Retail U.S. Community
Our community narratives are driven by numbers and valuation.
Retail U.S. Investing Ideas
The capitalist colossus that makes your parcels magically appear, powers half the internet, and knows your shopping habits.
1. The Empire of E-Commerce + Everything Else Amazon is the unchallenged king of U.S. e-commerce , with over 37% market share — Walmart is still staring at the rearview mirror.Read more
GameStop will ace the financial crisis wave with its strategic Bitcoin investment and cash reserves
GameStop’s Q1 2025 financials, combined with an amazing shareholder community, just showed its takes-money-to-buy-whiskey strategy at work, demonstrating its status as a compelling investment as the retail investors have been saying for years while fighting a corrupt legacy media, bots, social media manipulation and hedge funds. Gamestop delivered a stellar adjusted EPS of $0.17, beating estimates by 325%, and achieved a $44.8 million net profit, reversing last year’s $32 million loss.Read more
MINISO's fair value is projected at 26.69 with an anticipated PE ratio shift of 20x
MINISO Investment Thesis This analysis is based on the MINISO 2024 Q4 and 2025 Q1 earnings call presentations and the provided transcript. # Catalysts MINISO has several key growth drivers that could meaningfully impact sales and earnings: Global Store Network Expansion: The primary catalyst is the aggressive and ongoing expansion of its store network, both in China and, more significantly, in overseas markets.Read more
Bath & Body Works is a dominant, high-quality consumer brand with near-perfect business economics, temporarily depressed by a demand trough
Most investors look at BBWI and see a mall candle retailer. That framing undersells it significantly.Read more
Buy-out proposal for BARK Inc., at $1.10 has be confirmed by the acquisition group
BARK Inc., (NYSE: BARK), has received two buy-out proposals to go-private. The first came from a group of current shareholders and the CEO Matt Meeker.Read more
AMZN Narrative
AMZN Narrative (Simply Wall St formatında) AMZN Current Setup Amazon (AMZN) trades around US$210 , while the modelled fair value is US$281.46 (roughly 25% undervalued ). This discount appears inconsistent with Amazon’s recent fundamental momentum: earnings +31.1% YoY , and consensus forecasts for ~16.2% earnings growth and ~10.3% revenue growth per year.Read more
Analysis of BABA's recent developments
Alibaba is currently in a aggressive transition phase, prioritizing long-term growth over short-term profits. The company is heavily investing in two key areas: AI (with its "Qwen" assistant) and instant commerce (Taobao Flash Sales).Read more
In a base case scenario, AI-driven robotics could lift Amazon’s average profit margin from around 11% to approximately 12%
Amazon is increasingly deploying AI-driven robotics across its fulfillment and logistics network to automate repetitive and labor-intensive tasks. In the base case, this adoption does not result in aggressive workforce reductions, but rather in a gradual decoupling of order volume growth from headcount expansion over several years.Read more
