Alcoa Corporation

NYSE:AA Aktierapport

Börsvärde: US$16.8b

Alcoa Framtida tillväxt

Future kriterier kontrolleras 1/6

Alcoa förväntas öka intäkter och intäkter med 8.9% respektive 2.5% per år. EPS förväntas tillväxt med 5.3% per år. Avkastningen på eget kapital förväntas bli 18.2% om 3 år.

Viktig information

8.9%

Tillväxttakt i vinsten

5.30%

Tillväxttakt för EPS

Metals and Mining vinsttillväxt14.5%
Intäkternas tillväxttakt2.5%
Framtida avkastning på eget kapital18.24%
Bevakning av analytiker

Good

Senast uppdaterad30 Apr 2026

Senaste uppdateringarna om framtida tillväxt

Recent updates

AA: Higher Margin Outlook And Production Plans Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have lifted their price target for Alcoa to $73.87 from $72.48, reflecting updated expectations around potential revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower assumed future P/E multiple. What's in the News Alcoa reported first quarter 2026 production results, with Bauxite output of 9.1 mdmt compared with 9.5 mdmt a year earlier, Alumina production of 2,355 kmt in line with the prior year, and Aluminum production of 607 kmt compared with 564 kmt a year ago (Key Developments).

AA: Updated Output Plans And Margins Will Shape Measured Future Returns

Analysts have revised their price target for Alcoa to approximately $72, up from about $67, citing updated assumptions around fair value, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels as key drivers of the change. What's in the News Alcoa reported fourth quarter 2025 production with Bauxite at 9.4 mdmt versus 9.3 mdmt a year earlier, Alumina at 2,481 kmt versus 2,390 kmt, and Aluminum at 604 kmt versus 571 kmt (Announcement of Operating Results).

Alcoa Can See Tailwinds Driven By Geopolitical Risk

Apr 08

AA: Higher Output And Trading Volumes Will Likely Still Fail To Justify Pricing

Analysts now place Alcoa's price target at about $46.37, compared with the prior $38.00. This reflects updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin, discount rate, and future P/E levels.

AA: Production Plans And Margin Expectations Will Guide Balanced Future Returns

Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Alcoa to $66.92 from $61.42, reflecting updated assumptions on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Alcoa issued production guidance for 2026, targeting total Alumina segment production between 9.7 and 9.9 million metric tons, with shipments between 11.8 and 12.0 million metric tons, reflecting the role of trading volumes and externally sourced alumina in meeting customer contracts (company guidance).

AA: Production Guidance And Margin Assumptions Will Shape Balanced Future Returns

Analysts have nudged their Alcoa price target slightly higher to $61.42 from $61.08, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Alcoa issued 2026 production guidance for its Alumina segment, with expected production between 9.7 million and 9.9 million metric tons and shipments between 11.8 million and 12.0 million metric tons, reflecting the use of trading volumes and externally sourced alumina to meet customer contracts (Corporate guidance).

AA: Higher Margins And Production Will Still Likely Fail To Justify Pricing

Analysts have raised their price target on Alcoa from $33.00 to $38.00, citing updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth expectations, profit margin outlook, and a revised future P/E multiple. What's in the News Alcoa issued production guidance for 2025 and outlined expectations for 2026, with the Alumina segment projected to produce between 9.7 and 9.9 million metric tons in 2026, and shipments expected between 11.8 and 12.0 million metric tons, reflecting a mix of internal production, trading volumes, and externally sourced alumina to meet customer contracts (company guidance).

AA: Low Carbon Smelting And Margin Assumptions Will Shape Balanced Future Returns

Analysts have raised their price target on Alcoa from US$45.42 to US$61.08. They cite updates in their models that reflect revised assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples.

AA: Future Decarbonization Benefits Will Likely Fail To Justify Current Pricing

Analysts have lifted their price target on Alcoa from US$27.00 to US$33.00, pointing to updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and a lower future P/E as key drivers of the change. What's in the News Alcoa, Ball Corporation and Unilever announced the first use of ELYSIS carbon free smelting technology in consumer personal and home care packaging, using aluminum that eliminates direct smelting greenhouse gas emissions and generates oxygen instead of CO2 (Key Developments).

AA: Carbon Free Smelting And Energy Moves Will Support Balanced Long Term Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on Alcoa from approximately $42 to $58 per share, citing expectations for faster revenue growth, significantly higher profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple. Together, these factors support a meaningfully higher fair value estimate.

