The Progressive Corporation

NYSE:PGR Stok Raporu

Piyasa değeri: US$131.7b

Progressive Geçmiş Kazanç Performansı

Geçmiş kriter kontrolleri 4/6

Progressive yıllık ortalama 32.7% oranında kazançlarını artırırken, Insurance sektöründe kazançlar growing at 14.6% annual. Gelirler growing yılda ortalama 15.6% oranında artmaktadır. Progressive'in özkaynak karlılığı 36.1% ve net marjı 12.9%'dir.

Anahtar bilgiler

32.67%

Kazanç büyüme oranı

32.61%

EPS büyüme oranı

Insurance Sektör Büyümesi8.02%
Gelir büyüme oranı15.62%
Özkaynak getirisi36.08%
Net Marj12.93%
Sonraki Kazanç Güncellemesi15 Jul 2026

Yakın geçmiş performans güncellemeleri

Recent updates

Anlatı Güncellemesi Jun 25

PGR: AI And Underwriting Discipline Will Support Stronger Margins Through 2028

Analysts have trimmed the Progressive fair value estimate by about $6 to $284.11, reflecting lower margin and P/E assumptions after recent price target reductions of around $2 to $18 across several research firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Progressive points to a mixed but generally constructive tone, with several bullish analysts highlighting long term earnings potential, valuation support, and execution on underwriting and expense discipline.
Seeking Alpha Jun 13

Progressive Corporation: Exceptional Growth But Normalizing Margins

Summary Progressive Corporation maintains exceptional market-share gains and strong underwriting but faces near-term EPS declines despite continued revenue growth. PGR is reinvesting profitability into customer acquisition and selective rate reductions, leading to margin pressure as competition intensifies and peers restore profitability. Consensus expects PGR's EPS to decline through 2028, with valuation at 12.5x forward earnings reflecting anticipated margin normalization and limited near-term earnings growth. I maintain a cautious buy on PGR, citing robust capital efficiency, a resilient market position, and reasonable valuation despite margin risks and a less attractive yield profile. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Anlatı Güncellemesi Jun 07

PGR: AI Expense Efficiencies Will Support Underwriting Discipline And Earnings Resilience

Analysts have nudged Progressive's implied fair value higher to about $291 from roughly $284, while slightly adjusting discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions, citing mixed recent earnings trends and growing interest in the company's potential role in the emerging AI economy. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Progressive shows a mix of higher and lower price targets, with several bullish analysts highlighting the company's potential earnings power and role in the developing use of AI across insurance.
Anlatı Güncellemesi May 24

PGR: AI Expense Efficiencies Will Sustain Earnings Power Despite Softer Pricing

Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Progressive slightly lower to about $231 from roughly $232, reflecting modest reductions to long term earnings expectations after recent price target cuts tied to April's catastrophe losses and concerns about softer auto pricing power. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a mix of optimism and caution around Progressive, with price targets being nudged both higher and lower as analysts recalibrate expectations after the April earnings miss and shifting views on auto pricing power.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Apr 23

PGR: Expense Efficiencies And Underwriting Discipline Will Support Earnings Through Cycle Changes

Analysts now see Progressive's fair value at $284.03, down from $302.85. This reflects updated views on slightly softer revenue growth, a modestly lower profit margin outlook, and a reduced future P/E multiple, even as recent Street targets have moved both higher and lower on near term pricing power, claims trends, and expense efficiency.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Apr 07

PGR: AI Expense Efficiencies Will Support Future Earnings Despite Softer Expectations

Analyst price targets for Progressive have edged lower by about $1, reflecting slightly softer assumptions on revenue growth and margins, even as many analysts still highlight areas like AI driven expense efficiencies and personal auto policy growth in their views. Analyst Commentary Street research on Progressive has turned more cautious on valuation, with a series of target cuts across banks and research houses, even as some firms still point to execution strengths in core auto and expense management.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Mar 24

PGR: Policy In Force Expansion And Efficiency Gains Will Support Future Earnings

Analysts have trimmed the Progressive price target by about $5 to reflect slightly lower assumptions for fair value, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E. They cite softer auto pricing power, modestly lower premium growth, and a more competitive personal auto market, while also highlighting operating efficiencies and policy-in-force growth as ongoing supports.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Mar 09

