Next 15 Group Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
Next 15 Group's revenue is forecast to decline at 8% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 83.5% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 72.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 20.3% in 3 years.
Key information
83.5%
Earnings growth rate
72.57%
EPS growth rate
| Media earnings growth | 30.3% |
| Revenue growth rate | -8.0% |
| Future return on equity | 20.28% |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 11 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 26
NFG: Higher Future P/E And Going Concern Risk Will Support Rerating
Analysts have adjusted their price expectations for Next 15 Group, keeping fair value around £4.65 while refining assumptions on discount rate, revenue trends and profit margins. This feeds through to a slightly higher forward P/E of about 15.7x from 15.2x in their updated models.
Narrative Update • May 12
NFG: Easing Revenue Decline And Higher P/E Assumptions Will Support Reappraisal
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Next 15 Group by £0.10 to £5.10, citing a reduced expected decline in revenue growth, slightly higher discount rate and profit margin assumptions, and a modest adjustment to the future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: £5.10 is unchanged, so the central valuation anchor for the stock remains the same.Narrative Update • Apr 22
NFG: Analyst Day Outlook And Margin Assumptions Will Support Fair Value Reappraisal
Analysts have slightly reduced their average price target for Next 15 Group to reflect modestly softer revenue expectations, while marginally improved margin and P/E assumptions partly offset this impact, resulting in a small decrease in the implied fair value per share in £ terms. What's in the News Next 15 Group held an Analyst/Investor Day, giving the market a new opportunity to hear directly from management about the business and its outlook for the coming periods (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Apr 07
NFG: Analyst Day Insights Will Support Reappraisal Of Earnings Quality Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their average price target for Next 15 Group by £0.10. This reflects slightly higher assumed discount rates and softer revenue expectations, partly offset by a small uplift in projected profit margins and a marginally lower future P/E multiple.Narrative Update • Mar 24
NFG: Analyst Day Updates Will Support Reappraisal Of Earnings Quality Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their average 12 month price target for Next 15 Group to £5.10, citing updated assumptions around a higher discount rate, a slightly larger forecast revenue decline, modestly stronger profit margins, and a small adjustment to future P/E expectations. What's in the News Next 15 Group held an Analyst/Investor Day, giving the market an opportunity to hear directly from management about the business and the outlook assumptions that may feed into valuation models (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Mar 10
NFG: Higher Future P/E Assumptions Will Support Further Rerating
Analysts have adjusted their price target on Next 15 Group from £4.35 to £4.65, citing updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue trends, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Next 15 Group held an Analyst/Investor Day, giving the market a dedicated forum to hear management's latest views on the business and outlook (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Feb 23
NFG: Analyst Day Will Support Reappraisal Of Earnings Quality Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target for Next 15 Group up to £15.68 from £14.14, citing updated assumptions around a slightly lower discount rate, more conservative profit margins and revenue trends, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Next 15 Group held an Analyst/Investor Day, giving the market a dedicated forum to hear management's latest views, assumptions, and priorities for the business (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Feb 09
NFG: Analyst Day Insights Will Support Earnings Quality Reappraisal
Analysts have reduced their price target for Next 15 Group to £5.10 from £5.80, reflecting a lower fair value estimate based on updated assumptions for revenue, profit margins and a slightly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Next 15 Group held an Analyst/Investor Day, giving the market a fresh look at management's priorities and medium term focus areas (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Jan 25
NFG: Higher Margin Outlook And Lower P/E Will Support Future Rerating
Analysts have maintained their price target for Next 15 Group at £4.35, citing updated assumptions around a slightly higher discount rate, a small change in expected revenue contraction, firmer profit margin expectations at 12.13%, and a modestly lower future P/E of 11.01x. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Price target held steady at £4.35, with no change in the central valuation outcome.Narrative Update • Jan 11
