Par Pacific Holdings Crecimiento futuro
Future controles de criterios 1/6
Se prevé que los ingresos de Par Pacific Holdings disminuyan en un 2.4% al año, mientras que se espera que sus beneficios anuales crezcan en un 3.8% al año. Se prevé que el BPA crezca en un 4.3% anual. Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 17.9% en 3 años.
Información clave
3.8%
Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios
4.28%
Tasa de crecimiento del BPA
| Crecimiento de los beneficios de Oil and Gas | 10.9% |
| Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos | -2.4% |
| Rentabilidad financiera futura | 17.93% |
| Cobertura de analistas | Good |
| Última actualización | 27 May 2026 |
Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro
Recent updates
Actualización de narrativa • Jun 03
PARR: Distillate Margins And Small Refinery Exemptions Will Shape Future Returns
Par Pacific Holdings' fair value estimate has shifted from $70.13 to $75.00 as analysts factor in a higher Street price target, supported by views on recent company results, a distillate driven margin setup, and potential benefits tied to small refinery exemptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Par Pacific points to a cluster of higher price targets and rating changes, with several firms updating their views as they incorporate new oil price assumptions, recent company results, and potential regulatory benefits into their models.Seeking Alpha • May 20
Par Pacific: Crack Spread Euphoria Creates 40% Downside
Summary Par Pacific is up over 70% YTD, driven by elevated crack spreads and strong refinery performance, particularly in Hawaii. PARR’s operational leverage has delivered exceptional cash flow, but current crack spreads are unsustainable, exposing significant downside risk as mean reversion is likely. Valuation appears stretched with minimal upside; normalized EBITDA and a cyclical business model suggest approximately 40% downside from current levels. I rate PARR a sell, preferring to wait for crack spread normalization before considering a long position despite the company’s strong asset base and buyback activity. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Actualización de narrativa • May 19
PARR: Higher Oil Assumptions And New Pipelines Will Shape Future Refining Margins
Analysts have lifted Par Pacific Holdings' fair value estimate from $40.00 to $58.00, reflecting recent price target increases across the Street tied to updated oil price outlooks, revised earnings assumptions, and higher projected P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Par Pacific points to a mixed setup for investors, with several firms updating price targets and oil assumptions while keeping a close eye on earnings quality, regional exposure, and refining margins.
Actualización de narrativa • Apr 29
PARR: Future Share Buybacks And Higher Oil Assumptions Will Support Upside
Analysts have lifted their price targets on Par Pacific Holdings, reflected in a new fair value estimate moving from $60.53 to $80.00 as they factor in updated views on revenue growth, profitability, discount rate assumptions, and a lower forward P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Par Pacific Holdings has leaned constructive, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets and, in some cases, upgrading their views as they reassess valuation, sector conditions, and company specific execution.Actualización de narrativa • Apr 14
PARR: Crude Trade Flows And Capital Returns Will Shape Future Refining Margins
Analysts have lifted the implied fair value for Par Pacific Holdings from $47.13 to $70.13, citing broadly higher Street price targets, slightly lower discount rates, less steep expected revenue declines, firmer profit margin assumptions, and a more moderate future P/E outlook. Analyst Commentary Street research on Par Pacific Holdings has been active, with multiple price target revisions and rating changes feeding into the higher implied fair value.Artículo de análisis • Apr 10
Industry Analysts Just Made An Upgrade To Their Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Revenue Forecasts
Shareholders in Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:PARR ) may be thrilled to learn that the analysts have just delivered...Actualización de narrativa • Mar 31
PARR: Crude Trade Shifts Will Pressure Future Refining Margins
Par Pacific Holdings' updated analyst price targets have moved higher, with firms now generally looking for $48 to $58 per share as analysts factor in revised oil price assumptions, recent refining market commentary, and adjustments to earnings expectations reflected in the lower future P/E multiple and the improved profit margin outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Par Pacific highlights a mix of higher price targets and more cautious language around macro risks, crude flows, and refining cyclicality.Actualización de narrativa • Mar 16
PARR: Crude Trade Shifts And Maintenance Risks Will Pressure Future Margins
