Stock Analysis

Dis-Chem Pharmacies Limited's (JSE:DCP) Price In Tune With Earnings

JSE:DCP
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Dis-Chem Pharmacies Limited's (JSE:DCP) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 41.7x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in South Africa, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 10x and even P/E's below 6x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

Dis-Chem Pharmacies could be doing better as it's been growing earnings less than most other companies lately. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this lacklustre earnings performance will improve markedly. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Dis-Chem Pharmacies

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JSE:DCP Price Based on Past Earnings February 9th 2022
Keen to find out how analysts think Dis-Chem Pharmacies' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Growth For Dis-Chem Pharmacies?

Dis-Chem Pharmacies' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 21% last year. The latest three year period has also seen a 8.1% overall rise in EPS, aided extensively by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 17% per annum over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 14% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we can see why Dis-Chem Pharmacies is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Final Word

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Dis-Chem Pharmacies maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Dis-Chem Pharmacies that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Dis-Chem Pharmacies. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that sit on P/E's below 20x and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.