GFL Environmental (GFL) Stock Overview
Provides non-hazardous solid waste management services in Canada and the United States. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 2/6 |
| Future Growth | 3/6 |
| Past Performance | 2/6 |
| Financial Health | 1/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
GFL Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
GFL Environmental Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | CA$49.51 |
| 52 Week High | CA$71.13 |
| 52 Week Low | CA$46.12 |
| Beta | 0.50 |
| 1 Month Change | -0.20% |
| 3 Month Change | -18.26% |
| 1 Year Change | -27.28% |
| 3 Year Change | -0.36% |
| 5 Year Change | 23.47% |
| Change since IPO | 121.03% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Jun 05
GFL: Acquisitions And RNG Projects Will Support Steady Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have maintained their CA$55.00 price target on GFL Environmental, citing only minor adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin assumptions, and future P/E forecasts that leave their overall valuation view broadly unchanged. What's in the News RWT Capital completed the sale of Alberta based H2Oil Energy to GFL Environmental Services, expanding GFL Environmental's footprint in Western Canada and giving H2Oil customers access to one of the largest environmental and waste management companies in North America (source: RWT Capital Corp).Narrative Update • May 22
GFL: Buybacks And Dividend Increase Will Support Steady Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for GFL Environmental from CA$60.00 to CA$55.00, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E levels. What's in the News GFL updated its full year 2026 earnings guidance to reflect acquisitions completed through April 1, 2026.
Narrative Update • May 04
GFL: Dividend Growth And Large Buyback Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their 12 month price target for GFL Environmental by CA$1 to CA$70.73, reflecting updated assumptions around slightly higher expected revenue growth, a lower profit margin, a higher discount rate, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News GFL updated its full year 2026 earnings guidance to reflect acquisitions completed through April 1, 2026.Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 05
GFL: Acquisitions And RNG Projects Will Support Steady Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have maintained their CA$55.00 price target on GFL Environmental, citing only minor adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin assumptions, and future P/E forecasts that leave their overall valuation view broadly unchanged. What's in the News RWT Capital completed the sale of Alberta based H2Oil Energy to GFL Environmental Services, expanding GFL Environmental's footprint in Western Canada and giving H2Oil customers access to one of the largest environmental and waste management companies in North America (source: RWT Capital Corp).Narrative Update • May 22
GFL: Buybacks And Dividend Increase Will Support Steady Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for GFL Environmental from CA$60.00 to CA$55.00, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E levels. What's in the News GFL updated its full year 2026 earnings guidance to reflect acquisitions completed through April 1, 2026.Narrative Update • May 04
GFL: Dividend Growth And Large Buyback Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their 12 month price target for GFL Environmental by CA$1 to CA$70.73, reflecting updated assumptions around slightly higher expected revenue growth, a lower profit margin, a higher discount rate, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News GFL updated its full year 2026 earnings guidance to reflect acquisitions completed through April 1, 2026.
Narrative Update • Apr 20
GFL: Share Repurchases And Dividend Aristocrat Status Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price target on GFL Environmental by CA$1 to CA$86, citing updated assumptions around slightly higher revenue growth, a lower profit margin profile, and a higher future P/E multiple in their models. What's in the News Reports indicate GFL Environmental is nearing a deal to acquire SECURE Waste Infrastructure Corp.Narrative Update • Apr 06
GFL: Dividends And Buybacks Will Support Steady Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have made only minor adjustments to their view on GFL Environmental, keeping the fair value price target steady at CA$60.00. Small changes in discount rate, revenue growth and profit margin assumptions offset one another, alongside a slightly lower future P/E input.Narrative Update • Mar 22
GFL: Share Repurchases And Profit Outlook Will Support Fair Value View
Analysts have adjusted their price target on GFL Environmental to CA$60.00, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a revised future P/E estimate as key drivers of the change. What's in the News The Board of Directors authorized a new share buyback plan on February 27, 2026, signaling continued use of repurchases as a capital management tool (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Mar 08
GFL: Share Repurchases And Dividend Aristocrat Status Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for GFL Environmental from CA$89.00 to CA$87.00 as they balance a higher discount rate and lower profit margin assumptions against stronger projected revenue growth and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News GFL Environmental announced a normal course issuer bid to repurchase up to 34,657,586 subordinate voting shares, equal to 10% of its 346,575,862 issued and outstanding subordinate voting shares, with the bid set to expire on March 2, 2027 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Feb 22
GFL: Dividend Aristocrat Status And Buybacks Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on GFL Environmental to CA$71.73 from CA$75.30, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News GFL Environmental issued earnings guidance for 2026, with revenue estimated at approximately $7,000m, or $7,140m on a constant currency basis, and the guidance description references an 8% change (Corporate guidance).Narrative Update • Feb 07