Alcoa Corporation's (NYSE:AA) Share Price Boosted 29% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

Dec 30
Alcoa Corporation's (NYSE:AA) Share Price Boosted 29% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

AA: Low Carbon Smelting Shift Will Likely Pressure Future Returns

Narrative Update on Alcoa Analysts have raised their price target on Alcoa by approximately 10 percent to around 45 dollars per share, citing expectations for modestly stronger revenue growth, materially improved profit margins, and a more attractive forward earnings multiple. What's in the News Alcoa, Ball and Unilever unveiled the first consumer packaging using ELYSIS carbon free smelting technology, combining low carbon primary aluminum with recycled content to create one of the lowest footprint aerosol cans on the market (company announcement).

AA: Low Carbon Initiatives And Portfolio Reshaping Will Define Future Performance

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Alcoa from approximately 39.54 dollars to 41.29 dollars, citing higher long term revenue growth expectations and a richer future earnings multiple, despite a lower projected profit margin and slightly higher discount rate. What's in the News Alcoa, Ball and Unilever unveiled the first consumer packaging using ELYSIS carbon free smelting technology in low carbon aerosol cans ahead of COP30, highlighting a major step toward decarbonized aluminum supply chains (Key Developments).

AA: Measured Shifts in Operations and Partnerships Will Shape Future Performance

Narrative Update on Alcoa: Analyst Price Target Adjustment Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for Alcoa, revising the price target from $39.63 to $39.54 per share. This change reflects modest adjustments to outlooks on discount rate and growth assumptions.

AA: Future Investments and Facility Upgrades Will Drive Shareholder Value

Analysts have raised their price target for Alcoa slightly. The new target is $39.63, up from $39.21.

Analysts Raise Alcoa Price Target as New Partnerships and Plant Closure Drive Valuation Upward

Alcoa's analyst price target has increased from $36.64 to $39.21. This change reflects improved revenue growth and profit margin projections according to analysts.

Tariff Volatility And Recycled Materials Will Erode Primary Aluminum Margins

Analysts have raised their price target for Alcoa from $34.09 to $36.64. They cite improved forecast profit margins and lower expected future price-to-earnings ratios as key factors in their updated outlook.

Tariff Volatility And Recycled Materials Will Erode Primary Aluminum Margins

Despite a notable downgrade in revenue growth expectations, an improved net profit margin has offset this impact, resulting in a slight increase in Alcoa's analyst price target from $33.55 to $34.09. What's in the News Held Analyst/Investor Day event.
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Australia Refinancing And San Ciprián Restart Will Support Stable Operations

Strategic refinancing and joint ventures are expected to enhance cash flow, reduce interest expenses, and stabilize revenue.

Alcoa's Q1 2025 Review: Tariff Hurts, But Game Isn't Over

Apr 18

Alcoa And The Aluminum Market: A Point Of Tension And Growth

Mar 30

The 'Trump Factor' In Action: Why I'm Bullish On Alcoa

Feb 11

Alcoa: The Tides Have Shifted To A Bullish Market

Jan 30

Alcoa: Learn How To Trade A Sentiment-Based Stock (Technical Analysis)

Jan 06

Alcoa Corporation: Bearish Market, And Tariff Uncertainty Blur Positive Signals, Hold

