Tractor Supply Company

NasdaqGS:TSCO Stok Raporu

Piyasa değeri: US$17.1b

Tractor Supply Gelecekteki Büyüme

Future kriter kontrolleri 2/6

Tractor Supply kazanç ve gelirin sırasıyla yıllık 7.6% ve 5.6% oranında artacağı tahmin edilmektedir. EPS'nin yıllık 8.7% oranında büyümesi beklenmektedir. Özkaynak kârlılığının 3 yıl içinde 38.5% olacağı tahmin edilmektedir.

Anahtar bilgiler

7.6%

Kazanç büyüme oranı

8.73%

EPS büyüme oranı

Specialty Retail kazanç büyümesi9.8%
Gelir büyüme oranı5.6%
Gelecekteki özkaynak getirisi38.53%
Analist kapsamı

Good

Son güncelleme07 May 2026

Gelecekteki son büyüme güncellemeleri

Analiz Makalesi • Apr 23

Tractor Supply Company Just Missed EPS By 9.0%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

It's been a mediocre week for Tractor Supply Company ( NASDAQ:TSCO ) shareholders, with the stock dropping 13% to...
Analiz Makalesi • Oct 28

Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:TSCO) Just Released Its Third-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

Last week saw the newest third-quarter earnings release from Tractor Supply Company ( NASDAQ:TSCO ), an important...

Recent updates

Analiz Güncellemesi • May 01

TSCO: Dividend And Buyback Commitment Will Support Future Share Returns

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Tractor Supply to reflect a fair value of $47.52, down from $56.37, citing updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E multiples. What's in the News Tractor Supply reaffirmed earnings guidance for fiscal 2026, with net sales growth targeted at 4% to 6%, comparable store sales at 1% to 3%, an operating margin rate of 9.3% to 9.6%, net income of US$1.11b to US$1.17b, and earnings per diluted share of US$2.13 to US$2.23 (Company guidance).
Seeking Alpha • Apr 26

Tractor Supply: Unclear Future Ahead

Summary Short-term stock underperformance presents an attractive entry point for long-term dividend investors, given the historically high yield. Recent earnings and fundamentals remain supportive of the investment thesis, despite near-term weakness. Dividend stability is a key pillar, reinforcing the stock’s appeal for income-focused portfolios. Based on a conservative valuation approach using expectations for earnings and CAPM, TSCO is trading close to fair value after the sell-off. There may be continued stock underperformance in the short term, but investors should focus on future guidance from the company before panicking. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analiz Makalesi • Apr 23

Tractor Supply Company Just Missed EPS By 9.0%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

It's been a mediocre week for Tractor Supply Company ( NASDAQ:TSCO ) shareholders, with the stock dropping 13% to...
Analiz Güncellemesi • Apr 17

TSCO: Dividend Growth And Buybacks Will Support Future Share Price

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Tractor Supply by about $1.22 to reflect slightly adjusted fair value, a marginally higher discount rate, and modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News The board approves an increase in the annual dividend to $0.96 per share for 2026, up $0.04 year over year.
Analiz Güncellemesi • Apr 02

TSCO: Store Expansion And Rising Capital Returns Will Support Future Share Price

Analysts have kept their price target for Tractor Supply steady at about $58. This reflects largely unchanged assumptions around long term revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, with only minor tweaks to discount rate inputs.
Analiz Güncellemesi • Mar 19

TSCO: Store Expansion And Capital Returns Will Support Future Share Price Upside

Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target for Tractor Supply to reflect small changes in discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. This has resulted in a slightly updated fair value estimate that remains around $58 per share.
Analiz Güncellemesi • Mar 04

TSCO: Store Expansion And Capital Returns Will Drive Future Shareholder Upside

Analysts have modestly revised their price target on Tractor Supply, citing small adjustments to inputs such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. Together, these changes translate into a slightly different implied valuation from the prior $57.59 fair value estimate.
Analiz Güncellemesi • Feb 18

TSCO: Store Expansion And Capital Returns Will Support Steady Long-Term Outlook

Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target on Tractor Supply to reflect a slightly lower discount rate, a stable fair value estimate of about $57.59, and small tweaks to assumed profit margin and future P/E. This signals an updated view of the stock's risk and earnings profile without a major shift in valuation.
Analiz Güncellemesi • Feb 04