NFG: Higher Profit Margin Assumptions May Support Future Bullish Rerating
Analysts have lowered their price targets on Next 15 Group slightly, reflecting marginally softer revenue expectations, a modestly higher discount rate, and only a minor adjustment to the forward P/E used in their models, while still maintaining a broadly similar view of fair value in £ terms. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Analyst fair value estimate remains unchanged at £4.35, indicating no material shift in their central valuation outcome.Narrative Update • Dec 15
NFG: Higher Future Earnings Multiple May Drive Bullish Rerating Ahead
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Next 15 Group, lifting fair value by about £1.06 per share as they factor in a slightly lower discount rate and higher future earnings multiple despite marginally weaker projected growth and margins. Valuation Changes Fair Value: increased from £3.29 to £4.35 per share, reflecting a modest upward revision in intrinsic value estimates.Analysis Article • Nov 24
What You Can Learn From Next 15 Group plc's (LON:NFG) P/E After Its 26% Share Price Crash
Next 15 Group plc ( LON:NFG ) shares have retraced a considerable 26% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of...Analysis Article • Nov 10
Is Next 15 Group (LON:NFG) A Risky Investment?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analysis Article • Oct 03
After Leaping 29% Next 15 Group plc (LON:NFG) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar
The Next 15 Group plc ( LON:NFG ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 29...Analysis Article • Jul 27
Next 15 Group plc (LON:NFG) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 26%
Next 15 Group plc ( LON:NFG ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting...Analysis Article • Jul 25
Here's Why Next 15 Group (LON:NFG) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • May 16
Next 15 Group plc (LON:NFG) Shares Fly 25% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth
Next 15 Group plc ( LON:NFG ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 25% in the last...Analysis Article • Apr 22
There May Be Some Bright Spots In Next 15 Group's (LON:NFG) Earnings
Next 15 Group plc's ( LON:NFG ) earnings announcement last week didn't impress shareholders. Despite the soft profit...
New Narrative • Feb 13
Expansion Into US And AI Integration May Improve Operations, But Net Debt And Tech Challenges Could Affect Profitability
Strategic AI integration and restructuring efforts are set to enhance margins and generate cost savings, boosting profitability.Analysis Article • Sep 07
Should You Think About Buying Next 15 Group plc (LON:NFG) Now?
While Next 15 Group plc ( LON:NFG ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant share price...Analysis Article • Sep 07
With A 47% Price Drop For Next 15 Group plc (LON:NFG) You'll Still Get What You Pay For
The Next 15 Group plc ( LON:NFG ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 47...Analysis Article • Jul 12
Here's Why We Think Next 15 Group (LON:NFG) Is Well Worth Watching
It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...Analysis Article • Jun 19
Next 15 Group (LON:NFG) Is Increasing Its Dividend To £0.106
Next 15 Group plc ( LON:NFG ) will increase its dividend on the 9th of August to £0.106, which is 5.0% higher than last...Analysis Article • Jun 12
Is Next 15 Group (LON:NFG) Using Too Much Debt?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's...Analysis Article • May 25
Next 15 Group plc's (LON:NFG) Business Is Trailing The Industry But Its Shares Aren't
With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1.4x in the Media industry in the United Kingdom, you could...Analysis Article • May 03
Next 15 Group's (LON:NFG) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's
The board of Next 15 Group plc ( LON:NFG ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend by 5.0% on the 9th of...Analysis Article • Apr 25
Next 15 Group's (LON:NFG) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem
Investors were disappointed with Next 15 Group plc's ( LON:NFG ) earnings, despite the strong profit numbers. We think...Analysis Article • Apr 19
Next 15 Group's (LON:NFG) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year
Next 15 Group plc ( LON:NFG ) will increase its dividend on the 9th of August to £0.106, which is 5.0% higher than last...Analysis Article • Jan 25
Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Next 15 Group plc (LON:NFG)?
Next 15 Group plc ( LON:NFG ), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial...Analysis Article • Nov 21
Next 15 Group (LON:NFG) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analysis Article • Jun 07
Next 15 Group (LON:NFG) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • Mar 01
Are Investors Undervaluing Next Fifteen Communications Group plc (LON:NFC) By 34%?
Key Insights The projected fair value for Next Fifteen Communications Group is UK£15.81 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow...Analysis Article • Jan 13
Should You Investigate Next Fifteen Communications Group plc (LON:NFC) At UK£10.82?
