Advance Auto Parts, Inc.

NYSE:AAP Stok Raporu

Piyasa değeri: US$2.6b

Advance Auto Parts Gelecekteki Büyüme

Future kriter kontrolleri 3/6

Advance Auto Parts kazanç ve gelirin sırasıyla yıllık 21% ve 1.9% oranında artacağı tahmin edilmektedir. EPS'nin yıllık 20.5% oranında büyümesi beklenmektedir. Özkaynak kârlılığının 3 yıl içinde 8.4% olacağı tahmin edilmektedir.

Anahtar bilgiler

21.0%

Kazanç büyüme oranı

20.47%

EPS büyüme oranı

Specialty Retail kazanç büyümesi8.6%
Gelir büyüme oranı1.9%
Gelecekteki özkaynak getirisi8.39%
Analist kapsamı

Good

Son güncelleme18 Sep 2026

Gelecekteki son büyüme güncellemeleri

Recent updates

Anlatı Güncellemesi • Sep 04

AAP: Weaker Margins And Q2 Miss Will Likely Limit Turnaround

Analysts have lowered their price target for Advance Auto Parts from about $44 to about $33, citing updated assumptions around slightly lower profit margins, a higher discount rate, and a reduced future P/E multiple despite higher modeled revenue growth. What’s in the News for Advance Auto Parts Advance Auto Parts reported disappointing Q2 results with a comparable sales miss and weaker profit performance than expected, according to RBC Capital Markets.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Aug 21

AAP: New Market Hubs And Store Openings Will Support Bullish Outlook

Analysts have revised their fair value estimate for Advance Auto Parts from about $60.37 to roughly $50.21, reflecting updated assumptions regarding discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. What’s in the News for Advance Auto Parts Advance Auto Parts plans to open 9 new market hubs during the third quarter of 2026, according to recent company developments.
Seeking Alpha • Aug 20

Advance Auto Parts: Panic Over Sales Slowdown Creates Opportunity (Upgrade)

Summary Advance Auto Parts is upgraded to "Buy" after a 25% share price drop, as margin recovery is underappreciated. Despite DIY channel weakness and flat sales, AAP's gross margin expanded by 240 bps and operating margin nearly doubled to 5.6%. Free cash flow turned positive at $120 million YTD, with net leverage reduced to 2.1x and a highly secure 2.2% dividend yield. Guidance was reaffirmed for sales and raised for EPS, but the normalized outlook is lower; shares now trade below a $50 fair value. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jul 01

AAP: Expanded Delivery Partnership And Fair Valuation Will Guide Balanced Outlook

Analysts have modestly lifted their price target for Advance Auto Parts to $60.37 from $56.76, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E expectations. What’s in the News for Advance Auto Parts Advance Auto Parts expanded its partnership with OneRail to broaden the use of OneRail’s delivery orchestration platform across its operations (source: company news summarised).
Analiz Makalesi • Jun 19

Advance Auto Parts (AAP) Stock Could Be 5.9% Overvalued After OneRail Partnership Expansion

Advance Auto Parts (AAP) drew fresh investor attention after expanding its partnership with logistics platform OneRail, a move aimed at upgrading delivery coordination across its internal fleet and third party providers. See our latest analysis for Advance Auto Parts. Alongside the OneRail expansion, investors have seen a 21.34% 30 day share price return and a 54.54% year to date share price return, while the 5 year total shareholder return is down 66.41%. This suggests that recent momentum...
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 16

AAP: Turnaround And Distribution Consolidation Should Support Future Stock Multiple

Analysts have maintained their $70.00 price target on Advance Auto Parts, citing revised assumptions that include a higher discount rate, slightly higher projected revenue growth, modestly improved profit margin expectations, and a small adjustment to the future P/E multiple. What’s in the News for Advance Auto Parts Advance Auto Parts is nearing completion of a distribution center consolidation plan that is intended to improve supply chain productivity, according to recent reporting.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jun 02

AAP: Turnaround Progress Will Likely Be Constrained By Cautious Margin Guidance

Analysts now see Advance Auto Parts' fair value at about $44, up from roughly $41. This reflects updated assumptions for higher revenue growth, a slightly stronger profit margin, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple despite a steeper discount rate.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • May 11

AAP: Completed Buybacks And 2026 Sales Guidance Will Support Future Multiple

Analysts have kept their $70.00 price target on Advance Auto Parts unchanged, citing slightly adjusted assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that refine their outlook without shifting the overall valuation anchor. What's in the News Advance Auto Parts issued full year 2026 earnings guidance, with expected net sales between $8,485 million and $8,575 million.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 23

