tonies SE

Informe acción DB:TNIE

Capitalización de mercado: €1.2b

tonies Crecimiento futuro

Future controles de criterios 4/6

Se prevé un crecimiento anual de los beneficios y los ingresos de tonies de 47.2% y 17.8% por año respectivamente. Se prevé que el BPA crezca en un 46.6% al año. Se espera que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 16% en 3 años.

Información clave

47.2%

Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios

46.62%

Tasa de crecimiento del BPA

Crecimiento de los beneficios de Leisure15.2%
Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos17.8%
Rentabilidad financiera futura16.03%
Cobertura de analistas

Low

Última actualización15 May 2026

Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro

Recent updates

Actualización de narrativa May 12

TNIE: 2026 Revenue Guidance And Margin Assumptions Will Support Stronger Forward Outlook

Analysts are maintaining their €14.00 price target for tonies, citing only small adjustments to key model inputs such as the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News tonies issued earnings guidance for FY 2026, indicating an expectation for Group revenue growth of more than 20% in constant currency to more than €760 million (company guidance).
Actualización de narrativa Apr 28

TNIE: Higher 2026 Outlook And Margin Assumptions Will Support Stronger Forward Outlook

Analysts have raised the price target for tonies to €14.0 from the previous €13.0, reflecting revised assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and an updated future P/E framework. What's in the News tonies issued earnings guidance for FY 2026, indicating expected Group revenue of more than €760 million in constant currency, with revenue growth of more than 20% (company guidance).
Artículo de análisis Apr 22

We Think tonies' (FRA:TNIE) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative

The market seemed underwhelmed by last week's earnings announcement from tonies SE ( FRA:TNIE ) despite the healthy...
Actualización de narrativa Apr 13

TNIE: Global Content Partnerships And Investor Day Will Support Future Double Digit Expansion

Analysts are keeping their price target for tonies steady at €14.00, reflecting only marginal tweaks to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions in their models. What's in the News tonies plans an Analyst and Investor Day, giving the market a structured opportunity to receive an update on the business and its plans.
Actualización de narrativa Mar 30

TNIE: Global Content Partnerships Will Drive Future Double Digit Revenue Expansion

Analysts have nudged their price target for tonies up slightly from about €13.83 to €14.00, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, discount rate, profit margin and future P/E that keep the overall valuation view largely intact. What's in the News tonies plans an Analyst and Investor Day event, giving the market a closer look at the business, its priorities, and the updated assumptions that underpin current valuation views (Key Developments).
Actualización de narrativa Mar 16

TNIE: Licensing Rollout And Index Inclusion Will Support Stronger Future Prospects

Analysts have adjusted their price target on tonies from €13.20 to €14.50. This reflects updated assumptions around higher revenue growth expectations, a slightly improved profit margin profile, and a lower future P/E multiple in their models.
Actualización de narrativa Mar 02

TNIE: Index Inclusion And Content Partnerships Will Support A Stronger Forward Outlook

Analysts now set their tonies price target at €13.00, up from €10.50, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E, which they view as better aligned with the company’s current outlook. What's in the News tonies announced a partnership with The Pokemon Company International, aiming to bring new Pokemon themed audio book content to the Toniebox starting in summer 2026, including four exclusive, collectible Pokemon Tonies featuring Pikachu, Bulbasaur, Charmander and Squirtle (Key Developments).
Actualización de narrativa Feb 16

TNIE: Global Content Partnerships Will Support Future Double Digit Revenue Gains

Analysts have raised their price target on tonies from €11.37 to €13.83, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E that they consider more accurately reflect the company’s current risk and return profile. What's in the News Partnership with The Pokemon Company International includes a lightning yellow special edition Toniebox 2 inspired by Pikachu, planned for a global launch, including the US, in summer 2026 (Key Developments).
Actualización de narrativa Feb 01

TNIE: Licensing Expansion And Index Inclusion Will Support Stronger Future Prospects

Analysts have nudged their price target for tonies slightly higher to €13.20, reflecting small adjustments to assumptions on discount rate, revenue, profit margin and future P/E that keep their fair value view effectively unchanged. What's in the News tonies confirmed earnings guidance for the 2025 financial year, expecting group revenue of more than €600 million in constant currency (corporate guidance).
Actualización de narrativa Jan 18

TNIE: Fair Outlook Balances Index Inclusion With Evolving Profitability Assumptions

