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TSCO: Improved Profit Margins And Expanding Product Lines Will Drive Upside

Update shared on 07 Nov 2025

Fair value Increased 0.35%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-6.1%
7D
-4.5%

Narrative Update on Tractor Supply: Analyst Price Target Revision

Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Tractor Supply, increasing the estimated fair value from $63.30 to $63.52. This change is attributed to marginal improvements in profit margin and future price-to-earnings expectations.

What's in the News

  • Tractor Supply expanded its exclusive Field & Stream product lineup and is now offering a full range of hunting equipment, premium dog products, apparel, and accessories both in stores and online. (Key Developments)
  • The company launched the Field & Stream Pet Collection, which includes outdoor-ready beds, toys, travel kennels, and a protein-rich food and treat line designed for active dogs. (Key Developments)
  • Tractor Supply introduced an exclusive women's apparel collection in collaboration with Molly Yeh. The collection features durable, colorful, farm-inspired styles available nationwide and online. (Key Developments)
  • The company raised its earnings guidance for fiscal year 2025, forecasting net sales growth of 4.6% to 5.6%, and net income between $1.09 billion and $1.14 billion. (Key Developments)
  • Tractor Supply repurchased 1.3 million shares from June to September 2025, bringing total buybacks since 2007 to over 70.7 million shares. (Key Developments)

Valuation Changes

  • The consensus analyst price target has risen slightly, moving from $63.30 to $63.52.
  • The discount rate increased modestly from 8.59% to 8.65%.
  • Revenue growth expectations fell marginally, adjusting from 7.23% to 7.22%.
  • The net profit margin improved slightly, up from 7.62% to 7.63%.
  • The future P/E ratio increased slightly, from 28.91x to 29.02x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.