Stock Analysis

Next Fifteen Communications Group's (LON:NFC) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

AIM:NFG
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Next Fifteen Communications Group plc's (LON:NFC) dividend will be increasing to UK£0.084 on 12th of August. Despite this raise, the dividend yield of 0.9% is only a modest boost to shareholder returns.

Check out our latest analysis for Next Fifteen Communications Group

Next Fifteen Communications Group's Distributions May Be Difficult To Sustain

If it is predictable over a long period, even low dividend yields can be attractive. Even though Next Fifteen Communications Group isn't generating a profit, it is generating healthy free cash flows that easily cover the dividend. We generally think that cash flow is more important than accounting measures of profit, so we are fairly comfortable with the dividend at this level.

Looking forward, earnings per share could 69.8% over the next year if the trend of the last few years can't be broken. While this means that the company will be unprofitable, we generally believe cash flows are more important, and the current cash payout ratio is quite healthy, which gives us comfort.

historic-dividend
AIM:NFC Historic Dividend May 22nd 2022

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. Since 2012, the first annual payment was UK£0.021, compared to the most recent full-year payment of UK£0.17. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 23% over that duration. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Over the past five years, it looks as though Next Fifteen Communications Group's EPS has declined at around 70% a year. Such rapid declines definitely have the potential to constrain dividend payments if the trend continues into the future.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Next Fifteen Communications Group's payments are rock solid. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Next Fifteen Communications Group that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Is Next Fifteen Communications Group not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Next 15 Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About AIM:NFG

Next 15 Group

Provides communications services in the United Kingdom, Europe, Africa, the United States, and the Asia Pacific.

Very undervalued with solid track record and pays a dividend.

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