TSCO: Store Expansion And Guidance Will Offset Legal And Margin Pressures

Analysts have trimmed their Tractor Supply price target by about $4 per share, as they now apply slightly lower assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. What's in the News Repurchased 2,200,000 shares from September 28, 2025 to December 27, 2025, representing 0.42% of shares for $117.5m.
Analiz Güncellemesi • Jan 21

TSCO: New Store Expansion And Outdoor Offerings Will Support Future Upside

Analysts reduced their implied fair value estimate for Tractor Supply from about US$63.15 to US$61.22. They cited slightly softer revenue growth assumptions, a modestly higher discount rate, a small change in forecast profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple in their updated models.
Analiz Makalesi • Jan 06

Is Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:TSCO) Worth US$49.8 Based On Its Intrinsic Value?

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Tractor Supply fair value estimate is US$37.75 Current share...
Analiz Güncellemesi • Jan 06

TSCO: Expanded Outdoor Offerings And Ongoing Buybacks Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have made a small trim to their Tractor Supply fair value estimate to $63.15 from $63.44, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions around the discount rate, long term profit margin and future P/E while keeping revenue growth expectations effectively unchanged. What's in the News Cree LED filed a patent infringement lawsuit in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Illinois against Promier Products and Tractor Supply related to certain portable lighting products, citing multiple U.S. patents covering portable lighting designs and performance (Lawsuits & Legal Issues).
Analiz Güncellemesi • Dec 20

TSCO: Expanded Outdoor Product Lineup Will Drive Future Earnings Upside

Narrative Update on Tractor Supply Analyst Price Target Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Tractor Supply slightly lower from approximately $63.74 to $63.44 per share, reflecting a modestly higher discount rate that more than offsets unchanged expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future valuation multiples. What's in the News Cree LED filed a patent infringement lawsuit against Tractor Supply and Promier Products in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Illinois, alleging unauthorized use of multiple Cree LED portable lighting patents in certain products sold by Tractor Supply (Key Developments).
Analiz Güncellemesi • Dec 06

TSCO: Expanded Outdoor Offerings Will Drive Future Earnings Upside

Narrative Update on Tractor Supply Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Tractor Supply modestly, from approximately 63.52 dollars to 63.74 dollars per share. They cite slightly higher expected profit margins and a marginally richer future earnings multiple, which more than offset a small trim to projected revenue growth and a higher discount rate.
Analiz Güncellemesi • Nov 22

TSCO: Expanding Outdoor Offerings And Rising Margins Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have maintained their price target for Tractor Supply at $63.52, with only marginal adjustments to key assumptions such as discount rate, revenue growth, and future profit margin. This reflects continued confidence in the company's outlook.
Analiz Güncellemesi • Nov 07

TSCO: Improved Profit Margins And Expanding Product Lines Will Drive Upside

Narrative Update on Tractor Supply: Analyst Price Target Revision Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Tractor Supply, increasing the estimated fair value from $63.30 to $63.52. This change is attributed to marginal improvements in profit margin and future price-to-earnings expectations.
Analiz Makalesi • Oct 28

Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:TSCO) Just Released Its Third-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

Last week saw the newest third-quarter earnings release from Tractor Supply Company ( NASDAQ:TSCO ), an important...
Analiz Güncellemesi • Oct 24

Share Repurchases And New Partnerships Will Drive Resilience And Earnings Momentum

Analysts have slightly increased their price target for Tractor Supply to $63.30 from $62.59. This adjustment is based on minor improvements in projected profit margins and fair value estimates.
Analiz Makalesi • Sep 29

Is Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:TSCO) A Risky Investment?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Analiz Makalesi • Jun 19

Tractor Supply's (NASDAQ:TSCO) Returns Have Hit A Wall

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...
Analiz Makalesi • May 29

Is Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:TSCO) Using Too Much Debt?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Seeking Alpha • Jan 31

