HMC Capital Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

HMC Capital is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 20.5% and 21.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 19.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10.5% in 3 years.

Key information

20.5%

Earnings growth rate

19.6%

EPS growth rate

Capital Markets earnings growth	12.2%
Revenue growth rate	21.9%
Future return on equity	10.5%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	19 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Here's Why Shareholders May Want To Be Cautious With Increasing HMC Capital Limited's (ASX:HMC) CEO Pay Packet

Nov 21

Investors Appear Satisfied With HMC Capital Limited's (ASX:HMC) Prospects As Shares Rocket 35%

Oct 25

What You Need To Know About The Home Consortium Limited (ASX:HMC) Analyst Downgrade Today

Dec 28

Home Consortium Limited (ASX:HMC) On The Verge Of Breaking Even

May 05

Analysts Expect Home Consortium Limited (ASX:HMC) To Breakeven Soon

Dec 31

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:HMC - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	353	177	191	208	5
6/30/2026	309	149	167	183	5
6/30/2025	284	118	135	152	5
6/30/2024	94	66	26	26	N/A
3/31/2024	88	61	21	21	N/A
12/31/2023	82	55	16	16	N/A
9/30/2023	85	56	8	8	N/A
6/30/2023	87	57	0	0	N/A
3/31/2023	110	53	-3	-3	N/A
12/31/2022	132	49	-6	-6	N/A
9/30/2022	149	63	-2	-2	N/A
6/30/2022	167	77	2	2	N/A
3/31/2022	146	35	6	6	N/A
12/31/2021	125	-7	11	11	N/A
9/30/2021	102	-53	17	17	N/A
6/30/2021	79	-100	23	23	N/A
3/31/2021	72	-68	18	18	N/A
12/31/2020	66	-36	13	13	N/A
9/30/2020	64	-15	-5	-5	N/A
6/30/2020	62	6	-23	-23	N/A
3/31/2020	60	-8	-40	-40	N/A
12/31/2019	57	-21	-57	-57	N/A
9/30/2019	53	-22	-54	-54	N/A
6/30/2019	49	-23	-50	-50	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: HMC's forecast earnings growth (20.5% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: HMC's earnings (20.5% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (12.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: HMC's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: HMC's revenue (21.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (5.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: HMC's revenue (21.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: HMC's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.5%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/21 20:54
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

HMC Capital Limited is covered by 14 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Benjamin Brayshaw	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Nicholas McGarrigle	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Andrew MacFarlane	Bell Potter

HMC Capital Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target increased by 9.7% to AU$10.00

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 15%

Price target increased by 7.3% to AU$9.12

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10%, revenue upgraded

Price target increased by 8.0% to AU$6.13

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 26%

Recent updates

Now 23% overvalued after recent price rise

Price target increased by 9.7% to AU$10.00

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 21%

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 15%

HMC Capital Limited Appoints Fiona Jane Pak-Poy as Director

Price target increased by 7.3% to AU$9.12

Here's Why Shareholders May Want To Be Cautious With Increasing HMC Capital Limited's (ASX:HMC) CEO Pay Packet

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10%, revenue upgraded

HMC Capital Limited (ASX:HMC) completed the acquisition of Global Switch Australia Holdings Pty Limited from Global Switch Holdings Limited.

HMC Capital Limited (ASX:HMC) completed the acquisition of Global Switch Australia Holdings Pty Limited from Global Switch Holdings Limited.

HMC Capital Limited (ASX:HMC) agreed to acquire iseek Pty Ltd. for AUD 400 million.

HMC Capital Limited (ASX:HMC) entered into an agreement to acquire Global Switch Australia Holdings Pty Limited from Global Switch Holdings Limited for AUD 2.1 billion.

Investors Appear Satisfied With HMC Capital Limited's (ASX:HMC) Prospects As Shares Rocket 35%

HMC Capital Limited has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 300.000006 million.

HMC Capital Limited has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 300.000006 million.

HMC Capital Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 27, 2024

HMC Capital Limited (ASX:HMC) acquired Market Central Lutwyche from Abacus Group (ASX:ABG) and ISPT Retail Australia Property Trust managed by ISPT Pty Ltd for approximately AUD 120 million.

Final dividend of AU$0.06 announced

HMC Capital Limited Announces Ordinary Dividend for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2024, Payable on October 2, 2024

Full year 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

HMC Capital Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Aug 21, 2024

HMC Capital Limited (ASX:HMC) completed the acquisition of Payton Capital Ltd

New minor risk - Shareholder dilution

HMC Capital Limited has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 100.000004 million.

HMC Capital Limited has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 30.000003 million.

Now 20% undervalued

First half 2024 earnings released: FFO per share: AU$0.2 (vs AU$0.084 in 1H 2023)

Price target increased by 8.0% to AU$6.13

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 26%

Now 21% overvalued after recent price rise

HMC Capital Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Feb 20, 2024

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%

Insufficient new directors

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

HMC Capital Limited (ASX:HMC) and HealthCo Healthcare and Wellness REIT (ASX:HCW) completed the acquisition of Healthscope Portfolio from Medical Properties Trust, Inc. (NYSE:MPW).

HMC Capital Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 15, 2023

Now 20% undervalued

Price target increased by 7.7% to AU$5.26

HMC Capital Limited Announces Ordinary Dividend for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2023, Payable on October 4, 2023

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.18 (vs AU$0.26 in FY 2022)

HMC Capital Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Aug 23, 2023

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$250k worth of stock

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 19%

First half 2023 earnings released: FFO per share: AU$0.08 (vs AU$0.10 in 1H 2022)

Now 21% undervalued

HMC Capital Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Feb 23, 2023

Home Consortium Limited Announces Board Changes

Insufficient new directors

Home Consortium Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 23, 2022

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Home Consortium Limited Announces Ordinary Dividend for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2022, Payable on October 7, 2022

Home Consortium Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2022 Results on Aug 24, 2022

Home Consortium Limited's wholly owned subsidiary HMC Investment Management Limited Launches HMC Capital Partners Fund 1

High number of new and inexperienced directors

First half 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Home Consortium Limited Announces Dividend for the Six Months Ended December 31, 2021, Payable on April 7, 2022

Home Consortium Limited (ASX:HMC) agreed to acquire Aventus Group (ASX:AVN).

Home Consortium Limited to Report First Half, 2022 Results on Feb 24, 2022

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

MD, CEO & Director recently bought AU$501k worth of stock

What You Need To Know About The Home Consortium Limited (ASX:HMC) Analyst Downgrade Today

Key Executive recently bought AU$151k worth of stock

Price target increased to AU$6.90

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$125k worth of stock

Price target increased to AU$5.85

Full year 2021 earnings released

Price target increased to AU$4.97

Home Consortium Limited (ASX:HMC) acquired portfolio of 8 private oncology assets from Genesis Care Pty Ltd for approximately AUD 110 million.

Forecast breakeven pushed back to 2022