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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
24
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
62
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
65
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
17
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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Opthea
ST
StockMan
Community Contributor
OPTHEA - Write-off
--- [Narrative update per Investor announcement 24-Mar-2025] --- The analysis below was written ahead of Opthea’s Phase 3 results. As stated, the thesis was highly dependent on trial success.
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AU$0.10
FV
500.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
11.06%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
17
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
26
users have followed this narrative
4 months ago
author updated this narrative
Nederman Holding
MA
Mandelman
Community Contributor
Nederman: Cautiously Overvalued Amid Modest Growth and Margin uncertainties
Catalysts Industry Tailwinds : Nederman is poised to benefit from increasing global awareness and regulatory demands for improved air quality. Industries are investing in advanced air filtration systems to enhance employee health and reduce heating costs by maintaining cleaner air environments.
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SEK 146.00
FV
15.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
6.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
7
users have followed this narrative
4 months ago
author updated this narrative
MRS Oil Nigeria
WA
WaneInvestmentHouse
Community Contributor
MRS Oil Nigeria Plc: A Challenging Transition
MRS Oil Nigeria Plc has projected a profit after tax of N2.93 billion for the second quarter of 2025, despite its impending delisting from the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX). The company's financial forecast reveals a mixed outlook, with concerns remaining about its ability to achieve its financial targets following its transition to the NASD Over-the-Counter (OTC) Securities Exchange.
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₦189.58
FV
21.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
10.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
5
users have followed this narrative
4 months ago
author updated this narrative
CSL
RA
Ramsee
Community Contributor
CSL is undervalued in High Tax Scenario
CSL Limited: Fair Value Assessment Amidst Evolving US Tariff Scenarios Executive Summary This report provides an assessment of the fair value of CSL Limited (CSL) under various potential United States (US) tariff scenarios. CSL, a global biotechnology leader with significant operations in plasma therapies (CSL Behring), influenza vaccines (CSL Seqirus), and iron/nephrology treatments (CSL Vifor), faces potential impacts from evolving US trade policies.
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AU$263.33
FV
0.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
6.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
3
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
43
users have followed this narrative
4 months ago
author updated this narrative
Sacyr
PA
Panayiotis
Community Contributor
Sacyr will boost its revenue with renewables and digital upgrades in the coming years
1. Perpetual Revenue Growth Rate (~2.5%) Rationale: Catalysts: New Services & Projects: Sacyr’s pipeline includes opportunities in renewables, sustainable infrastructure, and digital upgrades.
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€3.43
FV
2.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
2.50%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
5
users have followed this narrative
5 months ago
author updated this narrative
Advanced Micro Devices
NA
NateF
Community Contributor
Q3/4 Price Decline, 2025 Projections
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has demonstrated significant growth in the semiconductor industry, particularly in data centers, artificial intelligence (AI), and central processing units (CPUs). Analysts project continued expansion over the next 1-3 years, suggesting AMD could be a compelling investment opportunity.
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US$193.68
FV
11.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
18.84%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
23
users have followed this narrative
7 months ago
author updated this narrative
Olvi Oyj
SI
SIR
Community Contributor
Olvi Oyj: A Brewed Opportunity
The Brew: Olvi's success hinges on its ability to: Capitalize on the Finnish Market: As a leading player in Finland's mature beer market, Olvi benefits from strong brand loyalty and a well-established distribution network. Expand Internationally: Olvi's strategic acquisitions and partnerships have opened doors to new markets, particularly in Eastern Europe, where it has seen significant growth.
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€59.40
FV
44.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
4
users have followed this narrative
6 months ago
author updated this narrative
Star Entertainment Group
LE
LeoChivo
Community Contributor
SGR Turn around or take over?
Catalysts: The company will remediate their issues with the government and get their casino licence back, however, this is likely to take many years. An external player makes a take over offer that investors can't refuse.
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AU$0.26
FV
64.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
0.69%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
5
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
6
users have followed this narrative
10 months ago
author updated this narrative
Profoto Holding
MA
Mandelman
Community Contributor
Profoto Holding to Launch New Products and Aim for Growth in Lighting and Imaging, but will growth come?
Catalysts New product launches, such as Pro-B3, D30, and the upcoming film industry product, could drive sales and earnings growth. Industry tailwinds in professional lighting and imaging could help, however currently no such signs in the reports.
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SEK 55.46
FV
60.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.70%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
8
users have followed this narrative
5 months ago
author updated this narrative
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