NetflixNFLX
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Fair Value
US$120
Share price25 Feb
US$74.3538.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
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1Y-41.65%
7D-1.48%

Netflix is undervalued

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Published
25 Feb 26
Views
62
Invested

Through the recent battle between Netflix and Paramount about acquiring Warner's Brothers, investors have been very bearish about Netflix, selling it off. Now Netflix is trading at one of the lowest it's traded in 52 weeks.

This creates one of the best buy opportunities that I can see in the market right now. Although cheap companies don't always mean a buy, in this case Netflix is. With over 350 million subscribers and continuing to grow, ever growing different streams of income, Netflix stays the most used streaming service worldwide. There is a reason it's called Netflix and chill not hulu and chill or amazon prime and chill. The hold Netflix has on the streaming service market will not just disappear because of this deal. The regular watchers of Netflix most likely do not even know of this potential acquisition.

Secondly, investors are worried about an all cash deal instead of with shares. However, this is a sign the company is sharing with us, that Netflix believes that it is undervalued and hence will not buy with shares because they believe it will grow in the future and is an unfair deal. Although it will put Netflix in debt, their strong profit margin of 29.5% that is growing even now puts them in a perfect spot to pay off this debt including the rights to all the WB shows and movies. You cannot create movies like Harry Potter and the DC movies and build a fanbase like that from scratch. This puts Netflix in an ideal position if the deal does goes through.

Lastly, Netflix has been exploring a wide range of income streams such as streaming Alex Honnold's climb up Taipei 101, sport and live streams will allow Netflix to capture an even larger market share.

For all these reasons, I believe that Netflix is significantly undervalued and once investors realise this, will come back to it's fair value.

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Disclaimer

The user mil0m9 has a position in NasdaqGS:NFLX. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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Fair Value vs Share Price

US$120
vs US$74.3538.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
PastFuture0102b20152018202120242026202720302031Revenue US$102.0bEarnings US$24.8b
17.7%
Revenue growth
24.3%
Profit margin

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Company analysis

Undervalued with solid track record.

Market capUS$310.3b
PB10.1x
Estimated Growth9.7%
Dividend YieldN/A
Full analysis

CEO & management

Theodore Sarandos
CEO
3.9yrs
CEO Tenure

Provides entertainment services worldwide.