AAP: Completed Buybacks And 2026 Sales Guidance Will Support Future Multiple

Analysts have kept their $70.00 price target on Advance Auto Parts steady, citing only small adjustments in the modeled discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions as the reason to keep their valuation view largely unchanged. What's in the News Advance Auto Parts issued earnings guidance for full year 2026, with expected net sales in a range of $8,485m to $8,575m (company guidance).
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Apr 08

AAP: Completed Buybacks And Lower Discount Rate Will Support Future Multiple

Analysts have raised their price target on Advance Auto Parts to $70 from $65, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Advance Auto Parts reported that from October 5, 2025 to January 3, 2026, it repurchased 0 shares for $0 million, and stated that it has completed the previously announced buyback program with a total of 12,114,059 shares repurchased for $2,152.86 million, representing 18.62% of shares under the program announced on August 13, 2019 (Key Developments).
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 25

AAP: Modest Margin Outlook And Cautious Guidance Will Likely Limit Future Upside

Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target for Advance Auto Parts to about $40.63 per share, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Advance Auto Parts reported that between October 5, 2025 and January 3, 2026, it repurchased 0 shares for $0 under its existing buyback, and stated that it has completed repurchases of 12,114,059 shares, or 18.62%, totaling $2,152.86m under the buyback announced on August 13, 2019 (Key Developments).
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Mar 10

AAP: Softer Long Term Revenue Outlook Will Likely Cap Future Upside

Analysts have lifted their price target for Advance Auto Parts from about $34.51 to roughly $40.63, pointing to a lower assumed discount rate and higher future P/E, even as they now model softer revenue growth and slightly lower profit margins. What's in the News Issued full year 2026 earnings guidance with expected net sales between US$8.485b and US$8.575b, giving investors a clearer view of management's current top line outlook (Corporate Guidance).
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 24

AAP: New House-Brand Rollout And Guidance Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have lifted their price target for Advance Auto Parts by about $5 to $57. This reflects updated views on fair value, a lower discount rate and revised assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Feb 10

AAP: Value-Focused Product Launch Will Support Stronger Future Earnings Multiple

Analysts have modestly revised their price target framework for Advance Auto Parts, keeping fair value unchanged at $65.00 while fine tuning assumptions such as a 12.33% discount rate, 2.29% revenue growth, a 4.02% profit margin, and a 14.91x future P/E to better reflect their current outlook on the business. What's in the News Advance Auto Parts launched ARGOS, a new owned oil and fluids brand aimed at customers looking for high quality, lower priced auto care products, following extensive surveys, market analysis and field testing with both DIY and professional users (Key Developments).
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 27

AAP: New Private Label Launch And Modest Outlook Will Shape Measured Upside

Analysts have trimmed their implied fair value estimate for Advance Auto Parts from about US$54.30 to roughly US$51.29. This reflects slightly lower assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples.
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Jan 12

AAP: Higher Future P/E Will Reflect Stronger Revenue Outlook

Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Advance Auto Parts at $65.00. They have adjusted their assumptions to reflect modestly higher revenue growth, lower profit margins, and a higher future P/E, which together underpin the latest price target narrative.
Analiz Makalesi • Jan 06

Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.25

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. ( NYSE:AAP ) will pay a dividend of $0.25 on the 23rd of January. Based on this payment, the...
Analiz Makalesi • Jan 01

Advance Auto Parts, Inc.'s (NYSE:AAP) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 26%

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Advance Auto Parts, Inc. ( NYSE:AAP ) share price has dived 26% in the last...
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 27

AAP: Higher Revenue Outlook Will Support Improved Forward Earnings Multiple

Analysts have raised their price target on Advance Auto Parts from 61.41 dollars to 65.00 dollars, citing expectations for stronger revenue growth and a modest re rating of future earnings multiples, despite slightly lower projected profit margins and a higher discount rate. What's in the News Updated buyback disclosure shows no share repurchases between July 13 and October 4, 2025, and confirms completion of a 12.1 million share program totaling approximately 18.6% of shares for about $2.15 billion under the 2019 authorization (Key Developments).
Analiz Makalesi • Dec 23

Advance Auto Parts' (NYSE:AAP) Dividend Will Be $0.25

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. ( NYSE:AAP ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.25 per share on the 23rd of...
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Dec 12

AAP: Higher Risk Profile Will Likely Limit Upside Despite Margin Improvement

Analysts have raised their price target on Advance Auto Parts by about 3 percent to approximately 34.51 dollars, citing improving revenue growth expectations, higher projected profit margins, and a more attractive future earnings multiple despite a slightly higher discount rate. What's in the News Advance Auto Parts raised its full year 2025 net sales guidance to a range of 8,550 million dollars to 8,600 million dollars, up from the prior 8,400 million dollars to 8,600 million dollars range (Company guidance filing).
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Nov 27

