Stock Analysis

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying MAS P.L.C. (JSE:MSP)?

JSE:MSP
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MAS P.L.C. (JSE:MSP), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the JSE, rising to highs of R22.68 and falling to the lows of R19.00. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether MAS' current trading price of R20.60 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at MAS’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for MAS

What Is MAS Worth?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 9.1% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy MAS today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth ZAR22.66, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. Furthermore, MAS’s low beta implies that the stock is less volatile than the wider market.

What kind of growth will MAS generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
JSE:MSP Earnings and Revenue Growth June 28th 2023

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With revenues expected to grow by a double-digit 23% over the next couple of years, the outlook is positive for MAS. If the level of expenses is able to be maintained, it looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? MSP’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on MSP, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. While conducting our analysis, we found that MAS has 2 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore these.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.