

US$167m

Rémunération vs marché: La rémunération totale de George ($USD 15.00M ) est supérieure à la moyenne des entreprises de taille similaire sur le marché US ($USD 6.92M ).

Rémunération et revenus: La rémunération de George a augmenté de plus de 20 % au cours de l'année écoulée.


PDG

George Zoley (76 yo)

less than a year
Titularisation
US$14,996,950
Compensation

Dr. George C. Zoley, Ph D., founded The Geo Group, Inc. (formerly known as Wackenhut Corrections Corp.) in 1984 and was its Executive Chairman since July 1, 2021 until March 01, 2026 and also serves as its...


Équipe de direction

NomPositionTitularisationCompensationPropriété
George Zoley
Founderless than a yearUS$15.00m3.05%
$ 117.2m
Joe Negron
Consultantless than a yearUS$1.92m0.21%
$ 8.0m
Paul Laird
Senior Vice President of Secure Services1.4yrsUS$1.80m0.018%
$ 701.6k
Shayn March
Senior VP & CFO17.3yrsUS$1.45m0.032%
$ 1.2m
Ronald Brack
Executive VP19.2yrspas de données0.073%
$ 2.8m
Jose Rosario
Executive VPno datapas de donnéespas de données
Scott Schipma
Senior VPless than a yearpas de données0.029%
$ 1.1m
Nicole Mannarino
Chief Compliance Officer & Controller of Financial Reporting1.6yrspas de données0.00041%
$ 15.7k
Christopher Ryan
Senior Vice President of Human Resourcesno datapas de données0.078%
$ 3.0m
Wayne Calabrese
Consultant1.3yrsUS$2.08m0.11%
$ 4.3m
Pablo Paez
Executive Vice President of Corporate Relationsno datapas de donnéespas de données
Jennifer Houston
Executive Vice President of Client Relationsno datapas de donnéespas de données
1.3yrs
Durée moyenne de l'emploi
61.5yo
Âge moyen

Gestion expérimentée: L'équipe de direction de GEO n'est pas considérée comme expérimentée (ancienneté moyenne 1.3 ans), ce qui suggère une nouvelle équipe.


Membres du conseil d'administration

NomPositionTitularisationCompensationPropriété
George Zoley
Founder38.4yrsUS$15.00m3.05%
$ 117.2m
Julie Myers-Wood
Independent Director11.9yrsUS$303.76k0.062%
$ 2.4m
Jack Brewer
Lead Independent Director4.9yrsUS$395.00k0.019%
$ 740.4k
Scott Kernan
Independent Director7.8yrsUS$345.00k0.031%
$ 1.2m
Thomas Bartzokis
Independent Director4.4yrsUS$312.51k0.019%
$ 740.4k
Lindsay Koren
Independent Director3.5yrsUS$318.76k0.0060%
$ 232.3k
Donna Kauranen
Independent Director2yrsUS$323.04k0.0011%
$ 41.9k
4.9yrs
Durée moyenne de l'emploi
62yo
Âge moyen

Conseil d'administration expérimenté: Les membres du conseil d'administration de GEO sont considérés comme expérimentés (ancienneté moyenne 4.9 ans).


Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières

DonnéesDernière mise à jour (heure UTC)
Analyse de l'entreprise2026/06/22 12:26
Cours de l'action en fin de journée2026/06/18 00:00
Les revenus2026/03/31
Revenus annuels2025/12/31

Sources de données

Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.

PaquetDonnéesCadre temporelExemple de source américaine *
Finances de l'entreprise10 ans
  • Compte de résultat
  • Tableau des flux de trésorerie
  • Bilan
Estimations consensuelles des analystes+3 ans
  • Prévisions financières
  • Objectifs de prix des analystes
Prix du marché30 ans
  • Cours des actions
  • Dividendes, scissions et actions
Propriété10 ans
  • Actionnaires principaux
  • Délits d'initiés
Gestion10 ans
  • L'équipe dirigeante
  • Conseil d'administration
Principaux développements10 ans
  • Annonces de l'entreprise

* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.

Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.

Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige

Les détails du modèle d'analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github, nous proposons également des guides pour apprendre à utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur YouTube.

Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.

Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur

Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.

Sources des analystes

The GEO Group, Inc. est couverte par 14 analystes. 4 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.

AnalysteInstitution
Manav PatnaikBarclays
Ryan MelikerCanaccord Genuity
Tan WeiDeutsche Bank