Dec 31

Alcoa's Financial Position Is Improving: Upgraded To A Buy Rating

Sep 22

Prognoser för vinst- och omsättningstillväxt

NYSE:AA - Analytikernas framtida uppskattningar och tidigare finansiella data (USD Millions )
DatumIntäkterIntäkterFritt kassaflödeKassaflöde från rörelsenGenomsnittligt Antal analytiker
12/31/202814,9362,0761,7892,34910
12/31/202715,0291,8011,3191,98913
12/31/202614,8291,8628401,45713
3/31/202612,6551,027287931N/A
12/31/202512,8311,1415671,185N/A
9/30/202512,8681,1295191,063N/A
6/30/202512,7779895821,121N/A
3/31/202512,665847348920N/A
12/31/202411,8955642622N/A
9/30/202411,004-293-194405N/A
6/30/202410,702-550-267331N/A
3/31/202410,480-672-51831N/A
12/31/202310,551-651-44091N/A
9/30/202310,619-896-50311N/A
6/30/202310,868-1,474-42176N/A
3/31/202311,828-823136625N/A
12/31/202212,451-123342822N/A
9/30/202213,128-1208071,269N/A
6/30/202213,3869631,1531,570N/A
3/31/202212,575723559948N/A
12/31/202112,152429530920N/A
9/30/202111,20481745393N/A
6/30/202110,460431-223116N/A
3/31/20219,775-75153490N/A
12/31/20209,286-17041394N/A
9/30/20209,330-469242618N/A
6/30/20209,532-641245634N/A
3/31/202010,095-84627428N/A
12/31/201910,433-1,125N/A686N/A
9/30/201911,341-771N/A959N/A
6/30/201912,164-556N/A1,073N/A
3/31/201913,032-144N/A561N/A
12/31/201813,403250N/A448N/A
9/30/201813,2333N/A368N/A
6/30/201812,807122N/A464N/A
3/31/201812,087187N/A1,205N/A
12/31/201711,652279N/A1,224N/A
9/30/201711,015288N/A1,008N/A
6/30/201710,380165N/A515N/A
3/31/20179,84435N/A122N/A
12/31/20169,318-400N/A-311N/A
9/30/20169,232-1,101N/A-497N/A
6/30/20169,582-1,215N/A-77N/A
3/31/201610,223-1,239N/A254N/A
12/31/201511,199-863N/A875N/A

Analytiker Framtid Tillväxt Prognoser

Intäkter kontra sparande: AA s prognostiserade vinsttillväxt ( 8.9% per år) är över sparkvoten ( 3.4% ).

Resultat vs marknad: AA s intäkter ( 8.9% per år) förväntas växa långsammare än marknaden för US ( 15.8% per år).

Höga tillväxtresultat: AA s intäkter förväntas växa, men inte avsevärt.

Intäkt vs marknad: AA s intäkter ( 2.5% per år) förväntas växa långsammare än marknaden för US ( 11% per år).

Hög tillväxtintäkter: AA s intäkter ( 2.5% per år) förväntas växa långsammare än 20% per år.

Tillväxtprognoser för vinst per aktie

Framtida avkastning på eget kapital

Framtida ROE: AA s avkastning på eget kapital förväntas bli låg om 3 år ( 18.2 %).

Upptäck tillväxtföretag

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Företagsanalys och finansiella data Status

UppgifterSenast uppdaterad (UTC-tid)
Analys av företag2026/05/01 03:04
Aktiekurs vid dagens slut2026/05/01 00:00
Intäkter2026/03/31
Årlig intjäning2025/12/31

Datakällor

Den data som används i vår företagsanalys kommer från S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Följande data används i vår analysmodell för att generera denna rapport. Data är normaliserade vilket kan medföra en fördröjning från det att källan är tillgänglig.

PaketUppgifterTidsramExempel US-källa
Företagets finansiella ställning10 år
  • Resultaträkning
  • Kassaflödesanalys
  • Balansräkning
Analytikernas konsensusuppskattningar+3 år
  • Prognos för finansiella poster
  • Analytikernas prismål
Marknadspriser30 år
  • Aktiekurser
  • Utdelningar, splittar och åtgärder
Ägarskap10 år
  • Största aktieägare
  • Insiderhandel
Förvaltning10 år
  • Ledningsgrupp
  • Styrelse och verkställande direktörer
Viktiga utvecklingstendenser10 år
  • Företagsmeddelanden

* Exempel för amerikanska värdepapper, för icke-amerikanska värdepapper används motsvarande regelverk och källor.

Om inget annat anges är all finansiell data baserad på en årsperiod men uppdateras kvartalsvis. Detta kallas data för efterföljande tolv månader (TTM) eller senaste tolv månader (LTM). Lär dig mer om detta.

Analysmodell och snöflinga

Detaljer om analysmodellen som användes för att skapa den här rapporten finns på vår Github-sida, vi har också guider om hur du använder våra rapporter och tutorials på Youtube.

Lär dig mer om det team i världsklass som utformade och byggde analysmodellen Simply Wall St.

Industri- och sektormått

Våra bransch- och sektionsmått beräknas var sjätte timme av Simply Wall St, detaljer om vår process finns tillgängliga på Github.

Källor för analytiker

Alcoa Corporation bevakas av 29 analytiker. 13 av dessa analytiker lämnade de uppskattningar av intäkter eller resultat som användes som indata till vår rapport. Analytikernas inskickade estimat uppdateras löpande under dagen.

AnalytikerInstitution
David ColemanArgus Research Company
Dale KoendersBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Paretosh MisraBerenberg