GFL: Fair View Will Balance Dividend Index Inclusion And Equity Offering
Analysts have maintained their price target for GFL Environmental at $60.00. The update primarily reflects refreshed assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E rather than a change in their headline valuation view.Narrative Update • Jan 24
GFL: Fair Value View Will Balance Share Offering And Margin Reset
Analysts now place their fair value estimate for GFL Environmental at $60.00, up from $58.00, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and a much higher forward P/E multiple in their models. What's in the News GFL Environmental filed a follow on equity offering of 16,611,295 Subordinate Voting Shares, classified as common stock.Narrative Update • Jan 07
GFL: Future M&A Pipeline Will Support Upside From Recent Equity Raise
Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for GFL Environmental to about $75.30 from $75.53, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News GFL Environmental completed a follow on equity offering of 16,611,295 Subordinate Voting Shares at $45.15 per share, with a discount of $0.22 per share, raising about $750m in gross proceeds (Follow on Equity Offering).Analysis Article • Nov 12
GFL Environmental Inc. Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
GFL Environmental Inc. ( TSE:GFL ) last week reported its latest quarterly results, which makes it a good time for...Narrative Update • Nov 01
GFL: Index Addition And Infrastructure Deal Will Support Margin Expansion
Analysts have revised their price target for GFL Environmental to $75.53. They are maintaining stability in their outlook while noting improvements in profit margin forecasts, despite slightly lower revenue growth expectations.Analysis Article • Oct 28
We Think GFL Environmental (TSE:GFL) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Narrative Update • Oct 17
Investments In Sustainability And M&A Will Drive Future Margin Expansion
Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for GFL Environmental, lowering it by $0.25 as they weigh a marginally higher discount rate and improved profit margin, while also considering weaker revenue growth expectations and a decrease in the projected future price-to-earnings ratio. What's in the News GFL Environmental Inc.Narrative Update • Oct 03
Investments In Sustainability And M&A Will Drive Future Margin Expansion
Analysts have raised their price target for GFL Environmental from $71.93 to $75.78. They cite improved revenue growth prospects and minor shifts in profit expectations as the reasons for this change.Analysis Article • Sep 13
At CA$65.31, Is It Time To Put GFL Environmental Inc. (TSE:GFL) On Your Watch List?
Today we're going to take a look at the well-established GFL Environmental Inc. ( TSE:GFL ). The company's stock saw...Analysis Article • Aug 08
There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of GFL Environmental's (TSE:GFL) Earnings
TSX:GFL 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore GFL Environmental's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...Analysis Article • Jul 23
Revenues Not Telling The Story For GFL Environmental Inc. (TSE:GFL)
When close to half the companies in the Commercial Services industry in Canada have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S...Analysis Article • Jul 07
Is GFL Environmental (TSE:GFL) A Risky Investment?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • Jun 22
GFL Environmental Inc. (TSE:GFL) Shares Could Be 25% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Key Insights The projected fair value for GFL Environmental is CA$91.30 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...Shareholder Returns
| GFL | CA Commercial Services | CA Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 7.0% | 1.2% | -1.2% |
| 1Y | -27.3% | -18.4% | 31.4% |
Return vs Industry: GFL underperformed the Canadian Commercial Services industry which returned -17.3% over the past year.
Return vs Market: GFL underperformed the Canadian Market which returned 33.9% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| GFL volatility | |
|---|---|
| GFL Average Weekly Movement | 4.9% |
| Commercial Services Industry Average Movement | 8.0% |
| Market Average Movement | 10.1% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in CA Market | 17.6% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in CA Market | 3.8% |
Stable Share Price: GFL has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Canadian market.
Volatility Over Time: GFL's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | 15,000 | Patrick Dovigi | gflenv.com |
GFL Environmental Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste management services in Canada and the United States. It offers solid waste management services, including collection, transportation, transfer, recycling, and disposal services for municipal, residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Miami Beach, Florida.
GFL Environmental Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| GFL fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | CA$17.98b |
| Earnings (TTM) | CA$210.60m |
| Revenue (TTM) | CA$6.70b |
84.9x
P/E Ratio2.7x
P/S RatioIs GFL overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| GFL income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | CA$6.70b |
| Cost of Revenue | CA$5.31b |
| Gross Profit | CA$1.39b |
| Other Expenses | CA$1.18b |
| Earnings | CA$210.60m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 0.58 |
| Gross Margin | 20.71% |
| Net Profit Margin | 3.14% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 125.6% |
How did GFL perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
0.2%
Current Dividend Yield14%
Payout RatioCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/05 10:57 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/05 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
GFL Environmental Inc. is covered by 26 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Christopher Murray | ATB Cormark |
| William Grippin | Barclays |
| Moses Sutton | Barclays |