Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Bell Equipment Limited (JSE:BEL) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Bell Equipment
What Is Bell Equipment's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Bell Equipment had R1.39b of debt in June 2020, down from R1.49b, one year before. However, it also had R185.8m in cash, and so its net debt is R1.20b.
How Healthy Is Bell Equipment's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Bell Equipment had liabilities of R2.62b due within a year, and liabilities of R782.5m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had R185.8m in cash and R1.07b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by R2.15b.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the R655.1m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Bell Equipment would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Bell Equipment will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
In the last year Bell Equipment had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 13%, to R6.9b. We would much prefer see growth.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did Bell Equipment's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost R42m at the EBIT level. Combining this information with the significant liabilities we already touched on makes us very hesitant about this stock, to say the least. Of course, it may be able to improve its situation with a bit of luck and good execution. But we think that is unlikely since it is low on liquid assets, and made a loss of R128m in the last year. So while it's not wise to assume the company will fail, we do think it's risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Bell Equipment you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About JSE:BEL
Bell Equipment
Manufactures, distributes, and supports a range of materials handling equipment in South Africa, Europe, Rest of Africa, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.