AAP: Revenue Outlook And Completed Buyback Will Support Measured Upside

Analysts have raised their price target for Advance Auto Parts from $53.20 to $54.30. This change is based on strengthened revenue growth expectations, even with a higher discount rate and modestly lower profit margins.
Analiz Makalesi • Nov 08

Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.25

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. ( NYSE:AAP ) will pay a dividend of $0.25 on the 23rd of January. This means the dividend...
Analiz Makalesi • Oct 09

Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.25

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. ( NYSE:AAP ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.25 per share on the 24th of...
Analiz Makalesi • Aug 18

Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.25

The board of Advance Auto Parts, Inc. ( NYSE:AAP ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.25 per share on the...
Anlatı Güncellemesi • Aug 16

Supply Chain Consolidation And Vendor Partnerships Will Boost Efficiency By 2027

The notable upward revision in Advance Auto Parts’ price target reflects improved revenue growth forecasts and an increase in expected future P/E, resulting in a new consensus analyst price target of $52.60. What's in the News Advance Auto Parts expects 2025 net sales of $8.4 billion to $8.6 billion and guided Q2 net sales at $1.98 billion to $2.00 billion, with flat to slightly positive comparable store sales.
Analiz Makalesi • Jul 13

Optimistic Investors Push Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (NYSE:AAP) Shares Up 29% But Growth Is Lacking

Despite an already strong run, Advance Auto Parts, Inc. ( NYSE:AAP ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29...
Analiz Makalesi • Jun 30

Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.25

The board of Advance Auto Parts, Inc. ( NYSE:AAP ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 25th of July, with...
Analiz Makalesi • Jun 10

Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Analiz Makalesi • May 23

Advance Auto Parts, Inc.'s (NYSE:AAP) 49% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. ( NYSE:AAP ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 49% after a shaky period...
Seeking Alpha • Apr 16

Advance Auto Parts: Solid Turnaround Progress, But Near-Term Weakness Cannot Be Ignored

Summary I maintain a hold rating on Advance Auto Parts due to ongoing execution risks and the need for sustained same-store-sales growth and valuation below 16x. AAP's financial flexibility has significantly improved with reduced net debt and increased cash, allowing management to focus on operational execution without financial distress. Turnaround initiatives, including store closures and new operational strategies, are progressing faster than expected, showing early signs of positive impact on performance. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analiz Makalesi • Apr 08

What Is Advance Auto Parts, Inc.'s (NYSE:AAP) Share Price Doing?

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. ( NYSE:AAP ), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a...
Seeking Alpha • Mar 28

Advance Auto Parts: Growth Strategy May Prove Too Aggressive

Summary Advance Auto Parts has struggled, losing half its value, but plans to add stores, signaling hopes for a potential turnaround. Despite store expansion, same-store sales and revenue have declined, raising concerns about the company's growth strategy and timing. The company has significant liquidity from asset sales but faces challenges with cash flow, debt reduction, and achieving EBITDA growth targets. Tariffs on imported vehicles and parts present mixed impacts, with potential cost increases and demand shifts, and I still view the stock as a sell. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analiz Makalesi • Mar 24

Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.25

The board of Advance Auto Parts, Inc. ( NYSE:AAP ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.25 per share on the...
Seeking Alpha • Mar 11

Advance Auto Parts: Ready For A Major Turnaround

Summary Advance Auto Parts may be down 85% from its peak, but it's beginning to show plenty of promise, with investors no where close to pricing in the potential upside. Despite disappointing Q4 results, including a significant EPS crash and margin contraction, the company's restructuring efforts and future guidance offer plenty of optimism. The sale of Worldpac for $1.45 billion will also help to drastically reduce debt, while ahead-of-schedule store closures are expected to boost EPS and financial stability going into H2. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analiz Makalesi • Mar 04

More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Advance Auto Parts, Inc.'s (NYSE:AAP) Shares After Tumbling 27%

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. ( NYSE:AAP ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough...

