Stock Analysis

Next Fifteen Communications Group (LON:NFC) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

AIM:NFG
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Next Fifteen Communications Group plc's (LON:NFC) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to £0.045 on 25th of November. Despite this raise, the dividend yield of 2.1% is only a modest boost to shareholder returns.

View our latest analysis for Next Fifteen Communications Group

Next Fifteen Communications Group's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

While yield is important, another factor to consider about a company's dividend is whether the current payout levels are feasible. While Next Fifteen Communications Group is not profitable, it is paying out less than 75% of its free cash flow, which means that there is plenty left over for reinvestment into the business. This gives us some comfort about the level of the dividend payments.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise exponentially over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio will be 9.5%, which makes us pretty comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

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AIM:NFC Historic Dividend September 29th 2022

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was £0.0205 in 2012, and the most recent fiscal year payment was £0.168. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 23% over that duration. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Next Fifteen Communications Group's EPS has fallen by approximately 81% per year during the past five years. Such rapid declines definitely have the potential to constrain dividend payments if the trend continues into the future. Over the next year, however, earnings are actually predicted to rise, but we would still be cautious until a track record of earnings growth can be built.

Next Fifteen Communications Group's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Next Fifteen Communications Group will make a great income stock. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For instance, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Next Fifteen Communications Group that investors should take into consideration. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.