HMC Capital (HMC) Stock Overview
Owns and manages real estate focused funds in Australia. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 0/6 |
| Future Growth | 4/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 4/6 |
| Dividends | 1/6 |
HMC Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 23 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
HMC Capital Limited Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | AU$3.06 |
| 52 Week High | AU$4.62 |
| 52 Week Low | AU$2.16 |
| Beta | 1.09 |
| 1 Month Change | 3.03% |
| 3 Month Change | 21.43% |
| 1 Year Change | -29.98% |
| 3 Year Change | -36.91% |
| 5 Year Change | -42.91% |
| Change since IPO | -18.40% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Jul 01
HMC: Revised Forecasts Will Emphasize Discipline On Margins And Capital Allocation
Analysts have reduced their price target on HMC Capital to A$5.35 from A$6.20, citing revised expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly higher future P/E multiple. What’s in the News for HMC Capital Honda Motor, whose stock ticker is HMC, is reported by The New York Times to be facing internal tension after its earlier pledge to go all electric by 2040 reportedly unraveled, with the CEO describing the situation as "heartbreaking." Nikkei Asia reports that Honda is considering issuing more than ¥400b in euro denominated bonds to support supplier compensation linked to changes in its electric vehicle plans and to fund additional investment in hybrid vehicle development.
Narrative Update • Jun 17
HMC: Trade Shifts And EV Retrenchment Will Pressure Stock Reentry Timing
Analysts have revised their price target on HMC Capital to A$2.80, reflecting updated assumptions that pair a slightly lower discount rate with more moderate revenue growth, a higher profit margin, and a modestly lower future P/E multiple. What’s in the News for HMC Capital U.S. trade proposals reported by the Financial Times seek to tighten rules on sourcing car parts within North America, which may influence supply chain costs and capital flows for auto related sectors that investors sometimes compare with HMC Capital’s broader capital markets exposure.
Narrative Update • Jun 03
HMC: Selective Auto Focus And Lower P/E May Support Future Recovery
Analysts have trimmed their HMC Capital price target to about A$3.58 from around A$3.83, reflecting slightly lower revenue growth assumptions, a modestly reduced future P/E multiple, and updated profitability expectations after recent sector research. What's in the News Reports indicate the U.S. government is considering a USMCA change that would require at least 50% of auto components to be U.S. sourced to qualify for reduced tariffs.Narrative Update • May 15
HMC: Sector Headwinds And EV Reset May Shape Future Reentry Window
Analysts have trimmed their HMC Capital price target from A$2.80 to A$2.70, reflecting a slightly lower revenue growth outlook and a modestly reduced discount rate, while still expecting higher profit margins and a similar forward P/E profile. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts are framing the revised A$2.70 price target as a signal that investors should be more selective with HMC Capital exposure, especially given the softer revenue growth outlook embedded in their models.Narrative Update • Apr 30
HMC: Sector Headwinds And Repricing May Create Future Reentry Window
Analysts have trimmed their HMC Capital price target from A$2.97 to A$2.80. This reflects updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples in light of rising input costs and sector headwinds flagged in recent research on comparable auto and mobility names.Narrative Update • Apr 16
HMC: Higher Discount Rate Will Highlight Discipline On Margins And Capital Allocation
Narrative Update on HMC Capital Analysts have reduced their price target on HMC Capital to A$6.20 from A$7.09, citing a higher assumed discount rate, slightly lower profit margins and a more conservative future P/E multiple, partly offset by stronger projected revenue growth. Analyst Commentary Street research coverage around autos and mobility highlights rising raw material costs and geopolitical risk for the sector, with some large global manufacturers seeing reduced enthusiasm and lower price targets.Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jul 01
HMC: Revised Forecasts Will Emphasize Discipline On Margins And Capital Allocation
Analysts have reduced their price target on HMC Capital to A$5.35 from A$6.20, citing revised expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly higher future P/E multiple. What’s in the News for HMC Capital Honda Motor, whose stock ticker is HMC, is reported by The New York Times to be facing internal tension after its earlier pledge to go all electric by 2040 reportedly unraveled, with the CEO describing the situation as "heartbreaking." Nikkei Asia reports that Honda is considering issuing more than ¥400b in euro denominated bonds to support supplier compensation linked to changes in its electric vehicle plans and to fund additional investment in hybrid vehicle development.Narrative Update • Jun 17
HMC: Trade Shifts And EV Retrenchment Will Pressure Stock Reentry Timing
Analysts have revised their price target on HMC Capital to A$2.80, reflecting updated assumptions that pair a slightly lower discount rate with more moderate revenue growth, a higher profit margin, and a modestly lower future P/E multiple. What’s in the News for HMC Capital U.S. trade proposals reported by the Financial Times seek to tighten rules on sourcing car parts within North America, which may influence supply chain costs and capital flows for auto related sectors that investors sometimes compare with HMC Capital’s broader capital markets exposure.Narrative Update • Jun 03
