Stock Analysis

PBT Group's (JSE:PBG) Dividend Will Be Increased To ZAR0.34

JSE:PBG
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The board of PBT Group Limited (JSE:PBG) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of ZAR0.34 on the 22nd of July, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. The payment will take the dividend yield to 9.3%, which is in line with the average for the industry.

See our latest analysis for PBT Group

PBT Group's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

We like to see a healthy dividend yield, but that is only helpful to us if the payment can continue. Based on the last payment, PBT Group's profits didn't cover the dividend, but the company was generating enough cash instead. Healthy cash flows are always a positive sign, especially when they quite easily cover the dividend.

Over the next year, EPS could expand by 28.2% if recent trends continue. Under the assumption that the dividend will continue along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 74% which would be quite comfortable going to take the dividend forward.

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JSE:PBG Historic Dividend July 2nd 2024

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ZAR0.58 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ZAR0.60. Its dividends have grown at less than 1% per annum over this time frame. We're glad to see the dividend has risen, but with a limited rate of growth and fluctuations in the payments the total shareholder return may be limited.

PBT Group's Dividend Might Lack Growth

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. PBT Group has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 28% per annum. Although earnings per share is up nicely PBT Group is paying out 96% of its earnings as dividends, which we feel is borderline unsustainable without extenuating circumstances.

In Summary

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think PBT Group will make a great income stock. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 2 warning signs for PBT Group that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.