Tractor Supply: Dividends From The Countryside

Summary Tractor Supply Company is a unique holding in my portfolio, maintaining resilience and growth amidst retail sector shifts. Tractor Supply caters to high-income rural lifestyle enthusiasts, ensuring frequent store visits and stable revenue. The company is expanding, adding 80–90 stores annually, enhancing digital sales, and remodeling existing stores for higher margins. In this article, we will go over the main points of the latest earnings release while understanding the 2025 trajectory TSCO wants to follow. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 16

Reversing My View On Tractor Supply: I'm Buying (Rating Upgrade)

Summary I was wrong about Tractor Supply; it's a compelling investment with a strong risk premium, despite some concerns about buybacks and rising debt. Financial results show slowing growth and deteriorating capital structure, but the dividend is well-covered and has grown impressively over the past 14 years. Valuation is key; the stock offers a 74% margin of safety over Treasury Notes, making it a rare, attractive risk-adjusted return. I'm buying a small position now and may increase it after a deeper review of the dividend sustainability when the 10-K is published. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 07

Rural Riches - Why Tractor Supply Is A Dividend Stock Worth Owning

Summary Tractor Supply Company has outperformed Home Depot and the S&P 500 since 2019 due to its unique "Life Out Here" strategy. TSCO focuses on rural lifestyle products, catering to recreational farmers and outdoor enthusiasts, differentiating itself from Home Depot's home improvement and professional contractor market. TSCO has achieved nearly 20% average annual EPS growth over the past two decades, with robust performance even during economic downturns. TSCO's ongoing business model improvements and strategic initiatives, including a 5-1 stock split, position it for continued success and investor excitement. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 17

Tractor Supply Company: Cautious Heading Into Q4

Summary I maintain a HOLD rating on TSCO due to its current overvaluation and items outside the company's control. TSCO's Q3 2024 earnings were largely in line with expectations, but the stock is trading at a 20% premium to historical multiples. The shift from retail to services spending and unseasonably warm weather pose risks to TSCO's near-term performance. Potential tailwinds include increased free cash flow after Project Fusion and expanded TAM with the Allivet acquisition, but these are longer-term benefits. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 15

Tractor Supply: Loyalty Program Improves Customer Engagement

Summary Tractor Supply's stock has surged over 270% since my 'Buy' rating in 2015, outperforming the S&P 500, with a new target price of $310. The acquisition of Orscheln Farm and Home enhances Tractor Supply's Midwest presence, strengthens supply chain, and eliminates a regional competitor. Despite weak consumer sentiment, Tractor Supply's Neighbor's Club loyalty program shows strong engagement, with 36 million members and growing store traffic. I estimate 8% total revenue growth, driven by same store sales and new store openings, with a one-year target price of $310 per share. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 14

Tractor Supply: More Than A 'Discretionary Goods' Retailer

Summary Tractor Supply is a leading retailer in the rural lifestyle sector, catering to farmers and pet owners with non-discretionary goods. Q2 2024 earnings showed a slight increase in net sales, with a loyal customer base offsetting soft consumer spending. Tractor Supply's balance sheet is healthy, with a focus on generating free cash flow and returning capital to shareholders. In this article, I update my research on the company and share what I am doing with my position. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Kazanç ve Gelir Büyüme Tahminleri