PGR: Softening Cycle And Policy Momentum Will Support Future Earnings Power

The Analyst Price Target for Progressive edges down by about $1 to $238.10 as analysts factor in slightly lower valuation multiples, modestly softer premium growth, and more conservative assumptions for net investment income, while still recognizing steady policy growth and profitability expectations reflected in recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a mix of cautious tweaks and ongoing confidence in Progressive, with most firms trimming price targets rather than making wholesale changes to their broader views on the business.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Feb 23

PGR: Softening Cycle And Policy Momentum Will Support Future Earnings Power

Our fair value estimate for Progressive has been trimmed by about $10 to $239, as analysts factor in slightly softer premium and policy growth, modest pressure on margins, and more conservative assumptions for investment income and future P/E multiples following a series of lower Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Progressive reflects a mixed but generally engaged view, with multiple firms fine-tuning their price targets and assumptions rather than making wholesale shifts in stance.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Feb 09

PGR: Underwriting Strength And Policy Momentum Will Support Earnings Through Cycle Changes

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Progressive, with the updated fair value estimate moving from about $325 to about $303 as they factor in expectations for softer revenue growth, a slightly higher discount rate, a lower future P/E, and modestly higher profit margins. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Progressive has been mixed, but there are several clear positive threads that stand out for investors watching how professionals are framing the story.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Jan 24

PGR: Softening Insurance Cycle Will Test But Not Derail Earnings Power

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Progressive, lowering our fair value estimate by about $6 to $248.98. This reflects slightly lower assumed profit margins and a reduced future P/E multiple, partially offset by modestly higher revenue growth expectations.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Jan 09

PGR: Softer P&C Cycle Will Pressure Margins Despite Policy Momentum

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Progressive from US$215.56 to US$191.52, as they factor in softer P&C pricing and a lower future P/E of about 15x, while still seeing support from personal lines trends and policy growth. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Progressive reflects a mix of optimism on policy growth and margin resilience, alongside a more cautious tone on the broader P&C cycle and the stock's valuation.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Dec 26

PGR: Reaccelerating Auto Policy Additions Will Drive Earnings Power Through 2025

Analysts have nudged our fair value estimate for Progressive slightly lower to $255.13 from $257.44, reflecting a modest reset in top-line growth expectations, while still highlighting resilient underwriting profitability, accelerating personal auto policy growth, and lighter catastrophe losses that together support higher earnings power over time. Analyst Commentary Street research on Progressive reflects a broadly constructive fundamental backdrop with some valuation discipline and event driven caution.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Dec 12

PGR: Strong Underwriting And Policy Momentum Will Drive Earnings Power Ahead

Analysts modestly reduced their price target on Progressive to about $325 from roughly $344, reflecting slightly lower assumptions for revenue growth and profit margins. They also cite resilient policy growth, solid underwriting performance, and ongoing earnings power as supporting the stock's longer term value.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Nov 27

PGR: Improving Margins And Customer Additions Will Drive Stronger Performance Through 2025

Progressive's analyst price target has been modestly lowered, declining by approximately $2 to around $257, as analysts cite recent fluctuations in policy growth and underlying profitability trends that support their revised outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst commentary on Progressive reflects a dynamic outlook, with both bullish and bearish perspectives shaping the current consensus.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Nov 13

PGR: Sustained Margin Strength And Share Repurchases Will Support Outperformance Ahead

The analyst price target for Progressive has been revised downward by nearly $2 to approximately $259 per share. Analysts cite recent policyholder credits and mixed sector performance as reasons for moderating expectations.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Oct 30

PGR: Earnings Momentum Will Outpace Sector Headwinds Amid Market Shifts

Progressive's analyst price target has been revised downward from approximately $273 to $261, as analysts cite industry underperformance and company-specific developments such as lower than expected premium growth and the impact of one-time items on near-term results. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Progressive highlights a nuanced outlook, with both optimistic and cautious perspectives shaping the investment case.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Oct 15

Advanced Analytics Will Reshape Auto Insurance Amid Competition Risks

Progressive's analyst price target has decreased modestly, dropping by $5.42 to $272.74. Analysts point to slower revenue growth and profit margin pressures, partially offset by industry-wide improvements in catastrophe losses and continued earnings resilience.
Anlatı Güncellemesi Sep 19

Advanced Analytics Will Reshape Auto Insurance Amid Competition Risks

Progressive’s consensus price target was revised downward to $278.16, as analysts balanced solid recent earnings and investment income against growing concerns over softer policy growth, intensifying competition, and margin normalization, which are expected to cap near-term upside. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite recent earnings outperformance, particularly in July and August, driving upward EPS revisions and improved investment income outlooks despite ongoing competitive pressures.
Analiz Makalesi Sep 18

