Stock Analysis

We Think Insimbi Industrial Holdings (JSE:ISB) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

JSE:ISB
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Insimbi Industrial Holdings Limited (JSE:ISB) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Insimbi Industrial Holdings

How Much Debt Does Insimbi Industrial Holdings Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of August 2024 Insimbi Industrial Holdings had R602.3m of debt, an increase on R576.0m, over one year. However, it does have R101.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about R501.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
JSE:ISB Debt to Equity History November 7th 2024

How Healthy Is Insimbi Industrial Holdings' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Insimbi Industrial Holdings had liabilities of R698.6m due within 12 months, and liabilities of R201.6m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of R101.3m as well as receivables valued at R588.4m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total R210.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of R229.2m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Insimbi Industrial Holdings' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Insimbi Industrial Holdings shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (7.7), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.57 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, Insimbi Industrial Holdings's EBIT was down 76% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Insimbi Industrial Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Insimbi Industrial Holdings produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 66% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

On the face of it, Insimbi Industrial Holdings's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, it seems to us that Insimbi Industrial Holdings's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Insimbi Industrial Holdings is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are potentially serious...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.