Update shared on 27 Nov 2025
Fair value Increased 2.07%Analysts have raised their price target for Advance Auto Parts from $53.20 to $54.30. This change is based on strengthened revenue growth expectations, even with a higher discount rate and modestly lower profit margins.
What's in the News
- Advance Auto Parts revised its full year 2025 earnings guidance and now expects net sales in the range of $8,550 million to $8,600 million, an increase from the previous lower end estimate of $8,400 million. (Key Developments)
- The company has completed the repurchase of 12,114,059 shares, representing 18.62% of shares outstanding, with a total value of $2,152.86 million under the buyback announced in August 2019. (Key Developments)
- No additional shares were repurchased in the latest tranche from July 13, 2025 to October 4, 2025, and the buyback program remains completed. (Key Developments)
Valuation Changes
- Fair Value Estimate increased slightly from $53.20 to $54.30.
- Discount Rate rose from 11.21% to 12.50%.
- Revenue Growth projection nearly doubled, moving from 0.95% to 1.80%.
- Net Profit Margin decreased modestly from 3.28% to 3.18%.
- Future Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E) rose from 14.87x to 16.02x.
Disclaimer
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