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for tonies from €9.00 to €10.50, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple in their models. What's in the News tonies SE confirmed earnings guidance for the 2025 financial year, with management expecting group revenue of above €600 million in constant currency, based on forecast growth of more than 25% for the year (Corporate guidance) The company announced a partnership to bring new Pokémon audio book content to the Toniebox, starting in summer 2026 with four exclusive collectible Pokémon Tonies featuring Pikachu, Bulbasaur, Charmander, and Squirtle, with further products planned with Pikachu Press (Client announcement) tonies SE was added to the Germany SDAX (Total Return) Index, which may influence how index-tracking funds and some institutional investors view the stock (Index constituent change) Valuation Changes The fair value estimate has been revised from €9.00 to €10.50 per share, reflecting a higher central value in the model.
Actualización de narrativa Jan 04

TNIE: Expanded Licensing Partnerships Will Drive Higher Future Profitability

Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target on tonies to reflect a stable fair value of €13.20, as slightly lower expected revenue growth is balanced by an improved profit margin outlook and a marginally reduced discount rate. What's in the News tonies SE confirmed guidance for 2025, targeting group revenue growth of more than 25 percent in constant currency and pushing annual sales above EUR 600 million (corporate guidance) tonies SE was added to the Germany SDAX Total Return Index, increasing its visibility among institutional and index-tracking investors (index update) tonies announced a partnership with Pokemon to launch exclusive audio first content for the Toniebox from summer 2026, starting with four collectible Pokemon figures and further products planned with Pikachu Press (client announcement) tonies expanded its long term licensing agreement with Hasbro to adapt classic board games, including Monopoly, into new interactive, screen free Tonieplay formats for launch in 2026 across its core markets (client announcement) Valuation Changes Fair Value: unchanged at €13.20 per share, indicating a stable overall valuation.
Actualización de narrativa Dec 17

TNIE: Expanded Licensing Partnerships Will Drive Stronger Profitability Ahead

Analysts have raised their price target on tonies by approximately 10 percent to €13.20, citing slightly lower perceived risk, stronger expected revenue growth and improved profit margins, despite a modestly lower future P/E assumption. What's in the News Confirmed 2025 guidance, expecting group revenue to grow by more than 25 percent in constant currency and taking sales above EUR 600 million (company guidance) Announced a landmark partnership with Pokémon to launch audio first storytelling Tonies featuring Pikachu, Bulbasaur, Charmander and Squirtle from summer 2026, with further products planned with Pikachu Press (company announcement) Expanded long term licensing agreement with Hasbro to adapt classic board games, including Monopoly, into interactive, screen free Tonieplay formats for Toniebox 2, rolling out from 2026 across core markets in North America, DACH, UK, France and Australia or New Zealand (company announcement) Valuation Changes Fair Value: raised moderately from €12.00 to €13.20, reflecting a roughly 10 percent upward revision.
Actualización de narrativa Dec 03

TNIE: Screen-Free Gaming Expansion Will Drive Future Double-Digit Revenue Gains

Narrative Update Analysts have maintained their price target for tonies at €11.37, as modest tweaks to the discount rate and forward valuation assumptions were not significant enough to justify a change in the overall valuation framework. What's in the News Confirmed 2025 guidance with group revenue expected to grow by more than 25% in constant currency, taking revenue above EUR 600 million (Company guidance) Expanded long term licensing agreement with Hasbro to bring select Hasbro Games titles, including Monopoly, to the Toniebox 2 in new interactive Tonieplay formats starting in 2026 (Company announcement) Planned Tonieplay game launches to roll out across core markets, including North America, DACH, the UK, France, and Australia/New Zealand, with further titles and details to be announced closer to launch (Company announcement) Valuation Changes Fair Value: unchanged at approximately €11.37 per share, reflecting a stable central valuation view.
Actualización de narrativa Nov 19

TNIE: Expansion Into Screen-Free Gaming Will Drive Long-Term Revenue Momentum

Analysts have raised their price target for tonies from EUR 11.03 to EUR 11.37. They cite continued company performance and an improved profit margin outlook following recent results.
Artículo de análisis Sep 25

Here's Why tonies (FRA:TNIE) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Artículo de análisis Sep 01

