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Global Weekly Picks
Airbnb
TI
TickerTickle
Community Contributor
Airbnb (ABNB): Still one of the most interesting bets in travel
Key insights Airbnb is changing from a travel-only app to a full lifestyle platform (stays, rentals, experiences) International markets are growing faster than the US, which is slowing down Product experience is improving a lot, with AI making search and booking easier Regulations are becoming a big risk, especially in Europe where listings are getting removed The way people move around the world has changed. It’s not only about holidays anymore.
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US$163.75
FV
27.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
11
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
ING Groep
PI
PittTheYounger
Community Contributor
ING leads the pack when it comes to pivoting towards non-lending income
ING, of course, is a bank; and banks don't like falling interest rates, right? For the dominant stream of income is their core business model, i.e. borrowing short-term and lending long-term, reaping the difference in interest rates in the process.
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€27.92
FV
25.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Coles Group
RO
Robbo
Community Contributor
Coles (ASX: COL): Safe, Steady, and Surprisingly Cheap
The supermarket chain Coles is the kind of “boring” business that may have been overlooked as an investment opportunity. Although it was divested from Wesfarmers in 2018, Coles’ heritage traces back to 1914 — giving it over 110 years of history.
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AU$22.00
FV
5.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.72%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
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Netflix
RI
Richard_Bowman
Equity Analyst and Writer
Scale, Operating Leverage And Ad Plans Will Drive EPS Growth
Key Takeaways Netflix ad-supported plans will drive new revenue Revenue per user will decrease in short term from ad plans, but increase longer term Margins will continue to improve as costs grow slower than revenue (operating leverage) User growth expected from password sharing crackdown I believe these 3 catalysts will result in $52bn in revenue and $12.5bn profit by 2028 Catalysts Industry Catalysts There is Room For More Than One Streaming Platform The video streaming industry has become very competitive, and the market has been hyper focused on the question of “who will win the streaming war.” I don’t think this is a winner takes all situation, and there is room for a handful of platforms. There are pros and cons to each platform and many households end up subscribing to two or three platforms.
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US$936.00
FV
30.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
11.50%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
11
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
22
users have followed this narrative
9 months ago
author updated this narrative
Netflix
MI
MichaelP
Content Lead
Industry Consolidation and Internal Initiatives Will Support Subscriber growth
Key Takeaways Possible consolidation in the streaming market will benefit NFLX with better negotiating leverage Internal initiatives of ad-plans and paid sharing will drive user and revenue growth ARPM will increase due to future price increases and advertising revenue Advertising dollars will transition from Cable TV to NFLX as its ad-supported members base grows Discipline on content costs will increase net margins and push future earnings and cash flows higher Catalysts Industry Catalysts Consolidation Of Content In The Streaming Market After 25 years of expensive growth, Netflix has now become the most dominant, profitable streaming player in the world. With 238m subscribers, trailing 12 month revenues of $32bn and cash flows of $4.6bn (all as of June 30 2023), the company has reached scale economics that allow the streaming model to work profitably.
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US$797.74
FV
52.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
13.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
20
users have liked this narrative
6
users have commented on this narrative
28
users have followed this narrative
9 months ago
author updated this narrative
Bank of America
ST
StjepanK
Equity Analyst and Writer
Consolidation In The Banking Sector Will Increase Revenues
Key Takeaways As one of the "Big 4" U.S. banks, BAC has demonstrated resilience during the last sector turmoil, maintaining a strong brand and market presence. Despite economic uncertainties, BAC boasts a resilient loan book and solid profit margins, which should help it navigate potential challenges.
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US$43.34
FV
6.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
10.59%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
11
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
17
users have followed this narrative
5 months ago
author updated this narrative
Starbucks
ST
StjepanK
Equity Analyst and Writer
Starbucks Faces Growth-Negating Hurdles
Key Takeaways Starbucks has heavily invested in new leadership, pushing for a turnaround by hiring former Chipotle's CEO Brian Niccol. Niccol's plan simplifies the offering, reduces costs through operational efficiencies, and raises employee satisfaction.
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US$97.59
FV
6.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.30%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
35
users have liked this narrative
5
users have commented on this narrative
11
users have followed this narrative
4 months ago
author updated this narrative
Microsoft
GO
Goran_Damchevski
Equity Analyst
Productivity Suite, Cloud and AI to Continue Growing, Pushing Up Net Margins
Key Takeaways I'm bullish on Microsoft as a business, its most profitable days ahead Growth avenue: revamp current products with AI, increase offers on Azure cloud Not leader in cloud infrastructure, but dominant in SaaS productivity suite Highest potential growth industries: CRM & ERP, gaming, healthcare Teams: Microsoft's true super app, pushing to make it as prevalent as Office 365 Catalysts Business Catalysts Enhancing the family of apps with AI. By now, most of the investing world regards Microsoft as a leader in AI.
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US$333.48
FV
56.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
9.50%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
66
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
36
users have followed this narrative
9 months ago
author updated this narrative
Tesla
BA
Bailey
Equity Analyst
Tesla's Supercomputer And Battery Technology Will Deliver Outstanding Growth And Transform The Automaker Into A Tech Powerhouse
Key Takeaways Tesla’s Dojo supercomputer will empower them to develop more powerful products. Dojo will elevate Tesla’s Autopilot and Self-driving technology to become market-leading.
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US$322.21
FV
5.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
18.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
149
users have liked this narrative
8
users have commented on this narrative
41
users have followed this narrative
10 months ago
author updated this narrative
Exxon Mobil
RI
Richard_Bowman
Equity Analyst and Writer
ExxonMobil's Focus On Margins Rather Than Growth Will Help It Cash In On Tight Supply
Key Takeaways Oil supply will remain tight leading to a higher and more volatile oil price. Volatility will favor large well capitalized energy companies.
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US$126.39
FV
16.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
2.94%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
13
users have liked this narrative
7
users have commented on this narrative
24
users have followed this narrative
10 months ago
author updated this narrative
NVIDIA
BA
Bailey
Equity Analyst
Enterprise Hardware Segment To Drive Sales As AI Takes Over
Key Takeaways Nvidia is poised to capture a larger share of the growing Data Centre market thanks to class leading hardware supporting the most demanding applications Nvidia's hardware is the best on market for AI applications and greater AI implementation will mean greater the demand for Nvidia hardware. Nvidia's DRIVE autonomous vehicle platform opens the door for Nvidia to flourish in a $300 Billion market.
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US$141.74
FV
28.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
17.20%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
144
users have liked this narrative
15
users have commented on this narrative
97
users have followed this narrative
10 months ago
author updated this narrative
META
Meta Platforms
ST
StjepanK
Equity Analyst and Writer
Advertising, AI and Hardware Will Push Revenues and Earnings Higher
Key Takeaways Meta can maintain social media dominance via new products, AI and continued advertising trends. Its LlaMA models are more adaptable and customizable, which will drive developer adoption.
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US$538.09
FV
42.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
10.50%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
54
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
46
users have followed this narrative
6 months ago
author updated this narrative
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