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Global Weekly Picks

MGPI logo
MGP Ingredients

THE KINGDOM OF BROWN GOODS: WHY MGPI IS BEING CRUSHED BY INVENTORY & PRIMED FOR RESURRECTION

Originally Posted Dec 5 on the Woodworth Contrarian News Page Brought to you by Quinn Millegan & The Woodworth Contrarian Fund A Deep Dive Into Why the Market Is Pricing MGPI for Permanent Decline When Cyclical Recovery Is Lurking in Plain Sight MGP Ingredient’s factories in Atchison, KS & Lawrenceburg, IN - MGP Ingredients Corporate THE SETUP: MEET THE STOCK THAT FELL 75% AND NOBODY NOTICED MGP Ingredients closed at $24.70 yesterday (with a 3–6% increase intraday today). Two years ago—December 4, 2023—it traded at $91.53.
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US$40
FV
35.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
1.36%
Revenue growth p.a.
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EVTL logo
Vertical Aerospace

Why Vertical Aerospace (NYSE: EVTL) is Worth Possibly Over 13x its Current Price

Once again, I boldly foretell a future possibility for the years ahead. Some reading this may scoff, or may laugh and move on.
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US$60
FV
90.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
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23users have followed this narrative
ORCL logo
Oracle

The Quiet Giant That Became AI’s Power Grid

The story of Oracle’s transformation is a narrative of strategic repositioning that has culminated in the company emerging as an indispensable infrastructure partner for the world’s most demanding Artificial Intelligence (AI) workloads. This strategic shift, defined by massive infrastructure investment, a landmark partnership with OpenAI, and the rise of colossal superclusters, has driven an unprecedented surge in its contract backlog, fundamentally reshaping Oracle’s long-term growth trajectory and competitive landscape.
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US$389.81
FV
51.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
28.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
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43users have followed this narrative
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MDT logo
Medtronic

MDT Market Outlook

Medtronic plc (NYSE: MDT) is a leading medical device company with a diverse product portfolio and a strong global presence. As of January 4, 2025, the stock is trading at approximately $80.95 per share.Read more

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US$82.66
20.8% overvalued intrinsic discount
NateF's Fair Value
Revenue
4.58% p.a.
Profit Margin
13%
Future PE
24.21x
Price in 2030
US$120.57
AAPL logo
Apple

AAPL Market Outlook

Apple Inc. (AAPL) has demonstrated robust performance, with its stock appreciating by approximately 30% in 2024, surpassing the S&P 500's 7% gain.Read more

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US$260.75
6.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
NateF's Fair Value
Revenue
6.5% p.a.
Profit Margin
23.97%
Future PE
39.32x
Price in 2030
US$358.95
META logo
Meta Platforms

META Market Outlook

Meta Platforms, Inc. (META), the parent company of Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp Sector: Telecomm, Technology Industry: social technology Market Capitalization: $1.5t (Mega-cap) Major Competitors: Meta Platforms, Inc.Read more

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US$757.98
15.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
NateF's Fair Value
Revenue
11.03% p.a.
Profit Margin
35.55%
Future PE
27.24x
Price in 2030
US$1.04k
SSF logo
SSF Home Group Berhad

Cozy Comfort for a Portfolio-SSF Home Group Bhd

Catalysts 1. SSF Home Group Berhad (Bursa Malaysia: 0287) listed on the Bursa Malaysia 12 October 2023 2.Read more

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RM 0.48
15.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
Ontological's Fair Value
Revenue
20% p.a.
Profit Margin
3.82%
Future PE
49.75x
Price in 2027
RM 0.62
TWLO logo
Twilio

Potential Upside

Sector: Information Technology Industry: Internet Services and Infrastructure Quant Sector Ranking (as of 12/23/2024):11 out of 548 Quant Industry Ranking (as of 12/23/2024): 2 out of 23 Market Capitalization: $16.55B Quant Rating: Strong Buy "TWLO is a top Quant-ranked Internet Services and Infrastructure stock and an Alpha Pick selection offering businesses a communications platform that enables companies to integrate various tools into their applications using APIs. It provides services for messaging, voice calls, video, email, and other forms of communication, allowing developers to build customized customer engagement experiences. Twilio is strategically focused on embedding AI and Machine learning throughout its platform, having recently announced an integration with OpenAI’s new real-time API, enabling customers to build powerful conversational virtual agents.Read more

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US$118.66
12.0% overvalued intrinsic discount
NateF's Fair Value
Revenue
7.07% p.a.
Profit Margin
7.66%
Future PE
23.71x
Price in 2029
US$103.91
XYZ logo
Block

Potential Upside

Sector: Financials Industry: Transacted & Payment Processing Services Quant Sector Ranking (as of 12/23/2024): 75 out of 686 Quant Industry Ranking (as of 12/23/2024): 8 out of 43 Market Capitalization: $54.11B Quant Rating: Strong Buy "Block, Inc., formerly known as Square, Inc., is a top quant-ranked Transaction & Payment Processing Services stock founded in 2009 by Jack Dorsey and Jim McKelvey. The company has evolved from its initial focus on payments to become a diversified fintech.Read more

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US$93.02
30.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
NateF's Fair Value
Revenue
9.62% p.a.
Profit Margin
4.41%
Future PE
50.02x
Price in 2029
US$130.15
BRK.A logo
Berkshire Hathaway

The Berkshire Success Recipe: Concentrated Portfolio With Diversified Operations

Berkshire has managed to find a balance between a diversified business and an alpha-rich portfolio. The company’s efficiency is reflected in its low risk, which also limits growth.Read more

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US$604.2k
23.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
Goran_Damchevski's Fair Value
Revenue
3.6% p.a.
Profit Margin
15%
Future PE
16.7x
Price in 2029
US$786.2k
CIC.X0000 logo
CIC Holdings

Predicting CIC Holdings' Bright Future with a 13.18% Profit Margin Boost

After conducting a detailed analysis, I’ve determined that CIC.X is currently undervalued, with the current market price at Rs. 67.90. Using multiple valuation methods, I calculated the following intrinsic values: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF): Rs. 76.99 Graham’s Valuation: Rs. 207.17 EPS-Based Valuation: Rs. 347.00 DPS-Based Valuation: Rs. 198.00 By consolidating these methods, the intrinsic value I arrived at is Rs. 172.43, significantly higher than the current price.Read more

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LK₨172
84.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
kalindu's Fair Value
Revenue
2.06% p.a.
Profit Margin
13.18%
Future PE
15x
Price in 2029
LK₨464.87
TSLA logo
Tesla

$407.81 per share - 3 Years

Tesla Inc. (TSLA) is a global leader in electric vehicles (EVs), energy storage, and solar solutions.Read more

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US$407.81
12.5% overvalued intrinsic discount
Jack2305's Fair Value
Revenue
15.75% p.a.
Profit Margin
13.12%
Future PE
85.2x
Price in 2027
US$512.24