TUI AG

XTRA:TUI1 Stock Report

Market Cap: €4.7b

TUI Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

TUI is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 10.3% and 2.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 8.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 39.4% in 3 years.

Key information

10.3%

Earnings growth rate

8.10%

EPS growth rate

Hospitality earnings growth59.2%
Revenue growth rate2.8%
Future return on equity39.37%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated14 Aug 2025

Recent future growth updates

Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of TUI AG (ETR:TUI1) After Its First-Quarter Report

Feb 13
Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of TUI AG (ETR:TUI1) After Its First-Quarter Report

Recent updates

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, TUI (ETR:TUI1) Presents An Opportunity

Aug 15
If EPS Growth Is Important To You, TUI (ETR:TUI1) Presents An Opportunity

TUI AG (ETR:TUI1) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 27%

Jul 24
TUI AG (ETR:TUI1) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 27%

These 4 Measures Indicate That TUI (ETR:TUI1) Is Using Debt Extensively

Jun 17
These 4 Measures Indicate That TUI (ETR:TUI1) Is Using Debt Extensively

TUI (ETR:TUI1) Is Posting Promising Earnings But The Good News Doesn’t Stop There

May 22
TUI (ETR:TUI1) Is Posting Promising Earnings But The Good News Doesn’t Stop There

TUI AG's (ETR:TUI1) Shares Bounce 26% But Its Business Still Trails The Market

May 14
TUI AG's (ETR:TUI1) Shares Bounce 26% But Its Business Still Trails The Market

Should You Think About Buying TUI AG (ETR:TUI1) Now?

Apr 25
Should You Think About Buying TUI AG (ETR:TUI1) Now?

TUI AG's (ETR:TUI1) Shares Lagging The Market But So Is The Business

Mar 08
TUI AG's (ETR:TUI1) Shares Lagging The Market But So Is The Business

Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of TUI AG (ETR:TUI1) After Its First-Quarter Report

Feb 13
Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of TUI AG (ETR:TUI1) After Its First-Quarter Report

We Think Shareholders Are Less Likely To Approve A Large Pay Rise For TUI AG's (ETR:TUI1) CEO For Now

Feb 05
We Think Shareholders Are Less Likely To Approve A Large Pay Rise For TUI AG's (ETR:TUI1) CEO For Now

With EPS Growth And More, TUI (ETR:TUI1) Makes An Interesting Case

Jan 21
With EPS Growth And More, TUI (ETR:TUI1) Makes An Interesting Case
author-image

Transformation Into Tech-Integrated Global Leisure Marketplace Fuels Growth

Expansion into new markets and unique holiday experiences should enhance revenue growth and pricing power, improving net margins.

Little Excitement Around TUI AG's (ETR:TUI1) Earnings

Dec 07
Little Excitement Around TUI AG's (ETR:TUI1) Earnings

We Think TUI (ETR:TUI1) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Nov 19
We Think TUI (ETR:TUI1) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Should You Be Adding TUI (ETR:TUI1) To Your Watchlist Today?

Oct 14
Should You Be Adding TUI (ETR:TUI1) To Your Watchlist Today?

TUI's (ETR:TUI1) Performance Is Even Better Than Its Earnings Suggest

Aug 21
TUI's (ETR:TUI1) Performance Is Even Better Than Its Earnings Suggest

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

XTRA:TUI1 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
9/30/202726,1328219451,97711
9/30/202625,3217218021,82312
9/30/202524,5346007161,85212
6/30/202524,2046639971,797N/A
3/31/202523,7915321,1201,863N/A
12/31/202423,7375441,0791,855N/A
9/30/202423,1675071,1981,911N/A
6/30/202422,2165391,0261,707N/A
3/31/202421,7155099621,653N/A
12/31/202321,2184391,0651,696N/A
9/30/202320,6663069711,637N/A
6/30/202319,8042025461,187N/A
3/31/202318,951-1786471,354N/A
12/31/202217,926-1497131,372N/A
9/30/202216,545-2771,5622,078N/A
6/30/202212,297-1,1342,4532,909N/A
3/31/20228,513-1,7121,4411,765N/A
12/31/20216,633-2,071-695-379N/A
9/30/20214,732-2,467-451-151N/A
6/30/20212,599-3,215-2,267-1,902N/A
3/31/20212,021-3,762-3,884-3,519N/A
12/31/20204,561-3,800-2,619-2,127N/A
9/30/20207,944-3,148-3,359-2,772N/A
6/30/202014,217-1,606-2,974-1,545N/A
3/31/202018,890-1023491,104N/A
12/31/201919,2044274401,314N/A
9/30/201918,9284161281,115N/A
6/30/201918,748550258572N/A
3/31/201918,579626N/A877N/A
12/31/201818,623658N/A891N/A
9/30/201818,469689N/A1,151N/A
6/30/201818,548776N/A1,482N/A
3/31/201818,747813N/A1,418N/A
12/31/201718,674794N/A1,402N/A
9/30/201718,535794N/A1,583N/A
6/30/201717,894532N/A1,374N/A
3/31/201717,358451N/A1,322N/A
12/31/201617,224399N/A1,306N/A
9/30/201617,154350N/A1,035N/A
6/30/201616,417171N/A1,316N/A
3/31/201617,053140N/A1,320N/A
12/31/201517,371298N/A930N/A
9/30/201517,516358N/A791N/A
6/30/201518,778173N/A1,204N/A
3/31/201518,679125N/A760N/A
12/31/201418,55094N/A847N/A
9/30/201418,53783N/A1,075N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: TUI1's forecast earnings growth (10.3% per year) is above the savings rate (1.4%).

Earnings vs Market: TUI1's earnings (10.3% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the German market (16.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: TUI1's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: TUI1's revenue (2.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the German market (5.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: TUI1's revenue (2.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: TUI1's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (39.4%)


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/08/17 20:09
End of Day Share Price 2025/08/15 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

TUI AG is covered by 52 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
SEBASTIAN HEINBankhaus Lampe KG
Chandni HiraniBarclays
James Rowland ClarkBarclays