Guild Holdings Company

NYSE:GHLD Stock Report

Market Cap: US$894.5m

Guild Holdings Valuation

Is GHLD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Unter dem Marktwert

  • Deutlich unter dem Marktwert

  • Price-To-Sales gegen Gleichaltrige

  • Price-To-Sales gegen Industrie

  • PM vs. Fair Ratio

  • Analysten-Prognose

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GHLD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Unter dem Marktwert: GHLD ($14.64) wird unter unserer Schätzung des Fair Value ($57.47) gehandelt.

Deutlich unter dem Marktwert: GHLD wird um mehr als 20 % unter dem Marktwert gehandelt.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GHLD?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

GHLD key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA76.5x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does GHLD's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for GHLD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.6x
LDI loanDepot
0.5x15.0%US$804.5m
WSBF Waterstone Financial
1.7xn/aUS$217.7m
HMPT Home Point Capital
3.7x39.9%US$321.4m
VEL Velocity Financial
4.7x21.6%US$568.4m
GHLD Guild Holdings
1.3x22.8%US$894.5m

Price-To-Sales gegen Gleichaltrige: GHLD ist ein guter Wert, wenn man sein Price-To-Sales Verhältnis (1.2x) mit dem Durchschnitt der anderen Unternehmen (2.4x) vergleicht.


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GHLD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Diversified Financial Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-7.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-7.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales gegen Industrie: GHLD ist aufgrund seines Price-To-Sales Verhältnisses (1.2x) im Vergleich zum US Diversified Financial Branchendurchschnitt (2.6x) ein guter Wert.


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GHLD's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GHLD PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.3x
Fair PS Ratio3.3x

PM vs. Fair Ratio: GHLD ist ein guter Wert auf der Grundlage des Verhältnisses Price-To-Sales (1.2x) im Vergleich zum geschätzten fairen Verhältnis Price-To-Sales (2.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GHLD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$14.94
US$15.64
+4.7%
11.4%US$18.00US$12.50n/a7
Mar ’25US$14.00
US$14.93
+6.6%
17.6%US$18.00US$10.50n/a7
Feb ’25US$14.34
US$14.42
+0.5%
17.3%US$17.00US$10.50n/a6
Jan ’25US$14.09
US$13.79
-2.2%
16.0%US$17.00US$10.50n/a7
Dec ’24US$12.04
US$13.50
+12.1%
13.9%US$16.00US$10.50n/a7
Nov ’24US$10.38
US$13.86
+33.5%
11.2%US$16.00US$11.00n/a7
Oct ’24US$10.97
US$14.21
+29.6%
11.3%US$16.00US$11.00n/a7
Sep ’24US$12.19
US$14.21
+16.6%
11.3%US$16.00US$11.00n/a7
Aug ’24US$12.40
US$13.71
+10.6%
13.9%US$16.00US$10.00n/a7
Jul ’24US$11.36
US$13.21
+16.3%
14.0%US$16.00US$10.00n/a7
Jun ’24US$10.67
US$13.08
+22.6%
15.0%US$16.00US$10.00n/a6
May ’24US$9.70
US$13.50
+39.2%
15.3%US$16.00US$10.00n/a6
Apr ’24US$10.40
US$13.42
+29.0%
15.6%US$16.00US$10.00US$14.776
Mar ’24US$11.60
US$13.33
+14.9%
28.2%US$19.00US$8.50US$14.006
Feb ’24US$11.05
US$13.33
+20.7%
28.2%US$19.00US$8.50US$14.346
Jan ’24US$10.09
US$13.17
+30.5%
29.0%US$19.00US$8.50US$14.096
Dec ’23US$10.96
US$13.43
+22.5%
26.7%US$19.00US$8.50US$12.047
Nov ’23US$8.58
US$14.14
+64.8%
19.8%US$19.00US$10.00US$10.387
Oct ’23US$9.24
US$14.21
+53.8%
19.3%US$19.00US$10.00US$10.977
Sep ’23US$9.99
US$14.50
+45.1%
19.8%US$19.00US$10.00US$12.196
Aug ’23US$11.90
US$13.17
+10.6%
25.3%US$19.00US$9.00US$12.406
Jul ’23US$10.40
US$12.25
+17.8%
30.5%US$19.00US$8.00US$11.366
Jun ’23US$10.90
US$12.42
+13.9%
31.2%US$19.00US$8.00US$10.676
May ’23US$8.74
US$14.83
+69.7%
21.7%US$19.00US$10.50US$9.706
Apr ’23US$10.20
US$15.58
+52.8%
20.3%US$20.00US$11.00US$10.406

Analysten-Prognose: Das Kursziel liegt weniger als 20% über dem aktuellen Aktienkurs.


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