Materials U.K. Investing Ideas

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Hochschild Mining

Silver Play by A Family with 10x Potential

Hochschild Mining – Overview Location : South America Production (2025) : Gold: 250,000 oz Silver: 8 million oz (excluding Pallancata C&M) AISC (Break-even) : Gold: ~$1,850/oz Silver: ~$24/oz Cash Flow Margin at $4,000 gold / $100 silver : Strong Debt : $350M $100M due in 2024 $89M cash on hand $200M additional credit available New & Future Projects Mara Rosa (Brazil) : 80,000 oz/year (low cost) Started in 2024 Royropata (Peru) : 100,000 oz AUEQ (3M oz silver/year) Starts in 2028 Monte Do Carmo (Brazil) : 90,000 oz gold Permitting stage – expected 2028 Volcan (Chile) : 9 million oz gold (.7 gpt) Potential 330K oz/year AISC: ~$1,000 Capex: $900M Production could begin 2028–2030 Not included in cash flow estimate (optional upside or sale) Ownership 50% owned by one family Dividends are a priority Unlikely to sell – growth focus Valuation at $4,000 Gold / $100 Silver Assume production from 2028 with 400K oz gold & 10M oz silver: Gold FCF : 400,000 oz × ($4,000 – $1,850) = $860M Silver FCF : 10,000,000 oz × ($100 – $24) = $760M Total Annual FCF ≈ $1.62B Valuation at 10x FCF = $16.2B Conclusion If Hochschild Mining executes on new projects and gold reaches $4,000/oz, silver hits $100/oz, the company could be worth over $16 billion. However, high debt, permitting risks, and political red flags (Argentina, Peru, Chile) may keep valuation multiples conservative.Read more

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UK£24
71.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
RockeTeller's Fair Value
Revenue
68.48% p.a.
Profit Margin
10.24%
Future PE
17.67x
Price in 2030
UK£35.41
FRES logo
Fresnillo

If silver reaches $100 per oz

To calculate the potential stock price of Fresnillo if silver reaches $100 per oz, we can follow these steps: ### Assumptions and Inputs 1. Annual Silver Production: 55 million oz (projected for 2025).Read more

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UK£35
5.8% overvalued intrinsic discount
RockeTeller's Fair Value
Revenue
46.11% p.a.
Profit Margin
8.7%
Future PE
24.53x
Price in 2029
UK£54.93
RBW logo
Rainbow Rare Earths

Only for the Patient...

At current basket prices, using previously communicated basket prices, Rainbow stands to generate approx. £140M EBIT per annum on the Phallaborwa project alone.Read more

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UK£1.2
85.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
Matt_1's Fair Value
Profit Margin
28%
Future PE
12x
Price in 2029
UK£0
UK£1.25
5.8% overvalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
34.88% p.a.
Profit Margin
45.44%
Future PE
8.22x
Price in 2029
UK£1.77
UK£6.52
3.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
14.36% p.a.
Profit Margin
25.58%
Future PE
14.24x
Price in 2029
UK£8.32