AI Advancements And Digital Automation Will Transform Lending Markets

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
Published
20 Mar 25
Updated
08 Aug 25
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$79.14
13.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
08 Aug
US$68.76
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1Y
89.7%
7D
-13.2%

Author's Valuation

US$79.1

13.1% undervalued intrinsic discount

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on07 Aug 25
Fair value Increased 17%

Despite a reduction in consensus revenue growth forecasts, a notable improvement in net profit margin has driven the consensus analyst price target for Upstart Holdings up from $67.36 to $76.86. What's in the News Upstart provided Q3 2025 guidance of $280 million revenue with a GAAP net loss of $9 million; full-year 2025 guidance is $1.055 billion revenue and $35 million GAAP net income.

Shared on29 Jul 25
Fair value Decreased 18%

Analysts have lowered their price target for Upstart Holdings from $82.59 to $67.36, citing concerns over take rate compression in its upmarket shift and macroeconomic uncertainty, though the company's AI-driven lending model and large addressable market remain long-term positives. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts see take rate compression risk due to Upstart's shift upmarket, which could pressure profitability despite its position as a leading marketplace lender.

Shared on01 May 25
Fair value Decreased 0.11%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on24 Apr 25
Fair value Decreased 0.35%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on17 Apr 25
Fair value Decreased 4.34%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on09 Apr 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on02 Apr 25
Fair value Increased 8.63%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on26 Mar 25
Fair value Increased 28%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.