HMC: Selective Auto Focus And Lower P/E May Support Future Recovery
Analysts have trimmed their HMC Capital price target to about A$3.58 from around A$3.83, reflecting slightly lower revenue growth assumptions, a modestly reduced future P/E multiple, and updated profitability expectations after recent sector research. What's in the News Reports indicate the U.S. government is considering a USMCA change that would require at least 50% of auto components to be U.S. sourced to qualify for reduced tariffs.Narrative Update • May 15
HMC: Sector Headwinds And EV Reset May Shape Future Reentry Window
Analysts have trimmed their HMC Capital price target from A$2.80 to A$2.70, reflecting a slightly lower revenue growth outlook and a modestly reduced discount rate, while still expecting higher profit margins and a similar forward P/E profile. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts are framing the revised A$2.70 price target as a signal that investors should be more selective with HMC Capital exposure, especially given the softer revenue growth outlook embedded in their models.Narrative Update • Apr 30
HMC: Sector Headwinds And Repricing May Create Future Reentry Window
Analysts have trimmed their HMC Capital price target from A$2.97 to A$2.80. This reflects updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples in light of rising input costs and sector headwinds flagged in recent research on comparable auto and mobility names.Narrative Update • Apr 16
HMC: Higher Discount Rate Will Highlight Discipline On Margins And Capital Allocation
Narrative Update on HMC Capital Analysts have reduced their price target on HMC Capital to A$6.20 from A$7.09, citing a higher assumed discount rate, slightly lower profit margins and a more conservative future P/E multiple, partly offset by stronger projected revenue growth. Analyst Commentary Street research coverage around autos and mobility highlights rising raw material costs and geopolitical risk for the sector, with some large global manufacturers seeing reduced enthusiasm and lower price targets.Narrative Update • Apr 02
HMC: Selective Auto Exposure And Lower P/E Expectations May Support Future Rebound
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for HMC Capital, cutting the target by about A$0.10 per share. They have adjusted discount rate assumptions and expected future P/E multiples in light of sector headwinds and a more cautious stance on auto related exposures.Narrative Update • Mar 19
HMC: Higher Discount Rate May Set Up Rebound From Auto Sector Headwinds
Analysts have trimmed their price target on HMC Capital from A$5.06 to A$3.94, reflecting a higher discount rate and slightly lower margin assumptions, even as revenue growth expectations and the future P/E multiple inputs have been adjusted, in part due to broader auto sector headwinds highlighted in recent research. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the trimmed A$3.94 target as still supported by existing revenue expectations and the applied P/E multiple, suggesting scope for upside if execution in core auto activities and adjacent businesses meets internal plans.Narrative Update • Mar 05
HMC: Index Removal Will Create Future Opportunity As Earnings Expectations Reset
Analysts have lowered their price target for HMC Capital from A$3.40 to A$2.97, reflecting updated assumptions for higher revenue growth, slightly tighter profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News HMC Capital Limited was removed from the S&P/ASX 200 Index.Narrative Update • Feb 19
HMC: North American Production Recovery And EV Investments Will Support Profitability
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for HMC Capital from about A$7.66 to A$7.09, reflecting slightly lower revenue growth assumptions, a modestly reduced future P/E, and a marginally higher profit margin outlook. What's in the News HMC Capital Limited was removed from the S&P/ASX 200 Index, which can affect index fund ownership and trading liquidity for the stock (Key Developments).Analysis Article • Feb 12
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By HMC Capital Limited's (ASX:HMC) 25% Share Price Plunge
HMC Capital Limited ( ASX:HMC ) shares have retraced a considerable 25% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of...Narrative Update • Feb 05
HMC: Auto Sector Weakness And Index Removal Will Pressure Returns
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target for HMC Capital, citing small changes to the discount rate, revenue growth outlook, profit margin assumptions, and future P/E multiples. Together, these factors refine but do not materially shift their valuation view.Narrative Update • Jan 22
HMC: Lower Margins And Auto Sector Headwinds Will Pressure Future Returns
Analysts have raised their price target on HMC Capital to reflect a slightly lower discount rate, modestly stronger assumed revenue growth and a broadly steady long term P/E multiple, while keeping fair value per share essentially unchanged. What's in the News American Honda reported a 12.5% year over year drop in December sales, according to Bloomberg (Bloomberg).Narrative Update • Jan 07
HMC: Index Removal And Lower Margins Will Pressure Future Returns
