XPeng Inc.

NYSE:XPEV Stock Report

Market Cap: US$12.1b

XPeng Valuation

Is XPEV undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of XPEV when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: XPEV ($12.64) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($10.97)

Significantly Below Fair Value: XPEV is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for XPEV?

Key metric: As XPEV is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for XPEV. This is calculated by dividing XPEV's market cap by their current revenue.
What is XPEV's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.3x
SalesCN¥37.81b
Market CapCN¥87.93b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does XPEV's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for XPEV vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.3x
NIO NIO
1.1x23.8%US$9.3b
VFS VinFast Auto
6.7x41.2%US$9.6b
LCID Lucid Group
12.4x43.9%US$7.9b
ZK ZEEKR Intelligent Technology Holding
0.7x23.8%US$6.8b
XPEV XPeng
2.3x31.7%US$12.1b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: XPEV is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x) compared to the peer average (5.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does XPEV's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Auto Industry?

18 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GM General Motors
0.3x1.2%US$55.35b
F Ford Motor
0.2x0.5%US$38.71b
ZK ZEEKR Intelligent Technology Holding
0.7x23.8%US$6.76b
THO THOR Industries
0.5x6.3%US$5.12b
XPEV 2.3xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies18PS048121620+
18 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: XPEV is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x) compared to the US Auto industry average (1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is XPEV's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

XPEV PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.3x
Fair PS Ratio2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: XPEV is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst XPEV forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$12.64
US$14.36
+13.6%
21.8%US$18.03US$6.95n/a24
Dec ’25US$12.05
US$14.53
+20.6%
22.1%US$18.02US$6.99n/a25
Nov ’25US$11.52
US$11.47
-0.5%
22.3%US$15.70US$7.02n/a25
Oct ’25US$12.85
US$10.76
-16.3%
19.7%US$15.53US$7.12n/a25
Sep ’25US$8.05
US$10.10
+25.5%
21.6%US$15.36US$6.53n/a25
Aug ’25US$7.63
US$12.15
+59.3%
26.2%US$18.60US$8.02n/a25
Jul ’25US$7.71
US$12.56
+62.9%
26.8%US$20.01US$7.97n/a26
Jun ’25US$8.31
US$12.59
+51.5%
27.1%US$20.10US$7.70n/a26
May ’25US$8.12
US$13.09
+61.2%
29.3%US$20.11US$7.01n/a26
Apr ’25US$7.76
US$14.12
+82.0%
32.8%US$28.21US$7.27n/a26
Mar ’25US$9.95
US$16.72
+68.0%
31.1%US$28.37US$7.29n/a25
Feb ’25US$8.47
US$17.67
+108.7%
26.8%US$28.40US$7.30n/a25
Jan ’25US$14.59
US$19.20
+31.6%
25.9%US$28.81US$8.19n/a25
Dec ’24US$15.74
US$19.41
+23.3%
27.0%US$28.56US$8.12US$12.0525
Nov ’24US$15.50
US$18.38
+18.6%
30.1%US$27.86US$7.96US$11.5226
Oct ’24US$18.36
US$18.77
+2.3%
28.1%US$27.97US$7.99US$12.8526
Sep ’24US$18.71
US$19.13
+2.3%
28.6%US$28.09US$8.02US$8.0527
Aug ’24US$20.05
US$16.96
-15.4%
44.7%US$32.98US$5.91US$7.6328
Jul ’24US$13.42
US$10.27
-23.5%
27.7%US$15.99US$4.87US$7.7126
Jun ’24US$8.02
US$9.85
+22.8%
24.8%US$14.50US$4.98US$8.3125
May ’24US$9.90
US$12.30
+24.2%
46.0%US$38.18US$6.68US$8.1226
Apr ’24US$11.11
US$12.02
+8.1%
48.9%US$38.32US$4.19US$7.7626
Mar ’24US$8.86
US$13.58
+53.3%
48.0%US$37.93US$4.35US$9.9525
Feb ’24US$11.13
US$14.27
+28.2%
46.8%US$39.14US$4.49US$8.4725
Jan ’24US$9.94
US$14.20
+42.8%
45.7%US$37.85US$4.34US$14.5925
Dec ’23US$9.97
US$16.73
+67.8%
53.0%US$39.38US$4.30US$15.7425

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 11:59
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

XPeng Inc. is covered by 52 analysts. 37 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jiong ShaoBarclays
Jia LouBOCI Research Ltd.
Ming-Hsun LeeBofA Global Research