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Bullish sentiment - Exceptional industry growth and firm overperformed its peers

AB
AbidIlahiInvested
Community Contributor

Published

October 15 2024

Updated

October 30 2024

Narratives are currently in beta

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The recent rise in stock value seems to exclusively be investor sentiment and outlook. Excluding the attractive 0% Debt-to-Equity ratio of ERC and earnings report it is to note that ERC has outperformed its industry. and with the UAE beverage market reaching a consumption volume of 2.04 billion liters in Q1 2024 (Global Data, 2024) the overall positive outlook is justified.

Current Financial Metrics

  • Current Share Price: 3.41AED
  • Earnings Per Share (EPS): 0.72AED
  • Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: Approximately 49.99(companiesmarketcap, 2024) (Simply Wall St, 2024)

Valuation Insights

  • Price-to-Sales (P/S) Ratio: The P/S ratio is about 14.1, which is considered high compared to many of its industry peers, indicating that investors expect strong revenue growth from ERC (simplywallst, 2024)
  • Market Capitalization: Approximately 1.09AED billion, reflecting the company's overall market value

Fair Value Assessment

  • Given the high P/E and P/S ratios, the stock may be viewed as overvalued unless the company continues to demonstrate strong revenue growth and profitability.

In summary, while the current share price reflects strong investor expectations, the high P/E and P/S ratios suggest that ERC's fair value may be subject to scrutiny, depending on its future earnings performance and market conditions.

the valuation conclude that maybe ERC is overvalued given these high metrics — which is about as decisive as saying, “Water is wet.”

References

companiesmarketcap (2024). Emirates Reem Investments Company (ERC.AE) - P/E ratio. [online] Companiesmarketcap.com. Available at: https://companiesmarketcap.com/eur/emirates-reem-investments-company/pe-ratio/ [Accessed 15 Oct. 2024].

Global Data (2024). United Arab Emirates (UAE) Beverages Consumption Trends and Forecasts Tracker, Q4 2022 (Dairy and Soy Drinks, Alcoholic Drinks, Soft Drinks and Hot Drinks). [online] Market Research Reports & Consulting | GlobalData UK Ltd. Available at: https://www.globaldata.com/store/report/uae-beverages-consumption-market-analysis/.

Simply Wall St (2024). Emirates Reem Investments Company P.J.S.C (DFM:ERC) - Stock Price, News & Analysis - Simply Wall St. [online] Simply Wall St. Available at: https://simplywall.st/stocks/ae/food-beverage-tobacco/dfm-erc/emirates-reem-investments-company-pjsc-shares [Accessed 15 Oct. 2024].

simplywallst (2024). Emirates Reem Investments Company P.J.S.C’s (DFM:ERC) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 39% Share Price Bounce. [online] Simplywall.st. Available at: https://simplywall.st/news/article/emirates-reem-investments-company-pjscs-dfmerc-ps-is-still-o?flag_hash=true [Accessed 15 Oct. 2024].

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Disclaimer

The user AbidIlahi has a position in DFM:ERC. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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Fair Value
د.إ2.2
35.8% overvalued intrinsic discount
AbidIlahi's Fair Value
Future estimation in
PastFuture020m40m60m80m2013201620192022202420252027Revenue د.إ82.2mEarnings د.إ3.8m
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Current revenue growth rate
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Beverage revenue growth rate
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