TUI AG

XTRA:TUI1 Stock Report

Market Cap: €4.3b

TUI Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

TUI is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 16.1% and 4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 13.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 45.5% in 3 years.

Key information

16.1%

Earnings growth rate

13.3%

EPS growth rate

Hospitality earnings growth70.0%
Revenue growth rate4.0%
Future return on equity45.5%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated20 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Little Excitement Around TUI AG's (ETR:TUI1) Earnings

Dec 07
Little Excitement Around TUI AG's (ETR:TUI1) Earnings

We Think TUI (ETR:TUI1) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Nov 19
We Think TUI (ETR:TUI1) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Should You Be Adding TUI (ETR:TUI1) To Your Watchlist Today?

Oct 14
Should You Be Adding TUI (ETR:TUI1) To Your Watchlist Today?

TUI's (ETR:TUI1) Performance Is Even Better Than Its Earnings Suggest

Aug 21
TUI's (ETR:TUI1) Performance Is Even Better Than Its Earnings Suggest

We Think TUI (ETR:TUI1) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Aug 14
We Think TUI (ETR:TUI1) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Pinning Down TUI AG's (ETR:TUI1) P/S Is Difficult Right Now

Jul 23
Pinning Down TUI AG's (ETR:TUI1) P/S Is Difficult Right Now

TUI AG (ETR:TUI1) Shares Could Be 48% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Jul 05
TUI AG (ETR:TUI1) Shares Could Be 48% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

TUI (ETR:TUI1) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Apr 23
TUI (ETR:TUI1) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Improved Revenues Required Before TUI AG (ETR:TUI1) Stock's 27% Jump Looks Justified

Apr 05
Improved Revenues Required Before TUI AG (ETR:TUI1) Stock's 27% Jump Looks Justified

TUI AG's (ETR:TUI1) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 74% Above Its Share Price

Mar 19
TUI AG's (ETR:TUI1) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 74% Above Its Share Price

TUI (ETR:TUI1) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Jan 07
TUI (ETR:TUI1) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

TUI AG (ETR:TUI1) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 25%

Dec 20
TUI AG (ETR:TUI1) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 25%

Shareholders Can Be Confident That TUI's (ETR:TUI1) Earnings Are High Quality

Dec 12
Shareholders Can Be Confident That TUI's (ETR:TUI1) Earnings Are High Quality

Here's Why TUI (ETR:TUI1) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Sep 22
Here's Why TUI (ETR:TUI1) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Is TUI (ETR:TUI1) A Risky Investment?

Jan 24
Is TUI (ETR:TUI1) A Risky Investment?

Is There An Opportunity With TUI AG's (ETR:TUI1) 37% Undervaluation?

Dec 20
Is There An Opportunity With TUI AG's (ETR:TUI1) 37% Undervaluation?

Is TUI (ETR:TUI1) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

May 18
Is TUI (ETR:TUI1) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

We Think TUI AG's (ETR:TUI1) CEO Compensation Package Needs To Be Put Under A Microscope

Feb 01
We Think TUI AG's (ETR:TUI1) CEO Compensation Package Needs To Be Put Under A Microscope

These Analysts Think TUI AG's (ETR:TUI1) Sales Are Under Threat

Jul 08
These Analysts Think TUI AG's (ETR:TUI1) Sales Are Under Threat

Analysts Have Just Cut Their TUI AG (ETR:TUI1) Revenue Estimates By 31%

May 13
Analysts Have Just Cut Their TUI AG (ETR:TUI1) Revenue Estimates By 31%

Calculating The Fair Value Of TUI AG (ETR:TUI1)

Apr 16
Calculating The Fair Value Of TUI AG (ETR:TUI1)

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

XTRA:TUI1 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
9/30/202725,9858468851,5566
9/30/202624,8767658211,50010
9/30/202524,3496521867789
9/30/202423,1675071,1981,911N/A
6/30/202422,2165391,0261,707N/A
3/31/202421,7155099621,653N/A
12/31/202321,2184391,0651,696N/A
9/30/202320,6663069711,637N/A
6/30/202319,8042025461,187N/A
3/31/202318,951-1786471,354N/A
12/31/202217,926-1497131,372N/A
9/30/202216,545-2771,5622,078N/A
6/30/202212,297-1,1342,4532,909N/A
3/31/20228,513-1,7121,4411,765N/A
12/31/20216,633-2,071-695-379N/A
9/30/20214,732-2,467-451-151N/A
6/30/20212,599-3,215-2,267-1,902N/A
3/31/20212,021-3,762-3,884-3,519N/A
12/31/20204,561-3,800-2,619-2,127N/A
9/30/20207,944-3,148-3,359-2,772N/A
6/30/202014,217-1,606-2,974-1,545N/A
3/31/202018,890-1023491,104N/A
12/31/201919,2044274401,314N/A
9/30/201918,9284161281,115N/A
6/30/201918,748550258572N/A
3/31/201918,579626-319877N/A
12/31/201818,623658-127891N/A
9/30/201818,4696891951,151N/A
6/30/201818,548776N/A1,482N/A
3/31/201818,747813N/A1,418N/A
12/31/201718,674794N/A1,402N/A
9/30/201718,535794N/A1,583N/A
6/30/201717,894532N/A1,374N/A
3/31/201717,358451N/A1,322N/A
12/31/201617,224399N/A1,306N/A
9/30/201617,154350N/A1,035N/A
6/30/201616,417171N/A1,316N/A
3/31/201617,053140N/A1,320N/A
12/31/201517,371298N/A930N/A
9/30/201517,516358N/A791N/A
6/30/201518,778173N/A1,204N/A
3/31/201518,679125N/A760N/A
12/31/201418,55094N/A847N/A
9/30/201418,53783N/A1,075N/A
6/30/201418,207111N/A834N/A
3/31/201418,109137N/A879N/A
12/31/201318,325-6N/A945N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: TUI1's forecast earnings growth (16.1% per year) is above the savings rate (1%).

Earnings vs Market: TUI1's earnings (16.1% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the German market (20.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: TUI1's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: TUI1's revenue (4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the German market (5.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: TUI1's revenue (4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: TUI1's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (45.5%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 08:24
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

TUI AG is covered by 44 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
SEBASTIAN HEINBankhaus Lampe KG
James Rowland ClarkBarclays
Stuart GordonBerenberg