Global Community

Tillväxten i flottan sjunker, tillväxten i handeln stiger Q4-siffrorna var bättre än väntat tack vare lägre kostnader. Vi anser att utsikterna för LPG-handeln är starka med en förväntad handelstillväxt på 5,5 procent per år under 2025-26 (genomsnitt 2014-24: 7 procent per år), stärkt av export-tillväxten i USA och Mellanöstern.Read more

Catalysts Most Immediate Catalyst (1–2 Years): AI Integration & Monetization: Google is aggressively integrating AI across its products (Search, Ads, Cloud, YouTube). If AI-powered search increases engagement and advertising efficiency, it could drive significant revenue per search improvements.Read more

Catalysts Most Immediate Catalyst (1–2 Years): Automation & Robotics Demand Surge: Companies are investing heavily in industrial automation to reduce labor costs, increase efficiency, and improve production quality. ABB’s Robotics & Discrete Automation segment benefits directly.Read more

Brookfield Corporation A diversified asset management “powerhouse” Brookfield Corporation focuses on long-term investments across multiple industries, making it a stable player in asset management. The company’s operations rely on managing assets on behalf of institutional investors, while also holding significant proprietary investments “Withdrawals and reinvestments” One key reason Brookfield often shows negative revenue growth or cash flow fluctuations is its strategic reinvestment approach: Brookfield regularly withdraws money to distribute dividends or reinvest in other projects, resulting in financial metrics (like revenue growth or net income) that can seem negative or inconsistent.Read more

Update 27th Jan 2025 My original narrative was primarily based on Aswath Damodaran's Nvidia narrative and valuation. The recent news from DeepSeek further supports this narrative.Read more

My main narrative for FRE: What former CEO Mark Schneider blow up to an inefficient giant, will now be cut down by actual CEO Michael Sen and trimmed on efficiency from formally 4 segments FMC (dialyses), Helios (private hospitals), Kabi(Generic & Infusions), Vamed (Projects & Digitalization) only 2 remain: Helios, Kabi, the other will be sold, and the intakes will help to restructure the financial situation under Mark Schneider the Spanish hospitals were acquired, this was a good deal: privat hospital runs well in Spain, because of their good reputation wealthy Latin Americans travel for medical treatments to Spain I focus also on: More equity than debt. Ratio is at 62% (debt/equity).Read more

<<< To see my other narratives, please scroll up and klick on Tokyo (next to my profile picture) >>> My main narrative for ANET: Young company (founded 2004, IPO 2014), disrupting CISCO in the High Speed Switch Market (for Datacenter, Cloud and AI) Very successful introduction of Fast Internet Switches for Brokerage (High Speed Trading) Internet Speed will continuously increase to meet “tactile internet” capabilities (control robots or vehicles over distance (through internet) with nearly no delay) Perfect fit of Arista HW and Arista SW, as known from Apple devices, leads to high customer satisfaction and customer binding I focus also on: More equity than debt. Ratio is at 0%.Read more

<<< To see my other narratives, please scroll up and klick on Tokyo (next to my profile picture) >>> My main narrative for CRWD: · When founder and CEO George Kurtz founded CRWD in 2011, Cybersecurtiy Software, was nothing new, but with several pain points for customers: reduced system performance, updates needed to be installed, for each problem you needed a different software, so you dealt with silos, … · So he build a fully cloud-based platform, named Falcon. It has a modular concept, and customer pays within an abo model only the contracted modules.Read more

Intrinsic Value per Share (DCF-based): Rs. 40.00 Current Market Price (CMP): Rs. 80.00 ⚠️ Overvaluation: CMP is 100% above intrinsic value! Key Concerns and Valuation Risks Overpriced Relative to Intrinsic Value Even under an optimistic growth scenario (10% FCF growth), the stock’s intrinsic value only reaches Rs. 57.Read more