Narrative Update: Par Pacific Holdings Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Par Pacific Holdings up by $1 to $40, as recent price target revisions in the $48 to $57 range reflect updated views on refining conditions, regional maintenance impacts, and shifting crude trade flows. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Par Pacific cluster around higher price targets in the US$48 to US$57 range, but the commentary behind those numbers flags several risks that are worth keeping in mind.Actualización de narrativa • Mar 02
PARR: Crude Trade Flow Shifts And Refining Margins Will Shape Prospects
Narrative Update on Par Pacific Holdings Analysts have lifted their average price target for Par Pacific Holdings by about $1.63, toward a fair value of roughly $47.13, as they factor in recent price target revisions in the $48 to $57 range and refine assumptions around discount rates, revenue trends, margins, and future P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Par Pacific Holdings highlights a mix of optimism around refining fundamentals and caution about external factors that could influence margins and crude sourcing over time.Actualización de narrativa • Feb 16
PARR: Crude Trade Flow Shifts And Refining Fundamentals Will Shape Returns
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Par Pacific Holdings from $47.38 to $45.50, in line with recent cuts to Street price targets as they consider updated views on crude trade flows, refining conditions, revenue trends and profit margins. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary around Par Pacific Holdings focuses less on company specific execution and more on how shifting crude trade flows and refining supply demand could feed into valuation over time.Actualización de narrativa • Feb 02
PARR: Crude Trade Shifts And Buybacks Will Shape Refining Margins And Returns
Analysts have reduced their average price target on Par Pacific Holdings by US$2, citing recent cuts from Piper Sandler that reflect evolving crude trade flows and a more cautious view on crude prices, while still noting supportive conditions for U.S. refiners. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Par Pacific Holdings shows a series of reduced price targets that point to a more cautious tone, even as some analysts still see supportive conditions for U.S. refiners.Actualización de narrativa • Jan 19
PARR: Crude Trade Shifts And Share Buybacks Will Shape Future Earnings Power
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Par Pacific Holdings from US$23.00 to US$39.00, pointing to a higher assumed future P/E of about 16x, a lower discount rate, and shifting views on margins and revenue trends influenced by recent research around crude trade flows and refining supply and demand. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed picture for Par Pacific Holdings, with price targets being trimmed even as some commentary highlights supportive refining fundamentals.Actualización de narrativa • Jan 05
PARR: Future Share Buybacks Will Support Cash Returns Despite Softer Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Par Pacific Holdings to about US$60.53 from roughly US$61.73, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rate and profit assumptions in their models. What's in the News Par Pacific Holdings repurchased 515,523 shares from July 1, 2025 to September 30, 2025, for US$16.28 million, representing 1.02% of its shares.Artículo de análisis • Jan 01
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 26%
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:PARR ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period...Actualización de narrativa • Dec 14
PARR: Future Cash Returns Will Benefit From Lower Perceived Risk
Analysts have significantly raised their price target on Par Pacific Holdings from 39 dollars to approximately 61.73 dollars, citing lower perceived risk, an improved revenue trajectory, and expectations for a higher future earnings multiple despite slimmer profit margins. What's in the News Completed a major share repurchase program, buying back a total of 5,165,264 shares (9.59% of outstanding stock) for 85.08 million dollars under the authorization announced on February 26, 2025 (Key Developments) Between July 1, 2025 and September 30, 2025, repurchased 515,523 shares (1.02% of outstanding stock) for 16.28 million dollars, signaling continued capital returns to shareholders (Key Developments) Valuation Changes Fair Value: increased significantly from approximately 39 dollars to about 61.73 dollars per share, indicating a higher intrinsic valuation.Actualización de narrativa • Nov 30
PARR: Ongoing Buybacks And Lower Risk Will Offset Revenue Headwinds
Analysts have raised their price target for Par Pacific Holdings from $44.00 to $47.38, citing updated fair value calculations and slight adjustments to long-term financial projections. What's in the News Par Pacific Holdings completed a share repurchase tranche from July 1, 2025 to September 30, 2025, buying back 515,523 shares for $16.28 million (Key Developments).Actualización de narrativa • Nov 15
