Global Community
Our community narratives are driven by numbers and valuation.
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Global Weekly Picks
Decent Revenue Growth Won't Stop Valuation Multiple Re-rating Lower
Key Takeaways Tesla’s auto market share will grow but less than investors expect The semi will contribute $17.5B if its value proposition matches that of ICE trucks Energy revenues will reach $16.7B in 2028 as industry tailwinds support continued growth If FSD wins, it’s at risk of being shared by government safety mandates PE will re-rate lower in long term to be similar to current auto peers Business has great growth prospects, but even they don’t justify current price Catalysts Tesla’s TAM and Market Share Has Limitations In the last 4 quarters ending Q2’23, Tesla has delivered 1,638,123 vehicles. Approximately 46.8% of total sales are made in the U.S. and we can use this as a basis to estimate the number of vehicles sold in the U.S., which comes out to 766,478.Read more
Tier 1 doing a great job, but external factors slow it down.
· The company's stock value has declined this week due to economic and political circumstances in Spain and Europe, particularly with the potential exit of France from the Euro. However, the company's strong fundamentals suggest it will continue on an upward trend, albeit at a slower pace.Read more
Cost Cutting, Debt Reduction Efforts and New Partnerships Might Improve Investor Sentiment
Key Takeaways The end of ACP will lead to a short-term revenue decline. Predictive AI is providing more valuable customer service experiences.Read more
WNS's Margins Improve w/ Automation and Outcome-Based Pricing
Meaning WNS began operations as an internal-service unit within British Airways in 1996. After separating from British Airways in 2002, WNS began to operate as a Business Process Outsourcing (BPO) company servicing several clients including insurance companies, British Airways, and a few other diversified companies.Read more
Buybacks, Cash Flow, and Growth Potential Amidst Rate Cuts
PayPal exhibits a robust financial position with a substantial cash reserve and consistent profitability. The company's strong balance sheet enables investments in growth initiatives, irrespective of the prevailing economic conditions.Read more
Bullish sentiment - Exceptional industry growth and firm overperformed its peers
https://www.linkedin.com/in/abidilahi03/ The recent rise in stock value seems to exclusively be investor sentiment and outlook. Excluding the attractive 0% Debt-to-Equity ratio of ERC and earnings report it is to note that ERC has outperformed its industry.Read more
MOH: Expanding Government Contracts in Medicare Makes for Moderate Growth But with Certain Risks such as Medicaid rediterminations
Catalysts Membership Growth : MOH has seen a 9% increase in members year over year, reaching approximately 5.7 million members as of March 31, 2024. This growth is driven by new contract wins, acquisitions, and expansion.Read more
Walmart’s Margin Expansion and Emerging Market Growth Can Deliver Strong Returns
Key Takeaways Walmart is an industry leader deeply entrenched in the lives of millions of customers. Using modern solutions like AI, Walmart can magnify these economies of scale advantages.Read more
Industry Tailwinds, Company Headwinds And New Products Will Lead To Stable Revenue Growth
Key Takeaways I expect JNJ to remain an established and mature market performer in a relatively stable sector. Some short-term company-related headwinds are cancelled out by long-term industry-related tailwinds Two main risks come from the talc-related litigation issue and patent expiration Most promising revenue growth opportunities are from cancer therapy drugs, with a TAM of $21.6b.Read more
