Stock Analysis

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Helia Group (ASX:HLI) Presents An Opportunity

ASX:HLI
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It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story even if these companies are loss-making. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.' While a well funded company may sustain losses for years, it will need to generate a profit eventually, or else investors will move on and the company will wither away.

Despite being in the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, many investors still adopt a more traditional strategy; buying shares in profitable companies like Helia Group (ASX:HLI). Even if this company is fairly valued by the market, investors would agree that generating consistent profits will continue to provide Helia Group with the means to add long-term value to shareholders.

See our latest analysis for Helia Group

How Fast Is Helia Group Growing Its Earnings Per Share?

In the last three years Helia Group's earnings per share took off; so much so that it's a bit disingenuous to use these figures to try and deduce long term estimates. So it would be better to isolate the growth rate over the last year for our analysis. Impressively, Helia Group's EPS catapulted from AU$0.47 to AU$0.90, over the last year. It's not often a company can achieve year-on-year growth of 91%. That could be a sign that the business has reached a true inflection point.

It's often helpful to take a look at earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins, as well as revenue growth, to get another take on the quality of the company's growth. The music to the ears of Helia Group shareholders is that EBIT margins have grown from 81% to 95% in the last 12 months and revenues are on an upwards trend as well. Both of which are great metrics to check off for potential growth.

The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. To see the actual numbers, click on the chart.

earnings-and-revenue-history
ASX:HLI Earnings and Revenue History October 25th 2023

You don't drive with your eyes on the rear-view mirror, so you might be more interested in this free report showing analyst forecasts for Helia Group's future profits.

Are Helia Group Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

It's said that there's no smoke without fire. For investors, insider buying is often the smoke that indicates which stocks could set the market alight. This view is based on the possibility that stock purchases signal bullishness on behalf of the buyer. However, insiders are sometimes wrong, and we don't know the exact thinking behind their acquisitions.

We note that Helia Group insiders spent AU$283k on stock, over the last year; in contrast, we didn't see any selling. That's nice to see, because it suggests insiders are optimistic. Zooming in, we can see that the biggest insider purchase was by CEO, MD & Director Pauline Blight-Johnston for AU$204k worth of shares, at about AU$2.93 per share.

Does Helia Group Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

Helia Group's earnings per share growth have been climbing higher at an appreciable rate. Most growth-seeking investors will find it hard to ignore that sort of explosive EPS growth. And in fact, it could well signal a fundamental shift in the business economics. If that's the case, you may regret neglecting to put Helia Group on your watchlist. Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Helia Group (2 are a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. So if you like the sound of Helia Group, you'll probably love this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Helia Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.