PARR: Future Buybacks And Lower Risk Expectations Will Balance Profit Pressure
Analysts have raised their price target for Par Pacific Holdings from $40.38 to $44.00. This adjustment is based on reassessments of discount rates, revenue growth projections, and revised profit margin expectations.Actualización de narrativa • Nov 01
PARR: Share Buybacks And Easing Headwinds Will Support Future Stability
Analysts have raised their price target for Par Pacific Holdings from $39.63 to $40.38. They cite slight improvements in key financial projections and a lower discount rate, which together enhance the company's forecasted valuation.Actualización de narrativa • Oct 18
Asia Demand And Renewable Fuels Projects Will Shape Future Markets
Analysts have raised their price target for Par Pacific Holdings from $35.50 to $39.63, citing improved profit margin forecasts and a less negative outlook for revenue growth. What's in the News Par Pacific Holdings completed a share buyback tranche, repurchasing 1,605,727 shares (3.07%) for $27.94 million from April 1, 2025 to June 30, 2025.Actualización de narrativa • Oct 03
Asia Demand And Renewable Fuels Projects Will Shape Future Markets
Analysts have raised their price target for Par Pacific Holdings from $33.00 to $35.50, citing slightly improved profit margin expectations and a lower discount rate, even though they have adopted a more conservative outlook on future revenue growth. What's in the News Par Pacific Holdings has completed the repurchase of 4,649,741 shares, representing 8.58% of its outstanding shares, for a total of $68.8 million as part of its ongoing buyback program.Actualización de narrativa • Sep 17
Asia Demand And Renewable Fuels Projects Will Shape Future Markets
Par Pacific Holdings’ consensus price target has increased to $33.00, as a sharply higher expected P/E multiple outweighed the impact of a notable decline in net profit margin. What's in the News Par Pacific Holdings completed the repurchase of 4,649,741 shares (8.58% of shares outstanding) for $68.8 million under its recent buyback program.Artículo de análisis • Sep 06
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 25%
Despite an already strong run, Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:PARR ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of...Artículo de análisis • Jul 02
Improved Revenues Required Before Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Stock's 30% Jump Looks Justified
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:PARR ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month...Artículo de análisis • May 09
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:PARR) Shares Bounce 34% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:PARR ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great...Artículo de análisis • Apr 23
Par Pacific Holdings (NYSE:PARR) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's...Artículo de análisis • Mar 01
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Consensus Forecasts Have Become A Little Darker Since Its Latest Report
Shareholders might have noticed that Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:PARR ) filed its annual result this time last...Artículo de análisis • Jan 14
Improved Earnings Required Before Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Shares Find Their Feet
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may...Artículo de análisis • Nov 20
Par Pacific Holdings' (NYSE:PARR) Anemic Earnings Might Be Worse Than You Think
The subdued market reaction suggests that Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.'s ( NYSE:PARR ) recent earnings didn't contain any...Seeking Alpha • Nov 12
Par Pacific: Rolling The Dice With Debt-Funded Share Buybacks
Summary Management of Par Pacific believes they have circa $330m of excess liquidity and plan to continue share buybacks during this downturn. These will likely be debt-funded, which is controversial and raises questions regarding the extent of the risks. They have zero debt maturities for over three years, plus a healthy cash balance and no plan for higher capital expenditure, so there are no immediate issues. Their notoriously volatile industry still poses risks because the severity and length of this downturn are uncertain. If executed skilfully, it could translate into significant capital gains by removing upwards of one-third of their outstanding share count from the market. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArtículo de análisis • Oct 30
Is Par Pacific Holdings (NYSE:PARR) A Risky Investment?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Artículo de análisis • Oct 04
Benign Growth For Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Underpins Its Share Price
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.'s ( NYSE:PARR ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 2.3x might make it look like a strong...