Kazanç ve Gelir Büyüme Tahminleri

NYSE:AAP - Analistlerin gelecek tahminleri ve geçmiş finansal verileri (USD Millions )
TarihGelirKazançlarSerbest Nakit AkışıFaaliyetlerden NakitAvg. Analist Sayısı
12/31/20288,90726117277911
12/31/20278,72023419147723
12/31/20268,52616511941823
7/18/20268,62210923312N/A
4/25/20268,63268-17591N/A
1/3/20268,60168-298-46N/A
10/4/20258,625-572-401-191N/A
7/12/20258,737-596-298-109N/A
4/19/20258,905-580-251-74N/A
12/28/20249,094-587-9685N/A
10/5/20249,112-12235417N/A
7/13/20249,183-61375543N/A
4/20/20248,563-61491673N/A
12/30/20239,209-3061287N/A
10/7/20239,6688316282N/A
7/15/202310,092273-99261N/A
4/22/202311,1983738409N/A
12/31/20229,149361336737N/A
10/8/202211,078468238670N/A
7/16/202211,058522273645N/A
4/23/202211,042570394727N/A
1/1/202210,9985978171,107N/A
10/9/202110,9666468191,085N/A
7/17/202110,8876241,0411,298N/A
4/24/202110,7396351,0331,289N/A
1/2/202110,106493702970N/A
10/3/20209,854477472968N/A
7/11/20209,624453N/A823N/A
4/18/20209,455388N/A673N/A
12/28/20199,709487N/A867N/A
10/5/20199,701444N/A838N/A
7/13/20199,664437N/A859N/A
4/20/20199,659430N/A862N/A
12/29/20189,581424N/A811N/A
10/6/20189,512555N/A881N/A
7/14/20189,420535N/A777N/A
4/21/20189,357504N/A720N/A
12/30/20179,374476N/A601N/A
10/7/20179,420353N/A497N/A
7/15/20179,486371N/A582N/A
4/22/20179,479409N/A470N/A
12/31/20169,568460N/A523N/A
10/8/20169,518452N/A597N/A
7/16/20169,565458N/A567N/A
4/23/20169,679483N/A676N/A
1/2/20169,737473N/A703N/A
10/10/20159,941501N/A689N/A

Analist Gelecek Büyüme Tahminleri

Kazançlar ve Tasarruf Oranları: AAP 'nin tahmini kazanç büyümesi (yıllık 21% ) tasarruf oranının ( 3.7% ) üzerindedir.

Kazançlar ve Piyasa: AAP şirketinin kazançlarının (yıllık 21% ) US pazarından (yıllık 17.4% ) daha hızlı büyümesi öngörülüyor.

Yüksek Büyüme Kazançları: AAP şirketinin kazançlarının önümüzdeki 3 yıl içerisinde önemli ölçüde artması bekleniyor.

Gelir ve Pazar: AAP şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 1.9% ) US pazarından (yıllık 13.5% ) daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.

Yüksek Büyüme Geliri: AAP şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 1.9% ) yıllık 20% oranından daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.

Hisse Başına Kazanç Büyüme Tahminleri

Gelecekteki Özkaynak Getirisi

Gelecekteki ROE: AAP 'nin Özsermaye Getirisi'nin 3 yıl içinde düşük olması tahmin ediliyor ( 8.4 %).

Büyüyen şirketleri keşfedin

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Şirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu

VeriSon Güncelleme (UTC saati)
Şirket Analizi2026/09/20 02:16
Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı2026/09/18 00:00
Kazançlar2026/07/18
Yıllık Kazançlar2026/01/03

Veri Kaynakları

Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.

PaketVeriZaman ÇerçevesiÖrnek ABD Kaynağı *
Şirket Finansalları10 yıl
  • Gelir tablosu
  • Nakit akış tablosu
  • Bilanço
Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri+3 yıl
  • Finansal tahminler
  • Analist fiyat hedefleri
Piyasa Fiyatları30 yıl
  • Hisse senedi fiyatları
  • Temettüler, Bölünmeler ve Eylemler
Sahiplik10 yıl
  • En büyük hissedarlar
  • İçeriden öğrenenlerin ticareti
Yönetim10 yıl
  • Liderlik ekibi
  • Yönetim Kurulu
Önemli Gelişmeler10 yıl
  • Şirket duyuruları

* ABD menkul kıymetleri için örnek, ABD dışı için eşdeğer düzenleyici formlar ve kaynaklar kullanılmıştır.

Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.

Analiz Modeli ve Kar Tanesi

Bu raporu oluşturmak için kullanılan analiz modelinin ayrıntılarına Github sayfamızdan ulaşabilirsiniz; ayrıca raporlarımızı nasıl kullanacağınıza dair kılavuzlarımız ve YouTube’da eğitim videolarımız da bulunmaktadır.

Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan hakkında bilgi edinin.

Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri

Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.

Analist Kaynakları

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. 38 Bu analistlerden 23, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.

AnalistKurum
null nullArgus Research Company
Craig KennisonBaird
Alan RifkinBarclays