Stock Analysis
The board of Sygnia Limited (JSE:SYG) has announced that the dividend on 30th of December will be increased to ZAR1.27, which will be 3.3% higher than last year's payment of ZAR1.23 which covered the same period. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 9.2%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.
See our latest analysis for Sygnia
Sygnia's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Prior to this announcement, Sygnia's earnings easily covered the dividend, but free cash flows were negative. With the company not bringing in any cash, paying out to shareholders is bound to become difficult at some point.
EPS is set to grow by 21.4% over the next year if recent trends continue. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 94%, which is on the higher side, but certainly still feasible.
Sygnia's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency
It's comforting to see that Sygnia has been paying a dividend for a number of years now, however it has been cut at least once in that time. This suggests that the dividend might not be the most reliable. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was ZAR0.50, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ZAR2.13. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 17% a year over that time. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.
The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. It's encouraging to see that Sygnia has been growing its earnings per share at 21% a year over the past five years. Earnings per share is growing at a solid clip, and the payout ratio is low which we think is an ideal combination in a dividend stock as the company can quite easily raise the dividend in the future.
Our Thoughts On Sygnia's Dividend
Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. As an example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Sygnia that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About JSE:SYG
Sygnia
A financial services group, provides investment management and administration services to institutional and retail clients primarily in South Africa.