Nueva narrativa • Sep 14
Refinery Reliability And Renewable Shifts Spark Hope Amid Forecasts Of Shrinking Profits
Strategic growth initiatives and operational improvements in refineries bolster revenue streams by diversifying products and enhancing production efficiency.Artículo de análisis • Jul 30
Is Par Pacific Holdings (NYSE:PARR) Using Too Much Debt?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Previsiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos
| Fecha | Ingresos | Beneficios | Flujo de caja libre | Flujo de caja operativo | Núm. de analistas medio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 7,112 | 639 | N/A | N/A | 3 |
| 12/31/2027 | 7,604 | 466 | 316 | 715 | 6 |
| 12/31/2026 | 8,263 | 669 | 804 | 863 | 6 |
| 3/31/2026 | 7,543 | 454 | 255 | 406 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 7,465 | 369 | 296 | 445 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 7,484 | 236 | 167 | 336 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 7,615 | -19 | 30 | 195 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 7,739 | -60 | -97 | 57 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 7,974 | -33 | -52 | 84 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 8,326 | 312 | -19 | 97 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 8,761 | 476 | 177 | 288 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 8,528 | 487 | 374 | 465 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 8,232 | 729 | 497 | 579 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 7,857 | 524 | 596 | 665 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 7,334 | 620 | 682 | 737 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 7,657 | 739 | 549 | 599 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 7,322 | 364 | 400 | 453 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 6,806 | 288 | 240 | 287 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 6,061 | 102 | -46 | -2 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 5,172 | -156 | -42 | -5 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 4,710 | -81 | -57 | -28 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 4,132 | -221 | -51 | -9 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 3,512 | -317 | -117 | -69 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 2,809 | -249 | -139 | -82 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 3,125 | -409 | -101 | -37 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 3,808 | -242 | -29 | 33 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 4,520 | -311 | 42 | 115 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 5,414 | -242 | 96 | 177 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 5,402 | 40 | N/A | 106 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 4,881 | 19 | N/A | 137 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 4,390 | 96 | N/A | 84 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 3,837 | 84 | N/A | 21 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 3,411 | 39 | N/A | 91 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 3,195 | 44 | N/A | 53 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 2,895 | 68 | N/A | 76 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 2,603 | 59 | N/A | 94 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 2,443 | 72 | N/A | 106 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 2,343 | 67 | N/A | 123 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 2,243 | 20 | N/A | 67 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 2,092 | 0 | N/A | -11 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 1,865 | -46 | N/A | -23 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 1,745 | -126 | N/A | -53 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 1,731 | -84 | N/A | 5 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 1,901 | -59 | N/A | 58 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 2,066 | -40 | N/A | 132 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 2,331 | 58 | N/A | 166 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 2,690 | 4 | N/A | 117 | N/A |
Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas
Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: El pronóstico de crecimiento de los beneficios (3.8% al año) de PARR es superior a la tasa de ahorro (3.5%).
Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los beneficios (3.8% al año) de PARR crezcan menos que el mercado US (16.2% al año).
Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los beneficios de PARR crezcan, pero no significativamente.
Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos de PARR disminuyan en los próximos 3 años (-2.4% al año).
Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos de PARR disminuyan en los próximos 3 años (-2.4% al año).
Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción
Rentabilidad financiera futura
ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de PARR sea baja dentro de 3 años (17.9%).
Descubre empresas en crecimiento
Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros
| Datos | Última actualización (huso horario UTC) |
|---|---|
| Análisis de la empresa | 2026/06/04 17:41 |
| Precio de las acciones al final del día | 2026/06/04 00:00 |
| Beneficios | 2026/03/31 |
| Ingresos anuales | 2025/12/31 |
Fuentes de datos
Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.
| Paquete | Datos | Marco temporal | Ejemplo Fuente EE.UU. * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzas de la empresa | 10 años |
| |
| Estimaciones del consenso de analistas | +3 años |
|
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| Precios de mercado | 30 años |
| |
| Propiedad | 10 años |
| |
| Gestión | 10 años |
| |
| Principales avances | 10 años |
|
* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.
A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.
Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve
Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.
Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.
Métricas industriales y sectoriales
Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.
Fuentes analistas
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. está cubierta por 18 analistas. 6 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.
| Analista | Institución |
|---|---|
| Rhett Bruno | BofA Global Research |
| Shannon Nome | Deutsche Bank |
| Neil Mehta | Goldman Sachs |