Stock Analysis

Is Dis-Chem Pharmacies (JSE:DCP) A Risky Investment?

JSE:DCP
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Dis-Chem Pharmacies Limited (JSE:DCP) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Dis-Chem Pharmacies

What Is Dis-Chem Pharmacies's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Dis-Chem Pharmacies had R1.01b of debt in August 2021, down from R1.15b, one year before. However, it also had R870.4m in cash, and so its net debt is R138.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
JSE:DCP Debt to Equity History February 24th 2022

How Strong Is Dis-Chem Pharmacies' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Dis-Chem Pharmacies had liabilities of R6.85b due within 12 months, and liabilities of R3.31b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of R870.4m as well as receivables valued at R2.11b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by R7.18b.

This deficit isn't so bad because Dis-Chem Pharmacies is worth R29.7b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. Carrying virtually no net debt, Dis-Chem Pharmacies has a very light debt load indeed.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

With net debt at just 0.082 times EBITDA, it seems Dis-Chem Pharmacies only uses a little bit of leverage. But EBIT was only 4.4 times the interest expense last year, so the borrowing is clearly weighing on the business somewhat. Dis-Chem Pharmacies grew its EBIT by 9.2% in the last year. That's far from incredible but it is a good thing, when it comes to paying off debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Dis-Chem Pharmacies's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Dis-Chem Pharmacies produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 76% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Dis-Chem Pharmacies's net debt to EBITDA suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But truth be told we feel its interest cover does undermine this impression a bit. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Dis-Chem Pharmacies takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Dis-Chem Pharmacies , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.