Retail U.S. Community

Long term price target of $34 Originally published on 3/31/25 in The Millegan Memo https://www.woodworth.fund/news/the-millegan-memo-march-2025 KOHL’S HARD CASH: DIGGING UP VALUE IN $KSS Kohl’s continues to drop despite a relatively rosy reported earnings and balance sheet. In what appears to be an overreaction to broader uncertainties in the US economy, consumer sentiment, and possibly disappointing performance of certain internal segments, Kohl’s has declined over 30% since it reported earnings earlier this month.

Bull BBW is set to renegotiate leases over time. Favorably updated rent agreements, new off-mall locations, and productivity gains from the White Barn format conversion could help boost profits.

Our updated Discounted-Cash-Flow (DCF) analysis shows that the fair value of Alibaba's stock is around $155 USD , higher than the current price of $132.43 USD (as of March 29, 2025). In the most recent quarter, Alibaba increased its revenue by 8% to 280.2 billion yuan (approximately $38.38 billion), with a net income of 48.9 billion yuan (approximately $6.71 billion).

more earning from cloud computing services will increase earnings more than cost, which could increase profit margins and therefor FCF yield and net profit % Amazon, google and microsoft al spent more on AI computing investments than expected by general estimations, showing they all believe in the potential future earnings of AI, and I believe some of the people over there do know what they are talking about. They released beast games, which was a huge succes, sparking further growth in youtube collaboration show releases, which could make a lot of money for streaming services overall.

GigaCloud Technology's share price experienced a significant 11% decline over the last week, coinciding with the release of its fourth-quarter 2024 earnings report. Key Highlights: - Revenue Growth: Revenue rose to USD 296 million, but net income decreased compared to the previous year.

From Brick-and-Mortar to Digital Ventures A favorite among gamers at one point in its history, GameStop has had a very challenging recent past. The transition towards digital distribution of games and competition from online retailers like Amazon has eaten away at its brick and mortar model.

Bull - Growth in miles driven increases the wear and tear on vehicles, requiring more maintenance and repair work to keep them on the road, benefiting LKQ. LKQ’s collision business could see rising demand from increasing auto claims as more drivers return to the road following the COVID-19 pandemic.

Stimulus Linkage : Consumer subsidies and employment targets (12 million urban jobs)[1] bolster discretionary spending. JD.com 2025 Projections : Revenue growth of 12-15% YoY[7], driven by appliance subsidies and food delivery expansion; net margin to 3.6-4.0%[11].

Ulta, the other company I was thinking of cutting, has a surprisingly favorable relative valuation in the beauty retail space. It has decent margins and actually is able to direct decent amounts of buybacks.