Progressive (NYSE:PGR) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.10

The board of The Progressive Corporation ( NYSE:PGR ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.10 per share on...
Anlatı Güncellemesi Sep 04

Advanced Analytics Will Reshape Auto Insurance Amid Competition Risks

Analysts cite persistent profit margin strength but growing caution around slowing growth prospects, increased competition, and sector headwinds—factors that offset upside potential and result in the consensus Analyst Price Target remaining unchanged at $283.56. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite Progressive's consistent outperformance on profit margins, with recent operating EPS beats exceeding expectations and normalized underwriting margin forecasts being revised slightly higher into 2027.
Analiz Makalesi Aug 21

Progressive (NYSE:PGR) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.10

The Progressive Corporation's ( NYSE:PGR ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.10 per share on 10th of...
Seeking Alpha Apr 21

Progressive Corporation: Performance Remains Strong, But Valuation Is Elevated

Summary Progressive Corporation has gained 27% over the past year, retaining most gains despite market sell-off, with solid Q1 results indicating strong performance. PGR's frequent monthly reporting provides transparency. Q1 earnings missed by $0.35 due to $212 million in securities losses, but revenue surged 17% with strong premium growth. Investments in technology and AI have increased expenses, but improved loss performance and a strong combined ratio suggest future profitability and operational efficiency. Despite potential headwinds from higher car prices due to tariffs, Progressive's clean balance sheet, strong underwriting, and defensive nature make it a 'Hold' with a full valuation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Apr 12

The Progressive Corporation: Earnings Have Exploded, Take Advantage Of Recent Price Drop And Buy

Summary Progressive is rated a buy due to its record-breaking financial performance, robust growth in net premiums, and significant market share gains in 2024. Despite a recent share price drop, PGR has seen a 239% gain over 5 years and continues to outperform its peers. PGR's revenue nearly doubled in 5 years, with net income up 11.5x in two years, driven by strategic advertising and policy growth. The P&C insurance industry remains resilient amidst economic uncertainties, making PGR a strong investment opportunity with continued earnings growth potential. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 18

Progressive: Fundamentally Strong, But Earning Multiples Are Elevated, Hold For Now

Summary Progressive Corp reported strong Q4 and FY results, with a 21% increase in net written premiums and over 5 million new policies in 2024. The company is well-positioned for 2025, with improved pricing expected to support margin expansion and EPS growth, despite a slightly elevated valuation multiple. Risks include market saturation, potential recession impacts, and a slowdown in growth rates, which could affect investor expectations and valuation. I rate Progressive a 'hold' due to its strong fundamentals but elevated earnings multiple, awaiting a better entry point. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Gelir ve Gider Dağılımı

Progressive nasıl para kazanır ve harcar. LTM bazında en son bildirilen kazançlara dayanmaktadır.


Kazanç ve Gelir Geçmişi

NYSE:PGR Gelir, gider ve kazançlar (USD Millions )
TarihGelirKazançlarG+A GiderleriAr-Ge Giderleri
31 Mar 2689,41511,55900
31 Dec 2587,63711,30800
30 Sep 2585,16610,71300
30 Jun 2582,37610,43200
31 Mar 2578,5088,71600
31 Dec 2475,3438,46300
30 Sep 2471,9618,08500
30 Jun 2467,8026,86200
31 Mar 2465,0225,73800
31 Dec 2362,0833,86500
30 Sep 2358,6612,70700
30 Jun 2355,8821,71400
31 Mar 2352,04882800
31 Dec 2249,58769500
30 Sep 2248,60983100
30 Jun 2247,68782500
31 Mar 2248,0732,15800
31 Dec 2147,6773,32400
30 Sep 2146,6024,046150
30 Jun 2145,6925,458440
31 Mar 2144,7606,4591,0770
31 Dec 2042,6385,6781,0770
30 Sep 2041,9635,0641,0620
30 Jun 2040,5454,3751,0330
31 Mar 2039,0223,56400
31 Dec 1938,9983,94300
30 Sep 1936,2923,13700
30 Jun 1935,2573,22400
31 Mar 1933,8242,94900
31 Dec 1831,9552,59400
30 Sep 1831,0412,91200
30 Jun 1829,3372,21500
31 Mar 1827,9241,88500
31 Dec 1726,8161,59200
30 Sep 1725,8231,39900
30 Jun 1724,9671,37400
31 Mar 1724,1811,19700
31 Dec 1623,4171,03100
30 Sep 1622,69097800
30 Jun 1622,0291,05800
31 Mar 1621,4951,23000
31 Dec 1520,8321,26800
30 Sep 1520,6091,30700

Kaliteli Kazançlar: PGR yüksek kaliteli kazançlar sağlıyor.