Market Participants Recognise tonies SE's (FRA:TNIE) Revenues Pushing Shares 25% Higher

tonies SE ( FRA:TNIE ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 25% share price jump in the last month...
Artículo de análisis Aug 26

tonies' (FRA:TNIE) Solid Earnings Are Supported By Other Strong Factors

tonies SE ( FRA:TNIE ) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. We did some digging, and we found some...
Artículo de análisis May 14

tonies SE's (FRA:TNIE) 26% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors

tonies SE ( FRA:TNIE ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 26% in the last month...
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Nueva narrativa May 07

Expanding North America And International Markets Will Fuel Future Success

Expansion into North America and internationally has greatly boosted revenue, showcasing strong market fit and profitability.
Artículo de análisis Apr 15

Is tonies (FRA:TNIE) Using Debt Sensibly?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Artículo de análisis Oct 18

Does tonies (FRA:TNIE) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Artículo de análisis Jun 04

Revenues Tell The Story For tonies SE (FRA:TNIE) As Its Stock Soars 33%

The tonies SE ( FRA:TNIE ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 33...
Artículo de análisis May 21

tonies (FRA:TNIE) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Artículo de análisis Apr 12

With tonies SE (FRA:TNIE) It Looks Like You'll Get What You Pay For

When close to half the companies in the Leisure industry in Germany have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.9x...
Artículo de análisis Apr 15

tonies SE's (FRA:TNIE) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 29% Above Its Share Price

Key Insights The projected fair value for tonies is €7.04 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share price...

Previsiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos

DB:TNIE - Estimaciones futuras de los analistas y datos financieros pasados (EUR Millions)
FechaIngresosBeneficiosFlujo de caja libreFlujo de caja operativoNúm. de analistas medio
12/31/20281,08685791044
12/31/20279376356775
12/31/20267794145615
12/31/202563013-136N/A
9/30/202557020927N/A
6/30/2025510283149N/A
3/31/2025495203148N/A
12/31/2024481133147N/A
9/30/2024438-81632N/A
6/30/2024395-29216N/A
3/31/2024378-21-112N/A
12/31/2023361-12-58N/A
9/30/2023324-20-39-26N/A
6/30/2023287-29-73-61N/A
3/31/2023273-30-80-68N/A
12/31/2022258-32-88-74N/A
9/30/2022234-129-79-67N/A
6/30/2022211-226-71-60N/A
3/31/2022199-233-53-43N/A
12/31/2021188-241-35-26N/A
12/31/2020135-16-44N/A
12/31/2019103-602N/A
12/31/2018612N/A-5N/A

Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas

Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: El pronóstico de crecimiento de los beneficios (47.2% al año) de TNIE es superior a la tasa de ahorro (1.9%).

Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los beneficios (47.2% al año) de TNIE crezcan más rápidamente que el mercado German (17.1% al año).

Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se espera que los beneficios de TNIE crezcan significativamente en los próximos 3 años.

Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos (17.8% al año) de TNIE crezcan más rápidamente que los del mercado German (6.8% al año).

Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos 17.8% al año) de TNIE crezcan más despacio que 20% al año.


Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción


Rentabilidad financiera futura

ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de TNIE sea baja dentro de 3 años (16%).


Descubre empresas en crecimiento

Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros

DatosÚltima actualización (huso horario UTC)
Análisis de la empresa2026/05/24 01:06
Precio de las acciones al final del día2026/05/22 00:00
Beneficios2025/12/31
Ingresos anuales2025/12/31

Fuentes de datos

Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.

PaqueteDatosMarco temporalEjemplo Fuente EE.UU. *
Finanzas de la empresa10 años
  • Cuenta de resultados
  • Estado de tesorería
  • Balance
Estimaciones del consenso de analistas+3 años
  • Previsiones financieras
  • Objetivos de precios de los analistas
Precios de mercado30 años
  • Precios de las acciones
  • Dividendos, escisiones y acciones
Propiedad10 años
  • Accionistas principales
  • Información privilegiada
Gestión10 años
  • Equipo directivo
  • Consejo de Administración
Principales avances10 años
  • Anuncios de empresas

* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.

A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.

Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve

Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.

Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.

Métricas industriales y sectoriales

Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.

Fuentes analistas

tonies SE está cubierta por 9 analistas. 5 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.

AnalistaInstitución
Gerhard OrgonasBerenberg
Christoph BlieffertBNP Paribas
Hans SalisHauck Aufhäuser Investment Banking