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Weekly Picks
Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
30.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
13
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
36
users have followed this narrative
Updated
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Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
11
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
38
users have followed this narrative
New
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Key Assumptions: Successful Guyana and South America Deposits: ExxonMobil’s Stabroek Block in Guyana is assumed to achieve full operational success, contributing significantly to production growth. The block is estimated to hold over 11 billion barrels of recoverable oil, with production scaling rapidly.
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US$189.00
FV
40.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
5
users have followed this narrative
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AT&T
GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
Stabilization And Incremental Progress Will Unlock Value
Key Takeaways AT&T is emerging from an unstable phase with questionable performance and a large debt burden. Sentiment will pick up as the company demonstrates fundamental improvements and recapitalizes its structure.
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US$32.12
FV
14.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
2.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
12
users have followed this narrative
about 1 year ago
author updated this narrative
Tesla
FI
FineAnts
Community Contributor
Navigating the Future: Analysis of Tesla's Growth and Challenges
Catalysts FSD (Supervised): This is Tesla's Full Self-Driving technology. As it progresses towards full autonomy, consider the potential for mass adoption and its impact on Tesla's brand and sales.
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US$332.98
FV
3.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
40.05%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
7
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
19
users have followed this narrative
about 1 year ago
author updated this narrative
Caterpillar
JU
julio
Community Contributor
cat valuation
Bullsu Increased infrastructure spending in the US and emerging markets will lead to more construction equipment purchases, substantially boosting Caterpillar's sales growth. Higher fixed-asset investment growth in China strengthens support for increased investment in mining capital expenditures, benefiting Caterpillar.
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US$332.91
FV
29.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
3.14%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
about 1 year ago
author updated this narrative
TIER 1 Technology
A_
A_Stricek
Community Contributor
Tier 1 doing a great job, but external factors slow it down.
· The company's stock value has declined this week due to economic and political circumstances in Spain and Europe, particularly with the potential exit of France from the Euro. However, the company's strong fundamentals suggest it will continue on an upward trend, albeit at a slower pace.
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€2.28
FV
31.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
about 1 year ago
author updated this narrative
e.l.f. Beauty
WA
WallStreetWontons
Community Contributor
ELF: Popular beauty brand among younger demographics has great growth and profitability
Catalysts e.l.f. Beauty has experienced tremendous growth in recent years, and several key catalysts have contributed to this success. Here are some of the most significant factors driving the company's expansion: Strong Brand Positioning and Product Innovation: e.l.f. Beauty has established itself as a leading brand in the masstige beauty category, offering high-quality products at affordable prices.
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US$251.03
FV
52.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
16.16%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
13
users have followed this narrative
about 1 year ago
author updated this narrative
Fiverr International
WA
WallStreetWontons
Community Contributor
Fiverr: Freelancing faces slowing growth despite steps taken into AI
Catalysts Products or Services Impacting Sales and Earnings : Fiverr’s first-quarter 2024 results are expected to show year-over-year revenue growth of 4-6%. Here are some factors contributing to this growth: Complex Services : Fiverr’s expansion into more complex services, such as mobile app development, e-commerce management, and financial consulting, likely boosted profitability during Q1 2024.
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US$21.45
FV
16.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
8.03%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
about 1 year ago
author updated this narrative
Caterpillar
WA
WallStreetWontons
Community Contributor
Increased Infrastructure projects will continue, but not rapidly with current geopolitical and cyclical challenges
Catalysts Infrastructure Investment : Governments and private sectors worldwide are increasingly investing in infrastructure projects. CAT’s construction equipment, machinery, and services play a vital role in building roads, bridges, airports, and other critical infrastructure.
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US$359.84
FV
19.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
5.03%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
about 1 year ago
author updated this narrative
Hims & Hers Health
WA
WallStreetWontons
Community Contributor
Hims & Hers are taking grip on Telemedicine
Catalysts Financial Performance : In 2023 , Hims & Hers reported impressive financial results: Revenue : Reached $872.0 million , reflecting a 65% year-over-year increase. Net Income : Achieved $1.2 million in Q4 2023.
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US$17.15
FV
251.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
100.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
19
users have followed this narrative
about 1 year ago
author updated this narrative
General Mills
WA
WallStreetWontons
Community Contributor
A Top Consumer Staples Compounder and at a Fair Price and Dividend Yield
Catalysts: Stable Demand for Packaged Foods : General Mills operates in the consumer foods sector, which has seen consistent demand for packaged foods. The company’s diverse product portfolio, including ready-to-eat cereals, snacks, and baking mixes, positions it well to benefit from this trend.
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US$73.07
FV
31.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
2.27%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
5
users have followed this narrative
about 1 year ago
author updated this narrative
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