Analysts have slightly adjusted their price target for HMC Capital to A$3.40 from A$3.40, reflecting updated views on revenue growth assumptions, profit margins and future P/E expectations. What's in the News HMC Capital Limited was dropped from the S&P/ASX 200 Index, which can affect index fund ownership and trading liquidity for the stock.Narrative Update • Dec 15
HMC: Gradual North American Production Recovery Will Support Improved Profitability
Analysts have modestly trimmed their price target on HMC Capital from A$7.75 to A$7.66, reflecting slightly higher discount rate assumptions and softer projected profit margins, partially offset by stronger expected revenue growth and a marginally higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Honda plans to gradually resume normal operations at its North American plants following Nexperia chip related disruptions, easing concerns about prolonged production stoppages (Reuters).Analysis Article • Dec 15
There's No Escaping HMC Capital Limited's (ASX:HMC) Muted Earnings Despite A 26% Share Price Rise
HMC Capital Limited ( ASX:HMC ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand...Analysis Article • Aug 23
HMC Capital (ASX:HMC) Has Announced A Dividend Of A$0.06
The board of HMC Capital Limited ( ASX:HMC ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 30th of September, with...Analysis Article • Aug 22
What Does The Future Hold For HMC Capital Limited (ASX:HMC)? These Analysts Have Been Cutting Their Estimates
Market forces rained on the parade of HMC Capital Limited ( ASX:HMC ) shareholders today, when the analysts downgraded...Narrative Update • Aug 20
Investments In DigiCo Infrastructure And Energy Transition Will Strengthen Future Prospects
The consensus price target for HMC Capital has been revised down from A$6.49 to A$5.56 due to analysts’ concerns that, despite some tariff relief improving Honda’s U.S. market access, overall trade barriers remain elevated and risk/reward has become more balanced. Analyst Commentary Japanese trade deal reduces tariffs on vehicles imported to the U.S. from Japan to 15% (from 25%), improving Honda's competitiveness versus U.S. domestic automakers.Analysis Article • Aug 19
Investors Aren't Buying HMC Capital Limited's (ASX:HMC) Earnings
ASX:HMC 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore HMC Capital's Fair Values from the Community and select yours HMC...
New Narrative • Feb 09
Expansion Into Private Credit And Energy Transition Will Unlock Future Profits And Diversify Revenue Streams
HMC Capital's new growth platforms in private credit, energy transition, and digital infrastructure aim to leverage global trends for diversified, long-term revenue growth.Analysis Article • Nov 21
Here's Why Shareholders May Want To Be Cautious With Increasing HMC Capital Limited's (ASX:HMC) CEO Pay Packet
Key Insights HMC Capital's Annual General Meeting to take place on 27th of November Total pay for CEO David Di Pilla...Analysis Article • Oct 25
Investors Appear Satisfied With HMC Capital Limited's (ASX:HMC) Prospects As Shares Rocket 35%
The HMC Capital Limited ( ASX:HMC ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of...Shareholder Returns
| HMC | AU Capital Markets | AU Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 4.1% | 1.2% | -0.2% |
| 1Y | -30.0% | -2.1% | 1.0% |
Return vs Industry: HMC underperformed the Australian Capital Markets industry which returned -2.1% over the past year.
Return vs Market: HMC underperformed the Australian Market which returned 1% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| HMC volatility | |
|---|---|
| HMC Average Weekly Movement | 7.7% |
| Capital Markets Industry Average Movement | 5.1% |
| Market Average Movement | 9.6% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in AU Market | 17.0% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in AU Market | 4.0% |
Stable Share Price: HMC has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Australian market.
Volatility Over Time: HMC's weekly volatility (8%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | n/a | David Di Pilla | www.hmccapital.com.au |
HMC Capital Limited, together with its subsidiaries, owns and manages real estate focused funds in Australia. The company invests in high-conviction global megatrends and scalable real assets on behalf of individuals, large institutions, and super funds. The company was formerly known as Home Consortium Limited.
HMC Capital Limited Fundamentals Summary
| HMC fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | AU$1.24b |
| Earnings (TTM) | -AU$2.60m |
| Revenue (TTM) | AU$212.50m |
5.9x
P/S Ratio-485.3x
P/E RatioIs HMC overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| HMC income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | AU$212.50m |
| Cost of Revenue | AU$0 |
| Gross Profit | AU$212.50m |
| Other Expenses | AU$215.10m |
| Earnings | -AU$2.60m |
Last Reported Earnings
Dec 31, 2025
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -0.0063 |
| Gross Margin | 100.00% |
| Net Profit Margin | -1.22% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 26.9% |
How did HMC perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
3.9%
Current Dividend Yield-2,856%
Payout RatioCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/03 09:22 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/03 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/06/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
HMC Capital Limited is covered by 17 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Nicholas McGarrigle | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Benjamin Brayshaw | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Andrew MacFarlane | Bell Potter |