Helia Group Limited

ASX:HLI Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$1.4b

Helia Group Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 4/6

Helia Group has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 23.8%, while the Diversified Financial industry saw earnings growing at 34.1% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 9.1% per year. Helia Group's return on equity is 24%, and it has net margins of 51.2%.

Key information

23.75%

Earnings growth rate

28.35%

EPS growth rate

Diversified Financial Industry Growth13.42%
Revenue growth rate9.07%
Return on equity24.03%
Net Margin51.16%
Next Earnings Update11 Aug 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

New Narrative Jul 21

Government Deposit Scheme Expansion And Bank Self‑Insurance Will Erode Future Earnings Power

Catalysts About Helia Group Helia Group is an Australian lender mortgage insurance provider that supports banks and homebuyers in high loan-to-value ratio housing finance. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update Jun 17

HLI: Lowered Return Assumptions Will Pressure P/E And Future Share Price

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Helia Group shares by A$5, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue trends, and future P/E expectations, while keeping fair value estimates broadly unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Helia Group focuses on how updated assumptions flow through to valuation, especially around discount rates, revenue trajectories, and future P/E settings used in models.
Narrative Update Jun 02

HLI: Higher Required Returns Will Temper P/E While Profitability Supports Fair Value

Analysts trimmed their A$ price targets on Helia Group by A$5 to A$12, citing slightly higher required returns, modestly softer revenue expectations and updated P/E assumptions, while still recognising the company’s resilient profitability profile. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around valuation resets in related financial stocks helps frame how analysts are thinking about Helia Group’s risk and reward, especially around earnings resilience, required returns and P/E multiples.
Narrative Update Apr 27

HLI: Higher Discount Rates Will Pressure Future Earnings Multiple

Analysts have trimmed their A$ price target on Helia Group by a small amount, reflecting slightly higher discount rate assumptions and only marginal tweaks to long term P/E and profitability expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Helia Group points to a cautious recalibration of expectations, with modest price target adjustments and a focus on how valuation lines up with long term profitability and P/E assumptions.
Narrative Update Apr 12

HLI: Sector Repricing And Slower Deal Activity Will Pressure Future Earnings Multiple

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Helia Group by A$0.04, reflecting slightly higher discount rate assumptions and a marginally higher future P/E multiple, while keeping fair value and key operating assumptions broadly unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Helia Group points to a more cautious stance on valuation, with price targets trimmed on the back of higher discount rates and updated P/E assumptions, rather than any major shift in fundamental expectations.
Narrative Update Mar 28

HLI: Sector Repricing And Slowing Deal Activity Will Pressure Future Risk Balance

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Helia Group, reflecting slightly lower discount rate and future P/E assumptions while keeping fair value and key margin and revenue growth inputs effectively unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent updates from Street research on a comparable advisory firm highlight how analysts are thinking about valuation, execution risk, and growth assumptions, which can be useful context when assessing Helia Group.
Narrative Update Mar 13

HLI: Lower Discount Rate And Sector Repricing Will Shape Future Risk Balance

Analysts have reduced their price target for Helia Group to about A$4.27 from A$4.35, citing slightly softer revenue assumptions, a marginally lower discount rate, improved profit margin expectations, and a modestly reduced future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on valuation-focused peers in financial services points to a mixed backdrop of target price revisions, with some analysts trimming expectations while others still see room for upside.
Narrative Update Feb 26

HLI: Lower Discount Rate Will Keep Shares Vulnerable To Future Risk Repricing

Analysts have raised their price target for Helia Group by A$0.48 to A$4.35, citing updated assumptions that include a lower discount rate, a smaller projected revenue decline, a higher profit margin, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around Helia Group's valuation focuses on how updated assumptions feed into the higher A$4.35 price target, rather than major changes in the underlying business narrative.
Narrative Update Aug 25

Analysts Forecast Earnings To Fall To A$97 Million By 2028

Despite a worsening revenue growth outlook, a significant increase in Helia Group's future P/E multiple has driven the consensus analyst price target up from A$3.52 to A$3.87. What's in the News Announced fully franked ordinary dividend of AUD 0.16 per share and unfranked special dividend of AUD 0.27 per share for six months ended June 30, 2025.
Analysis Article May 07

Helia Group Limited (ASX:HLI) Surges 25% Yet Its Low P/E Is No Reason For Excitement

Helia Group Limited ( ASX:HLI ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 25% after a shaky period beforehand...
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New Narrative Mar 02

Analysts Forecast Earnings To Fall To A$97 Million By 2028

Potential growth is hindered by reliance on government schemes and lender self-insurance, affecting market share and revenue.
Analysis Article Mar 01

There's No Escaping Helia Group Limited's (ASX:HLI) Muted Earnings Despite A 27% Share Price Rise

Helia Group Limited ( ASX:HLI ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone...
Analysis Article Jul 18

Is Now The Time To Put Helia Group (ASX:HLI) On Your Watchlist?

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...
Analysis Article Jun 19

Investors Aren't Buying Helia Group Limited's (ASX:HLI) Earnings

When close to half the companies in Australia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may consider...
Analysis Article May 03

Shareholders May Be More Conservative With Helia Group Limited's (ASX:HLI) CEO Compensation For Now

Key Insights Helia Group's Annual General Meeting to take place on 9th of May Total pay for CEO Pauline Blight-Johnston...
Analysis Article Oct 25

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Helia Group (ASX:HLI) Presents An Opportunity

It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...
Analysis Article Aug 08

Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia's (ASX:GMA) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia Limited ( ASX:GMA ) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable...
Analysis Article Aug 04

Bearish: Analysts Just Cut Their Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia Limited (ASX:GMA) Revenue and EPS estimates

Today is shaping up negative for Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia Limited ( ASX:GMA ) shareholders, with the...

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Helia Group makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

ASX:HLI Revenue, expenses and earnings (AUD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Dec 2547924500
30 Sep 2551925700
30 Jun 2556026800
31 Mar 2553225000
31 Dec 2450523200
30 Sep 2449522800
30 Jun 2448422500
31 Mar 2450525000
31 Dec 2352527500
30 Sep 2359528300
30 Jun 2366529100
31 Mar 2355424600
31 Dec 2244320100
30 Sep 2233719600
30 Jun 2223119100
31 Mar 2232321800
31 Dec 2136019300
30 Sep 213648400
30 Jun 213734200
31 Mar 213942120
31 Dec 20402-10800
30 Sep 20373-5920
30 Jun 20375-5820
31 Mar 20368-5320
31 Dec 1943712020
30 Sep 1945012730
30 Jun 1943412230
31 Mar 1942011530
31 Dec 183597630
30 Sep 183759030
30 Jun 1840110230
31 Mar 1840710530
31 Dec 1747414930
30 Sep 1747014130
30 Jun 1750715630
31 Mar 1756418830
31 Dec 1657920330
30 Sep 1661223230
30 Jun 1663425130
31 Mar 1655520630
31 Dec 1557822830
30 Sep 15657287400

Quality Earnings: HLI has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: HLI's current net profit margins (51.2%) are higher than last year (45.9%).


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: HLI has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by 23.8% per year.

Accelerating Growth: HLI's earnings growth over the past year (5.8%) is below its 5-year average (23.8% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: HLI earnings growth over the past year (5.8%) did not outperform the Diversified Financial industry 26.2%.


Return on Equity

High ROE: HLI's Return on Equity (24%) is considered high.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/29 08:50
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/29 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Helia Group Limited is covered by 6 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ashley DalziellCGS International
Jan van der SchalkCLSA
Y. LiGoldman Sachs