NasdaqGS:TSCO - Analistlerin gelecek tahminleri ve geçmiş finansal verileri (USD Millions )
TarihGelirKazançlarSerbest Nakit AkışıFaaliyetlerden NakitAvg. Analist Sayısı
12/31/202818,2951,3198662,02913
12/31/202717,1231,2051,0031,76326
12/31/202616,2171,1178071,73427
3/28/202615,6491,0815541,510N/A
12/27/202515,5241,0967401,635N/A
9/27/202515,3991,1059521,828N/A
6/28/202515,1481,0878201,606N/A
3/29/202514,9551,0826121,380N/A
12/28/202414,8831,1016371,421N/A
9/28/202414,7701,1135351,300N/A
6/29/202414,7131,1266151,369N/A
3/30/202414,6511,1228191,572N/A
12/30/202314,5561,1075801,334N/A
9/30/202314,9021,1308201,669N/A
7/1/202314,7611,1096561,514N/A
4/1/202314,4801,0854991,317N/A
12/31/202214,2051,0895841,357N/A
9/24/202213,5181,039196893N/A
6/25/202213,2651,029278955N/A
3/26/202212,9631,0033811,021N/A
12/25/202112,7319975101,139N/A
9/25/202112,2909127461,261N/A
6/26/202111,8798787871,210N/A
3/27/202111,4548471,1231,488N/A
12/26/202010,6207491,1011,395N/A
9/26/20209,9347571,1681,402N/A
6/27/20209,3116891,2351,456N/A
3/28/20208,489569690909N/A
12/28/20198,352562N/A812N/A
9/28/20198,293555N/A755N/A
6/29/20198,191550N/A769N/A
3/30/20198,050538N/A703N/A
12/29/20187,911532N/A694N/A
9/29/20187,731505N/A644N/A
6/30/20187,571480N/A678N/A
3/31/20187,375434N/A751N/A
12/30/20177,256423N/A631N/A
9/30/20177,220436N/A706N/A
7/1/20177,041434N/A600N/A
4/1/20176,876430N/A443N/A
12/31/20166,780437N/A651N/A
9/24/20166,510425N/A471N/A
6/25/20166,443423N/A474N/A
3/26/20166,363420N/A459N/A
12/26/20156,227410N/A456N/A
9/26/20156,164411N/A485N/A
6/27/20156,048400N/A476N/A

Analist Gelecek Büyüme Tahminleri

Kazançlar ve Tasarruf Oranları: TSCO 'nin tahmini kazanç büyümesi (yıllık 7.6% ) tasarruf oranının ( 3.5% ) üzerindedir.

Kazançlar ve Piyasa: TSCO şirketinin kazançlarının (yıllık 7.6% ) US pazarından (yıllık 16.6% ) daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.

Yüksek Büyüme Kazançları: TSCO şirketinin kazançlarının artması bekleniyor, ancak önemli ölçüde.

Gelir ve Pazar: TSCO şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 5.6% ) US pazarından (yıllık 11.5% ) daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.

Yüksek Büyüme Geliri: TSCO şirketinin gelirinin (yıllık 5.6% ) yıllık 20% oranından daha yavaş büyümesi öngörülüyor.

Hisse Başına Kazanç Büyüme Tahminleri

Gelecekteki Özkaynak Getirisi

Gelecekteki ROE: TSCO 'in Özsermaye Getirisi'nin 3 yıl içinde yüksek olması tahmin ediliyor ( 38.5 %)

Büyüyen şirketleri keşfedin

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Şirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu

VeriSon Güncelleme (UTC saati)
Şirket Analizi2026/05/07 16:31
Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı2026/05/07 00:00
Kazançlar2026/03/28
Yıllık Kazançlar2025/12/27

Veri Kaynakları

Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.

PaketVeriZaman ÇerçevesiÖrnek ABD Kaynağı *
Şirket Finansalları10 yıl
  • Gelir tablosu
  • Nakit akış tablosu
  • Bilanço
Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri+3 yıl
  • Finansal tahminler
  • Analist fiyat hedefleri
Piyasa Fiyatları30 yıl
  • Hisse senedi fiyatları
  • Temettüler, Bölünmeler ve Eylemler
Sahiplik10 yıl
  • En büyük hissedarlar
  • İçeriden öğrenenlerin ticareti
Yönetim10 yıl
  • Liderlik ekibi
  • Yönetim Kurulu
Önemli Gelişmeler10 yıl
  • Şirket duyuruları

* ABD menkul kıymetleri için örnek, ABD dışı için eşdeğer düzenleyici formlar ve kaynaklar kullanılmıştır.

Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.

Analiz Modeli ve Kar Tanesi

Bu raporu oluşturmak için kullanılan analiz modelinin ayrıntılarına GitHub sayfamızdan ulaşabilirsiniz, ayrıca raporlarımızı nasıl kullanacağınızı anlatan kılavuzlarımız ve Youtube'da eğitim videolarımız da bulunmaktadır.

Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan dünya standartlarındaki ekip hakkında bilgi edinin.

Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri

Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.

Analist Kaynakları

Tractor Supply Company 49 Bu analistlerden 27, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.

AnalistKurum
Deborah CiervoArgus Research Company
Peter BenedictBaird
Helen PanBarclays