Büyüyen Kar Marjı: PGR 'nin mevcut net kar marjları (12.9%) geçen yılın (11.1%) sinden daha yüksektir.


Serbest Nakit Akışı ve Kazanç Analizi


Geçmiş Kazanç Büyüme Analizi

Kazanç Eğilimi: PGR şirketinin kazançları son 5 yılda yılda 32.7% oranında önemli ölçüde arttı.

Büyüme Hızlandırma: PGR 'un son bir yıldaki kazanç büyümesi ( 32.6% ) 5 yıllık ortalamasının ( 32.7% /yıl) altındadır.

Kazançlar vs. Sektör: PGR geçen yılki kazanç büyümesi ( 32.6% ) Insurance sektörünün 36.2% performansını geride bırakmadı.


Özkaynak Getirisi

Yüksek ROE: PGR 'nin Özsermaye Getirisi ( 36.1% ) yüksek olarak değerlendiriliyor.


Varlık Getirisi


Kullanılan Sermaye Getirisi


Geçmişte güçlü performans gösteren şirketleri keşfedin

Şirket Analizi ve Finansal Veri Durumu

VeriSon Güncelleme (UTC saati)
Şirket Analizi2026/07/02 04:20
Gün Sonu Hisse Fiyatı2026/07/02 00:00
Kazançlar2026/03/31
Yıllık Kazançlar2025/12/31

Veri Kaynakları

Şirket analizimizde kullanılan veriler S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC'den alınmıştır. Bu raporu oluşturmak için analiz modelimizde aşağıdaki veriler kullanılmıştır. Veriler normalize edilmiştir, bu da kaynağın mevcut olmasından kaynaklanan bir gecikmeye neden olabilir.

PaketVeriZaman ÇerçevesiÖrnek ABD Kaynağı *
Şirket Finansalları10 yıl
  • Gelir tablosu
  • Nakit akış tablosu
  • Bilanço
Analist Konsensüs Tahminleri+3 yıl
  • Finansal tahminler
  • Analist fiyat hedefleri
Piyasa Fiyatları30 yıl
  • Hisse senedi fiyatları
  • Temettüler, Bölünmeler ve Eylemler
Sahiplik10 yıl
  • En büyük hissedarlar
  • İçeriden öğrenenlerin ticareti
Yönetim10 yıl
  • Liderlik ekibi
  • Yönetim Kurulu
Önemli Gelişmeler10 yıl
  • Şirket duyuruları

* ABD menkul kıymetleri için örnek, ABD dışı için eşdeğer düzenleyici formlar ve kaynaklar kullanılmıştır.

Belirtilmediği sürece tüm finansal veriler yıllık bir döneme dayanmaktadır ancak üç ayda bir güncellenmektedir. Bu, İzleyen On İki Ay (TTM) veya Son On İki Ay (LTM) Verileri olarak bilinir. Daha fazla bilgi edinin.

Analiz Modeli ve Kar Tanesi

Bu raporu oluşturmak için kullanılan analiz modelinin ayrıntıları GitHub sayfamızda mevcuttur; ayrıca raporlarımızı nasıl kullanacağınıza dair kılavuzlarımız ve YouTube'da eğitim videolarımız da bulunmaktadır.

Simply Wall St analiz modelini tasarlayan ve oluşturan dünya standartlarındaki ekip hakkında bilgi edinin.

Endüstri ve Sektör Metrikleri

Sektör ve bölüm metriklerimiz Simply Wall St tarafından her 6 saatte bir hesaplanmaktadır, sürecimizin ayrıntıları Github'da mevcuttur.

Analist Kaynakları

The Progressive Corporation 40 Bu analistlerden 14, raporumuzun girdisi olarak kullanılan gelir veya kazanç tahminlerini sunmuştur. Analistlerin gönderimleri gün boyunca güncellenmektedir.

AnalistKurum
Jacob KilsteinArgus Research Company
Taylor ScottBarclays
Jay GelbBarclays