Next Fifteen Communications Group plc ( LON:NFC ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a significant share...Analysis Article • Dec 08
Next Fifteen Communications Group (LON:NFC) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • Oct 23
Next Fifteen Communications Group's (LON:NFC) Dividend Will Be Increased To £0.045
Next Fifteen Communications Group plc ( LON:NFC ) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the...Analysis Article • Sep 29
Next Fifteen Communications Group (LON:NFC) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year
Next Fifteen Communications Group plc's ( LON:NFC ) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same...Analysis Article • Jul 21
Next Fifteen Communications Group (LON:NFC) Could Easily Take On More Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • May 22
Next Fifteen Communications Group's (LON:NFC) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year
Next Fifteen Communications Group plc's ( LON:NFC ) dividend will be increasing to UK£0.084 on 12th of August. Despite...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/31/2029 | 479 | 34 | 52 | 71 | 5 |
| 1/31/2028 | 459 | 30 | 50 | 66 | 5 |
| 1/31/2027 | 443 | 4 | 21 | 44 | 5 |
| 1/31/2026 | 617 | -15 | 42 | 51 | N/A |
| 7/31/2025 | 690 | 16 | 69 | 77 | N/A |
| 4/30/2025 | 710 | 28 | 69 | 76 | N/A |
| 1/31/2025 | 639 | 21 | 68 | 75 | N/A |
| 10/31/2024 | 732 | 50 | 67 | 74 | N/A |
| 7/31/2024 | 734 | 61 | 66 | 73 | N/A |
| 4/30/2024 | 734 | 57 | 69 | 76 | N/A |
| 1/31/2024 | 735 | 53 | 72 | 80 | N/A |
| 10/31/2023 | 739 | 40 | 74 | 81 | N/A |
| 7/31/2023 | 744 | 26 | 75 | 82 | N/A |
| 4/30/2023 | 732 | 14 | 72 | 78 | N/A |
| 1/31/2023 | 721 | 2 | 68 | 75 | N/A |
| 10/31/2022 | 662 | -38 | 57 | 63 | N/A |
| 7/31/2022 | 603 | -77 | 45 | 52 | N/A |
| 4/30/2022 | 536 | -73 | 57 | 63 | N/A |
| 1/31/2022 | 470 | -69 | 69 | 75 | N/A |
| 10/31/2021 | 425 | -37 | 62 | 67 | N/A |
| 7/31/2021 | 379 | -4 | 55 | 60 | N/A |
| 4/30/2021 | 351 | -5 | 58 | 62 | N/A |
| 1/31/2021 | 324 | -5 | 60 | 65 | N/A |
| 10/31/2020 | 316 | -4 | 56 | 60 | N/A |
| 7/31/2020 | 309 | -2 | 51 | 56 | N/A |
| 4/30/2020 | 305 | 0 | 45 | 50 | N/A |
| 1/31/2020 | 301 | 2 | 38 | 44 | N/A |
| 10/31/2019 | 295 | 5 | N/A | 44 | N/A |
| 7/31/2019 | 290 | 7 | N/A | 44 | N/A |
| 4/30/2019 | 281 | 11 | N/A | 38 | N/A |
| 1/31/2019 | 272 | 14 | N/A | 32 | N/A |
| 10/31/2018 | 263 | 13 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7/31/2018 | 253 | 13 | N/A | 28 | N/A |
| 4/30/2018 | 244 | 11 | N/A | 26 | N/A |
| 1/31/2018 | 234 | 9 | N/A | 25 | N/A |
| 10/31/2017 | 216 | 5 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7/31/2017 | 199 | 2 | N/A | 20 | N/A |
| 4/30/2017 | 185 | 2 | N/A | 26 | N/A |
| 1/31/2017 | 171 | 1 | N/A | 31 | N/A |
| 10/31/2016 | 160 | 2 | N/A | 26 | N/A |
| 7/31/2016 | 148 | 4 | N/A | 21 | N/A |
| 4/30/2016 | 139 | 4 | N/A | 17 | N/A |
| 1/31/2016 | 130 | 4 | N/A | 13 | N/A |
| 7/31/2015 | 115 | 8 | N/A | 8 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: NFG is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.4%).
Earnings vs Market: NFG is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: NFG is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: NFG's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-8% per year).
High Growth Revenue: NFG's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-8% per year).
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: NFG's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (20.3%)
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/03 20:25 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/03 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/01/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/01/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Next 15 Group plc is covered by 9 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| William Larwood | Berenberg |
| Iain Daly | Canaccord Genuity |
| Caspar James Erskine | CGS International |