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Weekly Picks
Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings — the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes — including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B — now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling — a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$268.43
FV
27.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
6
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
17
users have followed this narrative
21 days ago
author updated this narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
43.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
6
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
17
users have followed this narrative
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Key Assumptions: Successful Guyana and South America Deposits: ExxonMobil’s Stabroek Block in Guyana is assumed to achieve full operational success, contributing significantly to production growth. The block is estimated to hold over 11 billion barrels of recoverable oil, with production scaling rapidly.
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US$189.00
FV
41.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
users have followed this narrative
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Duolingo
WA
waqifalam
Community Contributor
Good growth potential under bullish market conditions
Catalysts Duolingo Max, featuring AI-enabled features, somewhat positively adopted. Steady growth continue in current market conditions.
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US$306.52
FV
11.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
24.41%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
10 months ago
author updated this narrative
Coursera
JP
jproschinger
Community Contributor
Online education for the curious ones who seek knowledge
Education is broken. Public schools have become battlegrounds that serve the lowest common denominator.
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US$9.77
FV
28.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
14.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
10 months ago
author updated this narrative
Coca-Cola
US
User
Community Contributor
Iconic Coke is a bit overpriced and needs to appeal to people trying to get healthy
I think it is a great stock with an invaluable brand, but I am skeptical that it will do well in the next few years. Coke is fighting all the weight loss peptides developed by Lilly and Novo Nordisk.
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US$60.00
FV
13.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
2.06%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
users have followed this narrative
10 months ago
author updated this narrative
Coca-Cola Consolidated
WA
WallStreetWontons
Community Contributor
COKE: Exclusive Brand Moat with Well-Established Distribution Networks
Catalysts Products or Services Impacting Sales or Earnings Coca-Cola Consolidated (COKE) primarily distributes and markets nonalcoholic beverages, including products from The Coca-Cola Company, Keurig Dr Pepper, and Monster Energy. Key products that could significantly impact sales or earnings include: Sparkling Beverages : Coca-Cola, Diet Coke, Sprite, and Fanta.
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US$1.57k
FV
92.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
14
users have followed this narrative
10 months ago
author updated this narrative
Walmart
ST
StjepanK
Equity Analyst and Writer
Walmart’s Margin Expansion and Emerging Market Growth Can Deliver Strong Returns
Key Takeaways Walmart is an industry leader deeply entrenched in the lives of millions of customers. Using modern solutions like AI, Walmart can magnify these economies of scale advantages.
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US$74.67
FV
30.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.50%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
8
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
12
users have followed this narrative
10 months ago
author updated this narrative
Spotify Technology
RI
Richard_Bowman
Equity Analyst and Writer
Ad Revenue and Margin Improvement Will Lead to Stronger Cash Flows
Key Takeaways Premium revenue to be kept in check by competition and market saturation. Gross margin will improve, but remain below 30%.
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US$222.00
FV
215.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
17.45%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
7
users have followed this narrative
10 months ago
author updated this narrative
CrowdStrike Holdings
GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
Long Tail Optionality In Cybercrime Will Benefit CrowdStrike And Deliver Revenue Growth
Key Takeaways Efficient software, accelerated computing, and AI, will benefit a growing cybercrime industry State actors are getting more involved in digital warfare which may be a weak point of the West Successful data breaches and cybercrime work in favor of spreading awareness for cybersecurity spending CrowdStrike’s move towards an all-in-one solution addresses the complexity pain-point of customers Catalysts Cybersecurity Threats Are Entering A New Era Cybercrime is the other side of the coin of technological development and is expected to keep advancing at an unknown pace in the future, this makes companies like CrowdStrike well-positioned to help. They predict attackers will continue to target large companies "Big Game Hunting", internet-connected devices (edge devices) and end-of-life products (EOL).
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US$113.04
FV
317.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
4
users have followed this narrative
10 months ago
author updated this narrative
Uber Technologies
WA
WallStreetWontons
Community Contributor
UBER: Expanding Autonomous Ride-Hailing with Waymo
Catalysts Products and Services Impacting Uber’s Sales and Earnings Uber has several key products and services that could significantly impact its sales and earnings: Ride-Hailing Services : This remains Uber’s core revenue generator. The company continues to innovate and expand its ride-hailing services globally.
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US$72.92
FV
24.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
13.05%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
22
users have followed this narrative
10 months ago
author updated this narrative
Visa
RI
Richard_Bowman
Equity Analyst and Writer
Inflation, New Initiatives and Scale Will Grow EPS
Key Takeaways Visa is a very high-quality business with an enviable market share and margins. New initiatives like Visa Direct will offset the loss of momentum from legacy growth drivers EPS growth will be driven by ‘higher for longer’ inflation, slightly wider margins, and buybacks.
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US$284.00
FV
25.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
11.50%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
16
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
13
users have followed this narrative
10 months ago
author updated this narrative
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