Lucid Group, Inc.

NasdaqGS:LCID Stock Report

Market Cap: US$9.1b

Lucid Group Valuation

Is LCID undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LCID when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate LCID's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate LCID's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LCID?

Key metric: As LCID is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for LCID. This is calculated by dividing LCID's market cap by their current revenue.
What is LCID's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio12.4x
SalesUS$730.51m
Market CapUS$9.09b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does LCID's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for LCID vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.4x
ZK ZEEKR Intelligent Technology Holding
0.7x23.8%US$6.8b
VFS VinFast Auto
6.7x41.2%US$9.6b
NIO NIO
1.1x23.8%US$9.5b
LI Li Auto
1.2x19.7%US$23.5b
LCID Lucid Group
12.4x43.9%US$9.1b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: LCID is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (12.4x) compared to the peer average (2.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does LCID's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Auto Industry?

18 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GM General Motors
0.3x1.2%US$55.35b
F Ford Motor
0.2x0.5%US$38.71b
ZK ZEEKR Intelligent Technology Holding
0.7x23.8%US$6.76b
THO THOR Industries
0.5x6.3%US$5.12b
LCID 12.4xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies18PS048121620+
18 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: LCID is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (12.4x) compared to the US Auto industry average (1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LCID's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LCID PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio12.4x
Fair PS Ratio0.02x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: LCID is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (12.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LCID forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$3.02
US$2.82
-6.5%
29.0%US$4.18US$1.25n/a10
Dec ’25US$2.18
US$2.82
+29.5%
29.0%US$4.18US$1.25n/a10
Nov ’25US$2.20
US$3.18
+44.7%
24.4%US$4.18US$1.75n/a10
Oct ’25US$3.26
US$3.20
-1.9%
24.5%US$4.18US$1.75n/a10
Sep ’25US$4.02
US$3.17
-21.2%
22.0%US$4.00US$1.75n/a12
Aug ’25US$3.27
US$3.07
-6.2%
21.2%US$4.00US$1.75n/a12
Jul ’25US$2.64
US$3.02
+14.4%
21.0%US$4.00US$1.75n/a12
Jun ’25US$2.84
US$3.02
+6.4%
21.0%US$4.00US$1.75n/a12
May ’25US$2.62
US$3.27
+24.6%
21.9%US$4.00US$1.75n/a13
Apr ’25US$2.86
US$3.38
+18.2%
23.9%US$4.50US$1.75n/a12
Mar ’25US$3.33
US$3.68
+10.4%
30.1%US$6.00US$1.75n/a11
Feb ’25US$3.42
US$4.68
+36.8%
29.2%US$7.00US$2.25n/a12
Jan ’25US$4.21
US$4.90
+16.4%
23.9%US$7.00US$3.00n/a12
Dec ’24US$4.33
US$4.89
+13.0%
25.0%US$7.00US$3.00US$2.1811
Nov ’24US$4.05
US$6.61
+63.2%
31.6%US$10.00US$3.50US$2.2012
Oct ’24US$5.59
US$7.25
+29.7%
24.8%US$10.00US$5.00US$3.2612
Sep ’24US$6.36
US$7.40
+16.4%
26.0%US$10.00US$5.00US$4.0210
Aug ’24US$7.27
US$8.22
+13.1%
25.3%US$12.00US$5.00US$3.279
Jul ’24US$6.89
US$8.81
+27.9%
28.9%US$12.00US$5.00US$2.648
Jun ’24US$6.50
US$8.81
+35.6%
28.9%US$12.00US$5.00US$2.848
May ’24US$7.32
US$10.17
+38.9%
32.1%US$16.00US$5.00US$2.629
Apr ’24US$8.04
US$10.56
+31.4%
29.7%US$16.00US$5.00US$2.868
Mar ’24US$8.62
US$10.75
+24.7%
29.0%US$16.00US$5.00US$3.338
Feb ’24US$11.85
US$13.86
+17.0%
31.2%US$18.00US$5.00US$3.427
Jan ’24US$6.83
US$17.33
+153.8%
30.8%US$26.00US$10.00US$4.216
Dec ’23US$9.83
US$16.60
+68.9%
33.6%US$26.00US$10.00US$4.335

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 01:48
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Lucid Group, Inc. is covered by 18 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Benjamin KalloBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
James PicarielloBNP Paribas Exane